rattsass Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 Yesterday went well for me. I was lucky enough to be heavily invested in the games I got right, and not so much in the ones I got wrong. Up big for the weekend thanks to NE, Buf, and the Saints covering the backside of that teaser. Taking a cash out this morning, and consider myself lucky to be ahead for the season so far. Not in love with either team tonight, may make a small play for my amusement after I look at it a liitle closer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 My apologies to those guys playing PIT. I never expected the leading rushing team in the NFL to take the ball out of its RBs hands when playing what is either the worst or second worst run D in the NFL. You can crunch all the numbers you want, but there is no way to anticipate coaching idiocy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whomper Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 I hit my KC, NE, WASH teaser and hit the 49ers over 14.5(verylucky safety and a garbage td) Lost the pathetic Rams over 14.5..Lost the Jets and put in a late prop that lost Denver/Pitt combined over 3.5 fgs. Ended up down small for the week with some hits on baseball Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildcat2334 Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 thoughts on tonight?????? liking Jac +3 leaning under 45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 I'm counting on a close game tonight. Playing teaser Indy+3 / Under 52. And a straight bet on Jax +4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gdawg Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 I did have a nice day yesterday, also went 3-0 fantasy wise so very pleased. The PIT game was disappointing, but it happens. Tonight think Jax +3.5, haven't made a play yet though. I think I read something like 70% of the public is on IND thus far... Any thoughts guys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trots Posted October 22, 2007 Share Posted October 22, 2007 I did have a nice day yesterday, also went 3-0 fantasy wise so very pleased. The PIT game was disappointing, but it happens. Tonight think Jax +3.5, haven't made a play yet though. I think I read something like 70% of the public is on IND thus far... Any thoughts guys? Leaning that way....I just hate to bet against Peyton. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gdawg Posted October 23, 2007 Share Posted October 23, 2007 Bye Weeks: #2: If a team is a Road Fav and coming off a bye, they are 18-9 ATS (67%). So far this year we've gone 2-1. This week we have Pit -3.5 at Den and Ind -3 at Jac. One thing to look at is individual team history. I took Phi last week and not Cin (those were the 2 teams who fit the system) as Reid had the Eagles go 5-1 ATS since 02, whereas Marvin Lewis had the Bengals go 0-3 since 2004. Pit has gone 2-3 off a bye since 2002, but that was under Cowher, not Tomlin. Since 2002 under Cowher, the Steelers went 40-37 ATS. Under Tomlin this year they have gone 4-1. So we can't put too much stock on the team history here. As for the Colts, they have gone 2-3 also since 2002. So nothing too strong there. But note, the Over has gone 5-0 in those games for the Colts. Remember, this trend is averaging 2-1, so it won't win all of the time. But it is interesting that these teams are going 67% ATS whereas RF not off a bye have been going 48% over that same span. Dre, I'd be curious about something with regard to the IND Overs; how many of those games were at home? IND seems to be a much different team on the road with regard to scoring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazysight Posted October 29, 2007 Share Posted October 29, 2007 (edited) Pats will not cover this week... Sure about that RWC? I don't think the line was Pats -46. For those gamblers out there, it's noteworthy that the Pats STILL have beat the spread every week this year. And to think I had thought about trying to ride them every week, only to go for Green Bay when it hosted Chicago instead. Edited October 29, 2007 by Crazysight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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