The Race to the Bottom (and Top)

[muck]

By looking at past opponents and future opponents, here's what the rest of the season looks like. Note we have a new "crappiest team in the NFL" this week as Miami steps aside and St. Louis jumps up to the #1 slot.

 

1. St. Louis (projected at 2.0 wins; currently 0-8) -- last week projected at 2.0 wins and the #1t draft pick

2. Miami (projected at 2.1 wins; currently 0-8) -- last week projected at 2.0 wins and the #1t draft pick

3. New York Jets (projected at 2.8 wins; currently 1-8) -- last week projected at 2.8 wins and the #3 draft pick

4t. Atlanta (projected at 5.0 wins; currently 2-6) -- last week projected at 4.0 wins and the #4 draft pick

4t. Oakland (projected at 5.0 wins; currently 2-6) -- last week projected at 5.3 wins and the #5 draft pick

4t. San Francisco (projected at 5.0 wins; currently 2-6) -- last week projected at 5.7 wins and the #7 draft pick

7. Cincinnati (projected at 5.3 wins; currently 2-6) -- last week projected at 5.9 wins and the #8 draft pick

8t. Philadelphia (projected at 6.5 wins; currently 3-5) -- last week projected at 7.0 wins and the #11 draft pick

8t. Minnesota (projected at 6.5 wins; currently 3-5) -- last week projected at 5.5 wins and the #6 draft pick

10. Arizona (projected at 6.6 wins; currently 3-5) -- last week projected at 7.3 wins and the #12 draft pick

 

Dropping out of the Bottom Ten: Houston and Chicago

New to the Bottom Ten: Philadelphia and Arizona

 

 

...and the top 12 teams ('cause 12 teams go to the playoffs) ... are:

1. New England (projected at 14.5 wins; currently 9-0) -- last week projected at 14.0 wins

2. Indianapolis (projected at 12.9 wins; currently 7-1) -- last week projected at 13.9 wins

3. Green Bay (projected at 12.6 wins; currently 7-1) -- last week projected at 12.3 wins

4. Dallas (projected at 12.3 wins; currently 7-1) -- last week projected at 11.9 wins

5t. Pittsburgh (projected at 11.2 wins; currently 6-2) -- last week projected at 10.6 wins

5t. Tennessee (projected at 11.2 wins; currently 6-2) -- last week projected at 10.5 wins

7. New York Giants (projected at 10.6 wins; currently 6-2) -- last week projected at 10.7 wins

8. Detroit (projected at 10.6 wins; currently 6-2) -- last week projected at 10.0 wins

9. Cleveland (projected at 9.6 wins; currently 5-3) -- last week projected at 8.8 wins

10. Jacksonville (projected at 9.5 wins; currently 5-3) -- last week projected at 10.5 wins

11. Washington (projected at 9.4 wins; currently 5-3) -- last week projected at 9.1 wins

12. Tampa Bay (projected at 9.0 wins; currently 5-4) -- last week projected at 8.4 wins

 

Dropping out of the Top Twelve: Seattle and San Diego

New to the Top Twelve: Cleveland and Tampa Bay

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' future opponents, the following teams have the easiest and hardest schedules going forward:

1. New York Jets -- opponents are currently 0.649 [good luck winning that second game, Coach Mangenius.]

2. Detroit -- opponents are currently 0.641 [good luck getting your 10th win, Mr. Kitna]

3. New York Giants -- opponents are currently 0.615

4. Houston -- opponents are currently 0.614

5. Philadelphia -- opponents are currently 0.600

 

28t. Pittsburgh -- opponents are currently 0.394 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

28t. Cleveland -- opponents are currently 0.394 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

30. Arizona -- opponents are currently 0.391

31. New Orleans -- opponents are currently 0.364 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

32. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.328 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' previous opponents (excluding the impact of the outcome of each teams direct games with their opponents, the following teams had the easiest and hardest schedules already played -- who has played the hardest and easiest schedule:

1. Indianapolis -- opponents are currently 0.661 in games where they dind't play the Colts

2. Denver -- opponents are currently 0.643 in games where they didn't play the Broncos

3. Chicago -- opponents are currently 0.625 in games where they dind't play the Bears

4. Philadelphia -- opponents are currently 0.579 in games where they didn't play the Eagles

5. Tampa Bay -- opponents are currently 0.556 in games where they didn't play the Buccaneers

 

 

25t. Arizona -- opponents are currently 0.439 in games where they didn't play the Cardinals

25t. Detroit -- opponents are currently 0.439 in games where they didn't play the Lions

25t. Kansas City -- opponents are currently 0.439 in games where they didn't play the Chiefs

25t. New York Giants -- opponents are currently 0.439 in games where they didn't play the Giants

29. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.429 in games where they didn't play the Seahawks

30. Cleveland -- opponents are currently 0.421 in games where they didn't play the Browns

31. San Francisco -- opponents are currently 0.411 in games where they didn't play the 49ers

32. Baltimore -- opponents are currently 0.333 in games where they didn't play the Ravens