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The Steve Smith Stat Prediction Thread


keggerz
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8 rec.

1300 yds.

9 TD

 

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Soooo, he's gonna take 8 receptions - each of them to the house - for (on average) 80 yards each, do a U-turn, run another (on average) 80 yards in the other direction, and score his 9th TD against his own team?

 

:D I like it!

 

EDIT: :D Rats. You caught the typo.

Edited by yo mama
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I just personally don't think they will be throwing as much this year...

 

I see them drafting a RB to help out...plus their DL is actually better...I see their defense playing real well and running alot....

 

but Smith will get his and will do better than the 80 receptions I have projected...I always set expectations lower than I expect...

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Who do you pick before Smith?

 

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I don't really look at the draft like that....

 

by the time I go for a WR...I just see who is available and it won't be him...

 

with all of the movement taking place this offseason, there are a lot of questions...

 

even at TE...Gates has Rivers who might keep his value at a premium because he's a safety valve...or just go down due to him not being used to seeing the coverages and whatnot...

 

I'd like to draft a TE before a WR...but this pretty much puts the kaibosh on that...

 

my #3 pick will be the most difficult as I've had bad luck with taking a WR early....even 2 years ago I took Harrison and that was the 1st year his production dropped....but he had more explosive games overall....

 

yet I still had Walker and AJohnson/Boldin late....and some other good WR that I can't think of...

 

I think this is the year of Fitz/RWilliams/AJohnson/Chambers and maybe Reggie Brown as there really nobody else to explode other than Westy or LJ in philly...

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I'd bump the receptions up to 90+ but other than that, I say right on.

 

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agreed....I said in another post that I shortchanged him as I set expectations to gauge what I can easily expect from a player...

 

he likely will loom around 100 catches...but I never set the bar that high off one year of reaching that plateau...

 

not that he can't or won't...it's just how I gauge value...

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agreed....I said in another post that I shortchanged him as I set expectations to gauge what I can easily expect from a player...

 

he likely will loom around 100 catches...but I never set the bar that high off one year of reaching that plateau...

 

not that he can't or won't...it's just how I gauge value...

 

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Yeah, I do the same thing. Better to under value and pleasantly surprised than to do the opposite.

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Yeah, I do the same thing.  Better to under value and pleasantly surprised than to do the opposite.

 

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exactly...I have a very strict philosophy on draft day and I haven't been burned yet *crosses fingers on both hands tightly*

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exactly...I have a very strict philosophy on draft day and I haven't been burned yet  *crosses fingers on both hands tightly*

 

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Would you mind sharing via this thread or PM? I have a philosophy, but I waver on the discipline of it. I always seem to agree with your thoughts and ideas, so I'm interested in your strict philosophy.

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  • 9 months later...

Well I was WRONG

 

smith ended with 83/1166 with 8TDs

 

but remember he did miss the 1st 2 games of the year and had Chris Fn Weinke chucking the rock for 3 out of the last 4 games(10 catches 123yrds with a backup)

 

Smitty very easily could have ended up in the 100 catch range and 1400+ yrds with 16 games this yr

next yr you might be able to get him at a bit of a bargain but remember last yrs stats dont show exactly how productive he really was

 

edit: i guess for the most part Key didnt really hurt Smith

(key went for 70/815 4TDs)

Edited by keggerz
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Well I was WRONG

 

smith ended with 83/1166 with 8TDs

 

but remember he did miss the 1st 2 games of the year and had Chris Fn Weinke chucking the rock for 3 out of the last 4 games(10 catches 123yrds with a backup)

 

 

 

Glad he did but Zooty wasn't too happy about it. :D

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