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gilthorp
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A-C

 

Arizona:

 

So, how many fantasy points will the Edge take away from Fitz and Boldin? Perhaps stubbornly so, I’m thinking Green will play smash mouth as often as possible—remember that Warner is a concussion waiting to happen—so don’t over value the talented WR’s.

 

Atlanta:

 

I’ve always loved this defense, especially when they play at home. If they get off to a slow start in the first four games, it could be over—NYG, PIT, @CIN after their Week 5 BYE. Watch Dunn quietly fly under the radar in drafts again, and he’ll be a sleeper again (how is that possible?)

 

Baltimore:

 

Can McNair and Mason bring back the bombing run they had in the past? I’m not that big of a gambler. How many games will it take for Anderson to displace Jamal Lewis? After consecutive games against SD, DEN, and CAR in week’s 3-5, Anderson will be named the starter. Heap stays healthy, he’s the #2 fantasy TE in the league.

 

Buffalo:

 

They’re going to miss Eric Moulds….that’s 134 targets walking out of town. I’m planning on staying away from everyone on this team, with the exception of the defensive side of the ball. Total pretenders, and playing the week NFC Central will help boost their record, but getting NE twice in the first 7 weeks will be tough.

 

Carolina:

 

I’ve never liked the guy, but the addition of Keyshawn Johnson is going to be huge for this team. In my local, I’m going to target J. Delhomme as my QB, and hope he lasts until the 10th guy taken…as the average MFL draft has him as the 11th QB. John Fox very well may have the best game day coaching staff in the league.

 

Chicago:

 

As a homer of the Bears, I am really excited about their defense this year…and they’ll be so fast—it makes me long of the days they played on artificial turf. For the most part, it’s a cream puff schedule, but what did they do to their offense to get better? Nothing…and once again, they’ll prove to be frauds in the post-season. Benson will be given every opportunity in Pre-season to be the #1.

 

Cincy:

 

This is an exciting team, with a tough schedule once again. Looking at that Week 1 matchup with KC, I can only imagine an old fashion shootout—already it’s a contender for GOTW on DMD’s Tunnel Vision. Not being a fan of this team, they are fun to watch, and I hope Palmer can come back strong, because their D and all their turnovers last year were a bit of a fluke.

 

Cleveland:

 

It’s going to be fun to watch Charlie Frye this year. I somewhat feel sorry for the fans of this team because the Brownies are buried behind 3 solid teams that aren’t going to fade away any time soon. Edwards and Joe J. are going to put up impressive games from time to time, but if either of them go down, it gets pretty sucky.

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It will be the Cardinals healthy and improved defense that gets them back to the playoffs this year.

 

 

Seems the Cards are hyped every year as a playoff contender and they fall flat on their faces. I'll believe it when I see it. FWIW they have not improved their o-line which does not bode well for Warner and Edge. And it's not a question of if Warner gets hurt, but when. Then I pity Leinart and all fantasy owners of Fitz and Boldin. It ain't gonna be pretty.

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D-K

 

Dallas:

 

All the talk is with TO and it should be, and Bledsoe is going to be a very viable QB for his owners…those are no brainers. Like the plague, I’m thinking you need to stay away from this RB situation unless you are really adamant at getting both Jones and Barber on your squad. If you get caught without one of them, you’re screwed. Parcells has quietly built a defense that is going to dominate…a great sleeper D once all the usual suspects are gone.

 

Denver:

 

No way, no how is Ron Dayne the #1 RB in Denver. It just doesn’t make sense to me. I’m sure this will change, but thinking about Bell as the main guy, he’s not durable enough. Same as it ever was here…stay away if you want stability. Javon Walker is going to be the comeback player of the year, and when will people understand that Rod Smith is gold as a fantasy player? Yes, he will be so once again this year.

 

Detroit:

 

Can they really suck so bad from a fantasy standpoint? Label Kevin Jones as a major bust if he doesn’t come through this year. There should be absolutely no reason—none at all that he doesn’t exceed the expectations he has on his shoulders. I see a big season for him and he’s going to be worth the gamble of taking as a solid #2. I won’t be afraid of taking him, but I’ve had my limit with Roy Williams—no thanks—what will it be this year, his right of left ankle…or a hammy?

 

Green Bay:

 

As a loyal Bears fan….Brett, just move along now, OK? Even I don’t want to see you look like crap two years in a row. I’ve been a loyal owner for some years, but I just can’t stand the carnage anymore. The RB situation? Good God…it could be the first triple handcuff in FF history. However, if they are in the hunt, check out their playoff schedule, and Favre will be a player that could win a FF championship this year. Super sleeper, and maybe we’ll read in the Trash Can Report (it is the better name), Marc Boerighter.

 

Houston:

 

As stated before, Eric Moulds is a guy that I’m going to quietly target as a #3 that should slip under the radar of my local. I know there’s enough savvy guys here in my BOTH leagues that will scoop him up. I’ve never owned Dom Davis, but this is the year I want to get him—the new coaching staff means nothing but upside for him, and it might sound strange, but a lack of overuse, may actually increase his production from a FF standpoint. They have an improved team, and don’t be afraid to have Carr as your #2 QB this year.

 

Indy:

 

Why even write a thing about this team? I guess one thing I can say is that I’ve usually been a year ahead on a few players, and last year, that player was Dallas Clark. I think he’s going to be overlooked this year, and will be there for the taking as people reach for Ben Watson, Heath Miller, and others. I have no clue whether Rhodes or Addai are going to be the primary, but either way, you can bet they’ll share the load. On the IDP side, I want Bob Sanders….and I want Vinatieri.

 

Jacksonville:

 

I asked the question earlier on this forum about the WR situation, but I’m simply going to stay away all together, unless I can grab Matt Jones at a cheap price. The more I watch Byron Leftwich, the more I’m concerned about his exaggerated throwing motion…but you can’t question his toughness. I thought Alvin Pearman was going to step up last year, so he might be a poor man’s Chris Perry this year. I like the overall toughness of this NFL team, but I just can’t see where there’s any fantasy relevance this year.

 

Kansas City:

 

LJ, LJ, LJ. Gonzalez should bounce back to have a good year. LJ, LJ, LJ. Most owners of Trent Green should hope for a better WR crew, and will Sammie Parker step up? LJ, LJ, LJ. Kennison is holding out, and I’m sure you can spell IDIOT with the letters EDDIE….LJ, LJ, LJ. It’s hard to talk about keekers, but Tynes has quietly become one of the most consistent FF toemen in the league. Oh yes….LJ, LJ, LJ.

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I’ve never owned Dom Davis, but this is the year I want to get him

 

 

Maybe we should compare he games to Fragile Freddie:

 

Games played for Davis:

'03 14

'04 15

'05 11

 

Games played for Fred Taylor in the same time frame:

'03 16

'04 14

'05 11

 

I had DD in 2004 and even some of those 15 games he played he played hurt. I remember struggling every week wondering if I should put him in my line up. Then in the beginning of training camp they are already doing MRI's of his knee. That doesn't look too good. I'm staying away from DD this year (and Fragile Freddie just like every other year). I thought I might be tempted on a late flyer on Taylor but I completely agree on your assessment of Leftwich and I do have any confidence in him.

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Good stuff, blips....but that's what I'm counting on--his down year and people souring on him. I see a good year for him, since you know they aren't going to be stuffing the ball in Antowain Smith's hands.

 

Granted, he can't stay on the field for 16 games, but very few RB's can nowadays--plus my local is a PPR and I like his upside this year.

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Maybe we should compare he games to Fragile Freddie:

 

Games played for Davis:

'03 14

'04 15

'05 11

 

Games played for Fred Taylor in the same time frame:

'03 16

'04 14

'05 11

 

I had DD in 2004 and even some of those 15 games he played he played hurt. I remember struggling every week wondering if I should put him in my line up. Then in the beginning of training camp they are already doing MRI's of his knee. That doesn't look too good. I'm staying away from DD this year (and Fragile Freddie just like every other year). I thought I might be tempted on a late flyer on Taylor but I completely agree on your assessment of Leftwich and I do have any confidence in him.

 

 

hasn't DD left plenty of games?...or at least needed to be spelled extra?...

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Granted, he can't stay on the field for 16 games, but very few RB's can nowadays--plus my local is a PPR and I like his upside this year.

 

 

 

But in 12 team leagues he is going in the first round in mock drafts. I do want my first round back going in all 16 games. If you get him in the second round and your first round RB is solidified then I might take a flyer on him.

Edited by blips
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M-O

 

Miami:

 

I’m not buying the CPep to Chambers connection as this explosive combination. Sure, it will be good, but beware of overpaying for both of these guys. Chambers will be decent, but hard pressed to hit his numbers from last year. I really think this is all about Ronnie Brown—I give him a good shot at making the Pro Bowl this year…a very good chance to have a minimum 1,800 total yards and 14+ TD’s this year.

 

Minnesota:

 

To me, they were the most boring offensive team in the NFL last year. Hard to imagine they are going to be any more exciting, and it’s possible they might dumb it down so much that Chester Taylor is the only solid choice as a starter. If they are serious about getting him up to 30 touches per game, I’m glad I have him as a 10th round keeper in Outraged. Besides that, the WR situation is just not worth the headache it’s going to give owners all year.

 

New England:

 

For all the people that stuck to their guns with Tom Brady, let me just :D for you. I’ve always loved this guy as a field general, but now he really has become one of the best QB’s in FF-land. Such a model of consistency. I’m on record for liking Reche Caldwell as a sleeper, and hoping that he’s well worth a deep pick as a #3. I still remember Ben Watson’s 100+ yard run and snotsmash of Champ Bailey in the playoffs last year, and he’s got my respect as a player simply for that play. But, I owned him last year, and he has to be more consistent this year.

 

New Orleans:

 

I’m not sure how it’s all going to work out with Deuce and Bush, but it’s going to be fun to watch the kid. I grabbed Brees in the HandbookIDP league and figure he’s going to bring some good consistency to the new system. However, that new QB and new system isn’t going to translate into any type of consistency for the WR’s. Stallworth is a worthy #3, but why do I feel that Joe Horn’s time is gone? Hilton is going to be way under the radar, and it all adds up for him to have a real solid year if he’s the #1 TE.

 

NYG:

 

Well, I owe it to these guys last year, as they helped me win my local. I knew after the Monday Night game in San Diego, that Eli had the goods and turned a mental corner in the NFL. Even though they got drubbed, I saw him make every type of throw—and I found him on the waiver wire after that game. I also had Tiki, and you can’t expect him to have the same type of year, can you? I’ve got Burress targeted as a worthy #2, and if I get lucky enough, I’ll be happy…although I’d like to see more TD’s from him.

 

NYJ:

 

What a mess. At least when Pennington goes down this year, they’ve got a guy who knows how to eat his facemask as a replacement. Ramsey is a tough SOB. All around decent value with this supporting cast, but I can’t recommend anyone but Coles. Now, I am hearing local rumors that Thomas Jones is being shopped to the Jets…does that mean the new regime does not like Houston or Blaylock???

 

Oakland:

 

There’s something about this team that I love to watch…it’s like an accident you just can’t turn away from, but I want to see them get back to their winning ways. There’s a very good chance that Aaron Brooks will finally play without any pressure, and should be able to get bailed out by Moss. I would think this combination will be better than the CPep/Chambers duo. I think Lamont Jordan is money and will be neck and neck with Ronnie Brown as the 3rd best AFC RB.

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The rest:

 

Pittsburgh:

 

What a great run they had last year, but that’s the problem—it was such a great run, it will be very hard to duplicate it this year. As an owner of Willie Parker already, I have to hope that he’s going to continue his impressive performance and provide a solid #2 choice: I picked him above Taylor, Lewis, Droughns, and Dunn. I think there’s a ton of fantasy potential on this team in just about every position—one of my favorite teams to watch in what has become my favorite division in the AFC in terms of competition and rivalry. The question is how will Santonio Holmes be used this year?

 

Philadelphia:

 

I can’t quite put my finger on it, but the more I’ve been watching McNabb play, the less I like the guy. He just needs to be quiet and play…each time he tries to spice up his act, he looks out of place. What are they going to do about Westbrook this year, and will he be the main beneficiary with TO gone? If healthy, he’s clearly a Top 7 RB in PPR leagues, although you’d love to see him get more TD’s. Reggie Brown is the real deal, but IMO still is that #2/3 tweener you have to gut up and make a choice. I’ll say he’s worth a clear #2 on your roster this year.

 

San Diego:

 

I look at some of the bust QB’s in terms of Fantasy land, and I’m willing to give Phillip Rivers a chance over a good number of them…better than Carr, Johnson, Grossman, and some others. So, in deep leagues, he’ll be a #2, and if he’s as good as Eli, what an awesome Dynasty pick he was for the risk takers a few years back. Let others take Gates, as he’ll be way over-valued this year—but LT2 should have as good of a year as he’s had before. This defense is going to be so fun to watch, and they’ll come so cheap—grab them as your #2, and you’ll end up playing them as your #1 by the end of the year.

 

Seattle:

 

Being fortunate enough to have Alexander last year, it is hard to imagine he’ll be able to duplicate those numbers. Clearly the 3rd choice at RB, I give him more of a chance to not meet expectations this year, than having his owners drool over his production. The additions in the passing game and subtraction on the OL is just a cause for concern, but you can’t get me to argue that if you have the 3rd choice, that you should look elsewhere. Never having a chance to own Jackson, I’ve quietly admired his ability and FF production, and will attempt to snag him this year in my local. On the radar for sure. One thing to note about the Seahawks…if you’re struggling mid year, do what you can to get their players on your team, as the back end of their schedule is sweet for production.

 

San Francisco:

 

Ugh. I’ve read on the boards how some people really believe Frank Gore is a solid #2 RB pick. I don’t think the body of work is enough to convince me of this, and he’s nothing more than a #3 in my book. You really never know about these things until a player has had a few years in the league, but I’ve seen enough crappy QB’s here in Chicago to make the call on Alex Smith—he’s a bust, and he might go down with Ryan Leaf as one of the biggest duds in history. Maybe Arnaz Battle or Antonio Bryant are worth some real late round flyers, but besides that, I’ll pass.

 

St. Louis:

 

So Marshall Faulk goes down for the year, and they sign Moe Williams. I’m really not sure that’s any type of downgrade. Jackson is a stud, and it certainly wasn’t his fault his numbers weren’t better last year. A guy who averages over 4 yards a carry, but only had two 100 yard rushing games? Any owner who grabs him this year is going to be very happy. How much does the passing game change? Less passing, still big plays. Although I have to think we’ll see less of Kevin Curtis this year, and more of the younger TE’s…so as he was a glamour pick last year, don’t overpay for him this year. I predict this will be the year we’ll see Marc Bulger play an entire season.

 

Tampa Bay:

 

I’m not sure if I was lucky, but I owned Clayton as a rookie, and that was great. After his rotten first half last year, I went out and traded for him—and who do I give up in Week 9? Chris Chambers! I’m not entirely sure this team can afford to have him suck again this year—there’s almost no chance that Galloway is going to stay healthy, and if their #3 is a rookie (Stovall), this will put a ton of pressure on Simms and Caddy. Speaking of Caddy, he’s got too good of an upside to not draft in the late 1st/early 2nd, but I would not feel totally confident about it—just ensure you absolutely get Pittman if you’ve got Caddy. Simms showed some moxie in the playoffs last year, but I’m not sold from a fantasy perspective…not even worth a backup status in most leagues.

 

Tennessee:

 

I should leave this opinion to pretty boys who wear pink shirts. The first thing that jumps out at me is it seems David Givens is going to fly under many people’s radars this year. Or is this just another Peerless Price waiting to happen? Clearly, he’s worth a spot as your #3 WR, with the great possibility that he’ll move into that #2 role. You can’t really label him a sleeper, but you can label him an upside performer that most likely will be undervalued in most drafts. Same goes with Volek—and I’m thinking Vince Young hardly sees any action this year, what say you my ghey shirt wearing friend?

 

Washington:

 

How exciting is the NFC East going to be this year? Where I’m reading that Mark Brunell is going not meet expectations this year, I’ll gladly snap him up as my #2, and if he’s the 29th taken (as the average MFL draft suggests), I can wait very long and look for value elsewhere. Is there any debate over whether or not Portis is clearly the #4 FF RB in the league? Light arguments can be made, but they won’t hold up against the counter-point. Moss peaked last year, and I find it hard to see how he’ll be close to his numbers, especially with the additions they added with Lloyd and The Creature.

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The rest:

 

 

Philadelphia:

 

I can’t quite put my finger on it, but the more I’ve been watching McNabb play, the less I like the guy. He just needs to be quiet and play…each time he tries to spice up his act, he looks out of place. What are they going to do about Westbrook this year, and will he be the main beneficiary with TO gone? If healthy, he’s clearly a Top 7 RB in PPR leagues, although you’d love to see him get more TD’s. Reggie Brown is the real deal, but IMO still is that #2/3 tweener you have to gut up and make a choice. I’ll say he’s worth a clear #2 on your roster this year.

 

 

As an Eagles homer, I have to ask you to explain the above bolded statement. Has he done something wrong? :D

Edited by TDFFFreak
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Very nice job on the insight Gil, however, Carolina's DT has the most depth it's had in a while and could really dominate this year. I look for the Panthers to majorally control feild position this year and with the O Line we have now, I look for the running attack to be the focal point. So, don't be surprized if Delhomme does not have to as much this year in the air attack.

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I've enjoyed this thread immensely! :D

 

I'm not sure I believe Gates is going to be "way over-valued" unless somebody decides to pick him before the third round of a draft, but we'll see. :D

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As an Eagles homer, I have to ask you to explain the above bolded statement. Has he done something wrong? :D

 

 

No, it's just me...he's done nothing wrong. I just think he looks out of place when he shows his moxie.

 

Like I said, it was just a personal observation and those that know my opinion understand I hate showboaters, and I guess I hate people that when they try to showboat, they look stupid--and he falls into that category--I'd just like to see him play. Nothing more than that, it's just me. :D

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Very nice job on the insight Gil, however, Carolina's DT has the most depth it's had in a while and could really dominate this year. I look for the Panthers to majorally control feild position this year and with the O Line we have now, I look for the running attack to be the focal point. So, don't be surprized if Delhomme does not have to as much this year in the air attack.

 

 

I don't see much of a drop off and he's as consistent as they come once you get past the top tier. I'm still hoping to really steal him in my local.

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I've enjoyed this thread immensely! :D

 

I'm not sure I believe Gates is going to be "way over-valued" unless somebody decides to pick him before the third round of a draft, but we'll see. :D

 

 

Not around here he won't, but in my local he will! :D

 

Most of this was how I'm trying to steal players in two locals and go back to back in my 15 team league.

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No, it's just me...he's done nothing wrong. I just think he looks out of place when he shows his moxie.

 

Like I said, it was just a personal observation and those that know my opinion understand I hate showboaters, and I guess I hate people that when they try to showboat, they look stupid--and he falls into that category--I'd just like to see him play. Nothing more than that, it's just me. :D

 

Fair enough. FWIW I am the first to call out showboaters and I just can't put McNabb in that category. He really doesn't do much more in terms of "flash" except what may be asked of him as his public role of QB and for endorsements.

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