The Race to the Bottom (and Top)

[muck]

There is still a lot of competition for the top draft picks for the upcoming NFL draft.

 

As reported last week, my projections for the top ten draft picks for this coming season ... based on each teams W/L record and the W/L records of their future opponents ... through week six ... looks like this:

 

1. Miami (projected at 2.3 wins; currently 0-6) -- last week projected at 2.7 wins and the #1 draft pick

2. St. Louis (projected at 2.7 wins; currently 0-6) -- last week projected at 2.8 wins and the #2 draft pick

3. New York Jets (projected at 4.2 wins; currently 1-5) -- last week projected at 4.7 wins and the #4 draft pick

4. Atlanta (projected at 4.4 wins; currently 1-5) -- last week projected at 5.1 wins and the #5 draft pick

5. Buffalo (projected at 5.1 wins; currenty 1-4) -- last week projected at 5.2 wins and the #7 draft pick

6t. Cincinnati (projected at 5.3 wins; currently 1-4) -- last week projected at 6.0 wins and the #9 draft pick

6t. New Orleans (projected at 5.3 wins; currently 1-4) -- last week projected at 3.4 wins and the #3 draft pick

8. Chicago (projected at 6.1 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 7.1 wins and the #13 draft pick

9. Oakland (projected at 6.5 wins; currently 2-3) -- last week projected at 7.7 wins and the #16 draft pick

10. Denver (projected at 6.7 wins; currently 2-3) -- last week projected at 6.7 wins and the #11 draft pick

 

Dropping out of the Bottom Ten: Minnesota, Philadelphia and San Diego

New to the Bottom Ten: Chicago, Oakland and Denver

 

...and the top 12 teams ('cause 12 teams go to the playoffs) ... are:

1. New England (projected at 13.8 wins; currently 6-0) -- last week projected at 13.3 wins

2. Indianapolis (projected at 12.7 wins; currently 5-0) -- last week projected at 12.8 wins

3. Green Bay (projected at 11.8 wins; currently 5-1) -- last week projected at 11.2 wins

4. Pittsburgh (projected at 11.6 wins; currently 4-1) -- last week projected at 11.7 wins

5. Dallas (projected at 11.5 wins; currently 5-1) -- last week projected at 12.9 wins

6. Jacksonville (projected at 10.6 wins; currently 4-1) -- last week projected at 9.9 wins

7. Tampa Bay (projected at 10.1 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 9.1 wins

8. New York Giants (projected at 9.9 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 9.3 wins

9. Baltimore (projected at 9.6 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 9.1 wins

10. Carolina (projected at 9.3 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 8.4 wins

11. Tennessee (projected at 9.0 wins; currently 3-2) -- last week projected at 10.3 wins

12. Seattle (projected at 8.7 wins; currently 3-3) -- last week projected at 10.0 wins

 

Dropping out of the Top Twelve: Arizona and Washington

New to the Top Twelve: Carolina

NOTE: Two teams dropped out and one new one showed up because last week had a tie for the 12th spot, thereby making it a "top thirteen" for a week.

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' future opponents, the following teams have the easiest and hardest schedules going forward:

1. Carolina -- opponents are currently 0.600

2. Indianapolis -- opponents are currently 0.597

3. Detroit -- opponents are currently 0.594

4. Jacksonville -- opponents are currently 0.593

5. San Diego -- opponents are currently 0.585

 

28t. New Orleans -- opponents are currently 0.413

28t. San Francisco -- opponents are currently 0.413

30. Cleveland -- opponents are currently 0.393

31. Arizona -- opponents are currently 0.382

32. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.362

Edited October 16, 2007 by muck