muck Posted October 23, 2007 Share Posted October 23, 2007 (edited) There is still a lot of competition for the top draft picks for the upcoming NFL draft. As reported last week, my projections for the top ten draft picks for this coming season ... based on each teams W/L record and the W/L records of their future opponents ... through week seven ... looks like this: 1. Miami (projected at 2.3 wins; currently 0-7) -- last week projected at 2.3 wins and the #1 draft pick 2. St. Louis (projected at 2.4 wins; currently 0-7) -- last week projected at 2.7 wins and the #2 draft pick 3. New York Jets (projected at 3.5 wins; currently 1-6) -- last week projected at 4.2 wins and the #3 draft pick 4. Atlanta (projected at 3.9 wins; currently 1-6) -- last week projected at 4.4 wins and the #4 draft pick 5. Oakland (projected at 5.7 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 6.5 wins and the #9 draft pick 6. Philadelphia (projected at 5.8 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 6.9 wins and the #12t draft pick 7. Minnesota (projected at 6.0 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 6.9 wins and the #12t draft pick 8. Buffalo (projected at 6.5 wins; currenty 2-4) -- last week projected at 5.1 wins and the #6 draft pick 9. Cincinnati (projected at 6.6 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 5.3 wins and the #6t draft pick 10t. New Orleans (projected at 6.7 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 5.3 wins and the #6t draft pick 10t. San Francisco (projected at 6.7 wins; currently 2-4) -- last week projected at 7.4 wins and the #14 draft pick Dropping out of the Bottom Ten: Chicago and Denver New to the Bottom Ten: Philadelphia, Minnesota and San Francisco ...and the top 12 teams ('cause 12 teams go to the playoffs) ... are: 1. New England (projected at 13.8 wins; currently 7-0) -- last week projected at 13.8 wins 2. Indianapolis (projected at 13.2 wins; currently 6-0) -- last week projected at 12.7 wins 3. Dallas (projected at 11.9 wins; currently 6-1) -- last week projected at 11.5 wins 4. Green Bay (projected at 11.7 wins; currently 5-1) -- last week projected at 11.8 wins 5. New York Giants (projected at 10.4 wins; currently 5-2) -- last week projected at 9.9 wins 6. Pittsburgh (projected at 10.3 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 11.6 wins 7. Tennessee (projected at 9.8 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 9.0 wins 8. Jacksonville (projected at 9.6 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 9.2 wins 9. Washington (projected at 9.5 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projecteda at 8.7 wins 10t. Seattle (projected at 9.4 wins; currently 4-3) -- last week projected at 8.7 wins 10t. Carolina (projected at 9.4 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 9.3 wins 12. Detroit (projected at 9.3 wins; currently 4-2) -- last week projected at 8.5 wins Dropping out of the Top Twelve: Tampa Bay and Baltimore New to the Top Twelve: Washington and Detroit Based on the W/L records of teams' future opponents, the following teams have the easiest and hardest schedules going forward: 1. Detroit -- opponents are currently 0.600 2. Carolina -- opponents are currently 0.594 3. Oakland -- opponents are currently 0.587 4. New York -- opponents are currently 0.586 5. Baltimore -- opponents are currently 0.579 28. New Orleans -- opponents are currently 0.394 29. San Francisco -- opponents are currently 0.385 30. Arizona -- opponents are currently 0.379 31. Cleveland -- opponents are currently 0.379 32. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.373 Edited October 23, 2007 by muck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Cid Posted October 23, 2007 Share Posted October 23, 2007 muck, can you tell me how you're projecting wins, or are you pulling this from somewhere? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingfish247 Posted October 23, 2007 Share Posted October 23, 2007 (edited) There is still a lot of competition for the top draft picks for the upcoming NFL draft. ... Sweet info One thing jumps out at me though. Tampa drops out of your top team projections but Carolina jumps in? Carolina, at this point, has the 2nd toughest rest of season schedule and has already lost 2 home games. Yeah, Tampa has dropped two of their last 3 but they were on the road for both, one loss was against a consensus top 2 team in the league, and they've already beaten Carolina in Carolina. They only have 3 more games against teams with winning records.... one is vs Carolina in Tampa week 17 and another is next week vs the Jags in Tampa while the Jags are searching for a QB. I still think the Bucs are the frontrunners for the NFC South. Edited October 23, 2007 by kingfish247 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twiley Posted October 23, 2007 Share Posted October 23, 2007 <----------- St. Louis Rams Fan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted October 23, 2007 Author Share Posted October 23, 2007 muck, can you tell me how you're projecting wins, or are you pulling this from somewhere? Pretty simple ... team names in a hat ... numbers in another hat ... pull one from each and voila! Or, compare a teams' W/L % to the W/L % of future opponents and use that differential to determine how many future games they'll win ... add to current wins ... and voila! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted October 23, 2007 Author Share Posted October 23, 2007 Sweet info One thing jumps out at me though. Tampa drops out of your top team projections but Carolina jumps in? Carolina, at this point, has the 2nd toughest rest of season schedule and has already lost 2 home games. Yeah, Tampa has dropped two of their last 3 but they were on the road for both, one loss was against a consensus top 2 team in the league, and they've already beaten Carolina in Carolina. They only have 3 more games against teams with winning records.... one is vs Carolina in Tampa week 17 and another is next week vs the Jags in Tampa while the Jags are searching for a QB. I still think the Bucs are the frontrunners for the NFC South. TB is the 13th team on my list at 9.2 wins ... their future opponents average W/L is only 0.414 ... I don't get too fancy in looking at which teams beat which other teams ... just look at their W/L % and compare that to their future opponents ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.