Big Country

  • Content count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won


Big Country last won the day on December 9 2016

Big Country had the most liked content!

Community Reputation

314 Excellent

About Big Country

  • Rank
    Huddler All-Pro

Contact Methods

  • AIM
  • Website URL
  • ICQ

Profile Information

  • Location
    Orange, CA
  1. You've got to consider the audience. For the more diehard fantasy footballer, auctions add another dynamic to the strategy of team building. Do you go all in on 2-3 studs, spending 80% of your cap on those few players and filling in with flyers, or do you build a more balanced team that may lack any real dynamic puncher. For the more casual player which I would venture to guess is the vast majority of fantasy footballers, and also a smaller percentage of the kind of owner that is 1. Subscribing for fantasy content and 2. even thinking about fantasy football in June, then the simplicity of a draft is a better option for them. I like aspects of both, and play in one auction league and a few traditional draft leagues. Unsurprisingly, the auction league is made up of long time veteran players, mostly Huddlers, that all really know their stuff. The draft leagues are a mix - some made up of long time experienced players, and some with different groups of friends/family that do it for the fun and pretty much follow the Yahoo preranks for their draft. Nothing quite like the decision making and preparation required for an auction - build a budget but during the auction you have to make adjustments on the fly, decide if you are willing to go over budget for a certain player then adjust your limits on the fly for other positions, do you risk bidding up a player you don't really want in the hopes that someone else outbids you and spends their dollars on a player you don't want, there is strategy involved in who to put out for bid when, etc.
  2. My question is more of what are or were you trying to tell us with this data? The data dump of what they scored is pretty meaningless with nothing to compare it to - how does that 370 points for the highest score of an RB with a 2nd round ADP compare to other RBs that season - was that a 2nd round performance, a 1st round performance, a 5th round performance? Same with the WRs? Raw scores tell us very little with no comparison vs. same season performance and also are not very useful when comparing across positions with different positional requirements. How can you draw the conclusion that RBs have a higher ceiling but WRs have done better overall? WR2 thru WR12 have a delta of 30 points, whereas you can only get to RB6 with that same 30 point delta - makes it seem like getting the RB that does well there holds a lot more positional value than one of those WRs. Then again, these numbers are across 12 seasons so it may well be that there was only one WR each season that performed at that level, or it could be that 6 of the WRs in that scoring range did that in the same season. SO again I ask, what was the information or conclusion that you were trying to get to by posting the data. Seems pretty pointless to post a data dump lacking enough information to draw any real conclusions or inferences then just reply by saying "It's data, draw your own conclusions". Personally I love looking at stuff like this, but right now there simply is not enough information provided to generate really meaningful discussion, plus ABWF fears potential math even more than he fears providing geographic references.
  3. And what is it that this data is supposed to be telling us?
  4. For me this is a situation that I will not target to get, nor would I try to avoid the situation entirely. I would say I am more likely to end up with Peterson at his much later ADP as the lottery ticket over Ingram at his current ADP, even though in my opinion at this point I would guess that Ingram is likely to have greater production this year, the risk/value of the selections makes Peterson a more attractive option to me. I'm not yet sold on Kamara or any of the other backs having enough value this year to warrant drafting in all but the deepest of redraft leagues.
  5. 2 QB league accomplishes essentially the same thing but without skewing the game so much that it becomes about whose QB2 can outscore the others, which is what superflex usually does The potential fatal flaw in superflex still comes down to the scoring system - if the scoring system is such that the top RBs and WRs put up about 200 points and those generally in flex consideration are around 130 points scored (all numbers hypothetical here), and top QBs score 350 points with those in flex consideration are scoring around 275 points, then the league essentially becomes determined on who has the highest scoring flex QB. There is never any question that the flex should be a QB, even if it is the #26 QB in the league. Using the default Huddle Performance scoring system, there were 28 QBs with more than 200 point scored last season (Osweiler was number 28 with 233 points). There were 9 RBs over that mark. In fact, if we assume only 1 RB required and a 12 team league, the top flex consideration RB who would be RB13 only scored 177 points (Latavius Murray). If we were to use PPR, now there are 16 RBs with 200+ points, but your RB 13 (still Latavius Murray) only scored 210 points, still 23 points less than QB28. Using the default Huddle Performance system, there were only 3 WRs over 200 points, so if we assume 2 required starters, your flex considerations starting at WR25 (Mike Wallace) only scored 129 points - basically a zero percent chance he would ever be a legitimate flex option. With PPR, there are now 24 WRs with 200+ points scored, and WR25 (Kelvin Benjamin) scored 199 points - still less than QB28. In summary, superflex without some major tweaks to scoring system so that all positions are scoring roughly the same number of points is nothing more than a whose QB2 can outscore the others by a lot.
  6. Crowell for a 9th is a better value than Coleman for a 10th
  7. As far as biggest impact this season - I'd have to go with one of the RBs, and while i have flip flopped a little bit, I do think Fournette is in the spot to most likely be the top producer this year. If we are talking long term dynasty league production, I shy away from these RBs and am more inclined to go with one of the WRs - Williams may take a little longer to ascend to being the #1 guy on his team, but his measurables are right - only concern is Rivers age and how many more years does he have left, and once he goes who will be throwing the ball to Williams. Davis has a much easier path to being the #1 on his team with a young gunslinger at QB, but also has questions. I'm flipping on these guys as to who I think is probably th best dynasty option, and I lean them over the RBs due to the relative short life span of most RBs in the NFL.
  8. In my one IDP PPR Dynasty I have the 5th pick - pretty sure Corey Davis goes in the top 4, so I'm pretty much set on taking which of the 4 RBs falls to me, and being fine with that. Only wrinkle, and why I may consider Williams, is that I am ok at RB (ok, not great) but fairly weak at WR. Just not sure I can justify Williams with the pick
  9. With bidding, at a minimum you would have to have a set time as to when the waivers would run to award players to the high bidders, or have all bids be out in the open and have set rules as to how long from the time a bid is placed until a player is awarded if no one bids higher. For most sites, with bidding, the waiver priority has no meaning, as the player is awarded to the high bidder. It is generally there as a default necessity of setting up a waiver window.
  10. Definitely take the trade.
  11. Could always just go to an All Play format - so, if a 12 team league, top scoring team for the week goes 11-0, second scoring team goes 10-1 and so on. Rewards high scoring and consistent teams but essentially takes the head to head component out of the equation, though in a sense everyone is your head to head opponent each week.
  12. There is nothing in this universe powerful enough to groom Whomper
  13. Does this mean I need to go put my pitchfork down?
  14. League I was in did something similar to this when expanding from 10 to 12 teams. Each of the initial 10 teams got to protect 2 players. Expansion teams picked as describer above - Team A, then B for two, etc. As an original team, if one of your players was taken by the expansion teams, you got to protect another player from your roster. If a second player was taken, you protected 2 more. That league also did a lottery for the bottom 3 teams to determine the draft order for the top 3 picks (picks 4-10 were based on finish the previous season, top 3 picks were lottery for the bottom 3 teams). I don't recall what we as a league ended up doing off the top of my head, but the two proposals on the table were either to slot the expansion teams into the 4th and 5th picks (whomever picked first in expansion picked 5th in regular draft) and still did the lottery for the top 3, then the other teams were slotted in 6-12 based on finish, or if we added the expansion teams to the lottery with the same odds as the 3rd to last team (i.e, we put the last place teams name in the hat 5 times, the 2nd to last in 3 times, and the other 3 teams in one time and drew for draft order) Going from 8 to 10, you may be able to get away with having the original teams protect 3 players each (theoretically top 24 players) but then I would give the top 2 picks in the draft to the expansion teams to help even it out a bit. No matter what there is no true "fair" way to do it.
  15. If you drafted RB early and hit i.e David Johnson, or drafted WR early and hit i.e Julio or Odell, you will use that to validate your preconceived notion or RB or WR early is better. If you drafted Gurley early or a Robinson or even a Deandre Hopkins early, you will use that to invalidate your previous notion and change your mind because clearly RB first sucks or WR first sucks because it didn't work. No matter what position it is you take early, it comes down to hitting on the individual player that performs close to expectation and escapes injury while also finding a couple players later on in the draft that perform above expectation.