Grits and Shins Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 I don't bet football because I have absolutely no control over how the game is played. Clearly IND will win this week and likely by a 2 TDs or more. The problem is that TEN may be able to cover the spread in garbage time. I'm sure IND could cover this spread easily if that was their goal ... but in the end their goal is the W and the margin is largely irrelevant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loaf Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 I don't bet football because I have absolutely no control over how the game is played. Clearly IND will win this week and likely by a 2 TDs or more. The problem is that TEN may be able to cover the spread in garbage time. I'm sure IND could cover this spread easily if that was their goal ... but in the end their goal is the W and the margin is largely irrelevant. and exactly what pro sport do you have control over how the game is played? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grits and Shins Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 and exactly what pro sport do you have control over how the game is played? Which is why I bet on none of them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loaf Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 me too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spain Posted October 8, 2006 Author Share Posted October 8, 2006 Now you know why you cant give that many points in an NFL game... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackass Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 man, i would have love to see Tenn pull that one out. oh well. colts may be a tad overrated? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grits and Shins Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 Now you know why you cant give that many points in an NFL game... Chicago had no problem covering that spread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grits and Shins Posted October 8, 2006 Share Posted October 8, 2006 ... and TEN is still 0-5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crispirons Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 speaking of spreads, we saw a huge winstreak ats (against the spread) come to an end this weekend. ohio state had 12 straight covers dating back to last yr. highly impressive. let me see, if we had started with 100 and rolled over the winnings on each one, yep, we would have been millionaires. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooknladder Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 fantasy football cured me of a bad habit of betting football a long, long time ago...just too much parity in the NFL today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spain Posted October 9, 2006 Author Share Posted October 9, 2006 Chicago had no problem covering that spread The Chicago spread was 11... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Holy Roller Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 Well girls, I put 5 dimes on Tenn. Tube socks for everyone! You may pick them up at your local Walmart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crispirons Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 The Chicago spread was 11... i think he meant the bears would have covered 18.5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Swerski Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 Now you know why you cant give that many points in an NFL game... And this, ladies and gentlemen, is why you don't bet significant amounts of money on pro football. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spain Posted October 9, 2006 Author Share Posted October 9, 2006 And this, ladies and gentlemen, is why you don't bet significant amounts of money on pro football. You dont bet on NFL games because a HUGH dog covered an outrageously large number? Well, the premise of this thread was that I personally cannot lay a number that large in an NFL game. The talent on every team is just too great for me to give that many points. Even when you see an obvious mismatch with Indy and Tennessee, where everyone is expecting a blowout by halftime, that number is just too large. My theory was proven correct so why would that prevent me from betting on NfL games? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 You dont bet on NFL games because a HUGH dog covered an outrageously large number? Well, the premise of this thread was that I personally cannot lay a number that large in an NFL game. The talent on every team is just too great for me to give that many points. Even when you see an obvious mismatch with Indy and Tennessee, where everyone is expecting a blowout by halftime, that number is just too large. My theory was proven correct so why would that prevent me from betting on NfL games? That's right. This isn't college where huge point differences are common. In the NFL anyone can win any weekend. 18 1/2 is too many points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdrudge Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 That's right. This isn't college where huge point differences are common. In the NFL anyone can win any weekend. 18 1/2 is too many points.The spread can some indication as to how much a team is expected to win by, but it's not very reliable. It's more of a way to entice people to bet on the underdog by making it a fairer matchup. If everyone bets on one team and that team wins, their isn't enough to payout to the winners. So they bump the spread up to encourage people to bet on the underdog to level out the potential liability no matter which team wins. Even if the teams are a very close matchup, if everyone bets one way or the other, the spread has to increase creating an illusion that one team is better then the other when it's really not. I think that was somewhat the case with the Colts/Titans although the Colts are the superior team. No one was betting on the Titans so they had to keep raising the spread until people would. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugh 0ne Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 Titans suck and so does the whole Nashville area. Indy by 31. Good call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylive5 Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 Titans suck and so does the whole Nashville area. Indy by 31. You're on--how much $$? Hmmm... Tenn +31... hmmm..... an NFL team, no matter how bad, getting 31... hmmm..... And just how much are you willing to bet on this? Good call. You notice he never did reply to the two that took him up on his outlandish prediction? I kept waiting... but to no avail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Swerski Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 (edited) You dont bet on NFL games because a HUGH dog covered an outrageously large number? Well, the premise of this thread was that I personally cannot lay a number that large in an NFL game. The talent on every team is just too great for me to give that many points. Even when you see an obvious mismatch with Indy and Tennessee, where everyone is expecting a blowout by halftime, that number is just too large. My theory was proven correct so why would that prevent me from betting on NfL games? Because even if the spread was a more reasonable 7 points (or even 3 points), the Colts still wouldn't have covered it. Do what you want, but I'm still of the opinion that betting a ton of money on NFL games is a recipe for disaster. That statement has little to do with the spread in this particular game... I'm speaking more about pro football betting in general. Edited October 9, 2006 by Bill Swerski Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted October 9, 2006 Share Posted October 9, 2006 Because even if the spread was a more reasonable 7 points (or even 3 points), the Colts still wouldn't have covered it. Do what you want, but I'm still of the opinion that betting a ton of money on NFL games is a recipe for disaster. That statement has little to do with the spread in this particular game... I'm speaking more about pro football betting in general. I agree with you. Betting on NFL games is pure folly. That being said I'll take the Ravens plus the points tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainHook Posted October 10, 2006 Share Posted October 10, 2006 Everybody's a genius after the game is over. . . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.