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The Race to the Bottom (and the Top)


muck
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By looking at past opponents and future opponents, here's what the rest of the season looks like. Note we have a new "crappiest team in the NFL" this week as Miami nudges aside and St. Louis and reclaims the #1 slot.

 

1. Miami (projected at 1.7 wins; currently 0-9) -- last week projected at 2.1 wins and the #2 draft pick

2. New York Jets (projected at 2.9 wins; currently 1-8) -- last week projected at 2.8 wins and the #3 draft pick

3. St. Louis (projected at 3.1 wins; currently 1-8) -- last week projected at 2.0 wins and the #1 draft pick

4. Oakland (projected at 4.2 wins; currently 2-7) -- last week projected at 5.0 wins and the #4t draft pick

5. San Francisco (projected at 4.7 wins; currently 2-7) -- last week projected at 5.0 wins and the #4t draft pick

6. Atlanta (projected at 5.9 wins; currently 3-6) -- last week projected at 5.0 wins and the #4t draft pick

7t. Minnesota (projected at 6.2 wins; currently 3-6) -- last week projected at 6.5 wins and the #8t draft pick

7t. Cincinnati (projected at 6.2 wins; currently 3-6) -- last week projected at 5.3 wins and the #7 draft pick

9. Houston (projected at 7.0 wins; currently 4-5) -- last week projected at 7.0 wins and the #13 draft pick

10. Carolina (projected at 7.0 wins; currently 4-5) -- last week projected at 7.8 wins and the #15 draft pick

 

Dropping out of the Bottom Ten: Philadelphia and Arizona

New to the Bottom Ten: Houston and Carolina

 

 

...and the top 12 teams ('cause 12 teams go to the playoffs) ... are:

1. New England (projected at 14.5 wins; currently 9-0) -- last week projected at 14.5 wins

2. Green Bay (projected at 12.9 wins; currently 8-1) -- last week projected at 12.6 wins

3. Dallas (projected at 12.8 wins; currently 8-1) -- last week projected at 12.3 wins

4t. Pittsburgh (projected at 11.7 wins; currently 7-2) -- last week projected at 11.2 wins

4t. Indianapolis (projected at 11.7 wins; currently 7-2) -- last week projected at 12.9 wins

6. Tennessee (projected at 10.2 wins; currently 6-3) -- last week projected at 11.2 wins

7. Jacksonville (projected at 10.1 wins; currently 6-3) -- last week projected at 9.5 wins

8. New York Giants (projected at 9.9 wins; currently 6-3) -- last week projected at 10.6 wins

8. Detroit (projected at 9.7 wins; currently 6-3) -- last week projected at 10.6 wins

10t. Tampa Bay (projected at 8.9 wins; currently 5-4) -- last week projected at 9.0 wins

10t. Cleveland (projected at 8.9 wins; currently 5-4) -- last week projected at 9.6 wins

12t. Seattle (projected at 8.8 wins; currently 5-4) -- last week projected at 8.2 wins

12t. San Diego (projected at 8.8 wins; currently 5-4) -- last week projected at 7.9 wins

 

Dropping out of the Top Twelve: Washington

New to the Top Twelve: Seattle and San Diego

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' future opponents, the following teams have the easiest and hardest schedules going forward:

1. Detroit -- opponents are currently 0.667 [good luck getting your 10th win, Mr. Kitna]

2. Washington -- opponents are currently 0.619

3. Houston -- opponents are currently 0.611

4t. Baltimore -- opponents are currently 0.603

4t. Carolina -- opponents are currently 0.603

 

27t. Pittsburgh -- opponents are currently 0.397 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

27t. Cincinnati -- opponents are currently 0.397

27t. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.397 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

27t. San Francisco -- opponents are currently 0.397

31. Cleveland -- opponents are currently 0.381 [nice stretch run to the playoffs]

32. Arizona -- opponents are currently 0.365

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' previous opponents (excluding the impact of the outcome of each teams direct games with their opponents, the following teams had the easiest and hardest schedules already played -- who has played the hardest and easiest schedule:

1t. Denver -- opponents are currently 0.625 in games where they didn't play the Broncos

1t. Indianapolis -- opponents are currently 0.625 in games where they dind't play the Colts

3. Minnesoata -- opponents are currently 0.611 in games where they dind't play the Vikings

4t. Chicago -- opponents are currently 0.569 in games where they dind't play the Bears

4t. San Diego -- opponents are currently 0.569 in games where they didn't play the Chargers

 

 

26t. Carolina -- opponents are currently 0.444 in games where they didn't play the Panthers

26t. Detroit -- opponents are currently 0.444 in games where they didn't play the Lions

26t. Houston -- opponents are currently 0.444 in games where they didn't play the Texans

26t. Kansas City -- opponents are currently 0.444 in games where they didn't play the Chiefs

30. Oakland -- opponents are currently 0.431 in games where they didn't play the Raiders

31. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.413 in games where they didn't play the Seahawks

32. Baltimore -- opponents are currently 0.375 in games where they didn't play the Ravens

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