Zeke 1982 Posted October 31, 2006 Share Posted October 31, 2006 You can't honestly think that Denver is the same team as last year. Do you? Most teams have at least 2 to 3 times the yards vs. the Raiders. So what! All that matters is the score. If Ben threw four picks last week, I wonder how many he'll manage this week? Obviously the bookmakers like the Steelers. They are alot more reliable than you haters. For the Steelers to be favored at all says alot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted October 31, 2006 Share Posted October 31, 2006 Obviously the bookmakers like the Steelers. They are alot more reliable than you haters. For the Steelers to be favored at all says alot. Bookmakers have been known to get it wrong & lose their shirts on occasion, too. For the Steelers to be favored looks like they are begging to take a walloping. I'll give you 2:1 odds that the line flips by the EOD Thursday after the wise guys see it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menudo Posted October 31, 2006 Author Share Posted October 31, 2006 Hey Boy Band. Check this out: Chiefs 4-3 (with a new head coach and 2nd string QB) The only 6 time Super Bowl Winners and YOUR DADDY 2-5 (basically the same team that won XL) And you are talking trash on the Chiefs? I'm not sure you know how this thing works. Most teams can rip the Steelers this year, I'm just not sure a team that lost to them 45-7 should be one of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NSab Posted October 31, 2006 Share Posted October 31, 2006 At least you aren't writing sissy poems anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crispirons Posted October 31, 2006 Share Posted October 31, 2006 well i don't neccessarily agree with menudo saying they will run the table, i do think they are a wounded angry dog. when said dog gets backed into the corner, they will fight or flight. i'm betting on fight. i've been silent on big ben, but i have seen enough to know they stand a better chance of winning with batch at the moment. i hope coach knows this too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steeltown Dre Posted November 1, 2006 Share Posted November 1, 2006 Bookmakers have been known to get it wrong & lose their shirts on occasion, too. For the Steelers to be favored looks like they are begging to take a walloping. I'll give you 2:1 odds that the line flips by the EOD Thursday after the wise guys see it. If you think the line will become Den -2.5, I'll take your 2-1 odds. The "wise guys" have already seen the line, rest assured. Remarkably enough, according to one site that tracks sample betting %, Den +2.5 isn't even in the top 5 most taken picks. The most heavily taken games: Chicago -13.5 79.16% Atlanta -5 79.11% San Diego -12.5 77.55% Dallas -3 73.61% N.Y. Giants -13 73.54% Denver +2.5 72.81% I would be EXTREMELY suprised if the line even got to Den in a pickem At Pinnacle the line opened at Pitt -1. It was quickly bet to Pitt -2.5 within 1 day. Other books opened after Pinny at -2.5, and they've pretty much kept the juice the same, and even jumped sometimes to Pitt -3. Plenty of money is coming in on Pitt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CD6405 Posted November 1, 2006 Share Posted November 1, 2006 it was a joke. and every word that i left was serious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Holliday Posted November 1, 2006 Share Posted November 1, 2006 At Pinnacle the line opened at Pitt -1. It was quickly bet to Pitt -2.5 within 1 day. Other books opened after Pinny at -2.5, and they've pretty much kept the juice the same, and even jumped sometimes to Pitt -3. Plenty of money is coming in on Pitt. This is the exact reason I don't like Pitt this week. I have seen superbowl teams do this(falling apart) before and despite how badly they play all year people will continue to bet them thinking they are gonna put things together. the oddsmakers know this and adjust their line to it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steeltown Dre Posted November 1, 2006 Share Posted November 1, 2006 This is the exact reason I don't like Pitt this week. I have seen superbowl teams do this(falling apart) before and despite how badly they play all year people will continue to bet them thinking they are gonna put things together. the oddsmakers know this and adjust their line to it. Well the thing about it is if you consider wagerline an accurate indicator of "public" plays, than it seems the public is fairly heavy on Denver, not Pittsburgh. As I said earlier, it's 73% Denver to 27% Pittsburgh. But for the line to increase in Pittsburgh's favor it shows that not just the # of bets (which is what wagerline measures) but the quantity of money that is pushing Pittsburgh. So it's your "sharps" that may be betting heavily on Pittsburgh, while the public is on Denver. One note is that wagerline is not representative of specific sportsbooks. There are services that track actual results from sportsbooks (the number of bets on each side as well as the amount of money on each side, and any line movement which results). I am not a paying customer, but sometimes get that type of info and if I know it I'll share it here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxfactor Posted November 1, 2006 Share Posted November 1, 2006 Although I'd love to see the Steelers run the table and do something even more incredible than last year, I don't think it'll happen. Even if they turn things around and reverse the 2-5 record and go 5-2, that leaves them at 7-7 with 2 weeks left. But those last 2 games are vs Baltimore and at Cincy. I would like nothing better than to see them spoil someone's playoff hopes in the last 2 weeks. FWIW, I think Ben left some of his football sense on 2nd avenue in Pittsburgh. Someone needs to run by there to see if it's still laying in the middle of the street, sweep it up, and get it back to Ben asap. I know the Steelers will be pissed after the humiliation in Oakland, but i don't think Denver is very happy after losing last week as well. Should be a defensive struggle. Fewest turnovers wins. Careful Ben! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.