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The Race to the Bottom (and Top)


muck
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By looking at past opponents and future opponents, here's what the rest of the season looks like.

 

1. Miami (projected at 1.3 wins; currently 0-11)

2. New York Jets (projected at 3.5 wins; currently 2-9)

3. St. Louis (projected at 3.6 wins; currently 2-9)

4. Oakland (projected at 4.5 wins; currently 3-8)

5. San Francisco (projected at 4.9 wins; currently 3-8)

6. Atlanta (projected at 5.0 wins; currently 3-8)

7t. Baltimore (projected at 5.9 wins; currently 4-7)

7t. Carolina (projected at 5.9 wins; currently 4-7)

9. Kansas City (projected at 6.2 wins; currently 4-7)

10. Cincinnati (projected at 6.4 wins; currently 4-7)

 

 

...and the top 12 teams ('cause 12 teams go to the playoffs) ... are:

1. New England (projected at 15.0 wins; currently 11-0)

2. Green Bay (projected at 13.6 wins; currently 10-1)

3. Dallas (projected at 13.4 wins; currently 10-1)

4. Indianapolis (projected at 12.4 wins; currently 9-2)

5t. Jacksonville (projected at 11.0 wins; currently 8-3)

5t. Pittsburgh (projected at 11.0 wins; currently 8-3)

7t. Cleveland (projected at 10.1 wins; currently 7-4)

7t Tampa Bay (projected at 10.1 wins; currently 7-4)

9. Seattle (projected at 10.0 wins; currently 7-4)

10. New York Giants (projected at 9.7 wins; currently 7-4)

11. San Diego (projected at 8.8 wins; currently 6-5)

12. Tennessee (projected at 8.7 wins; currently 6-5)

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' future opponents, the following teams have the easiest and hardest schedules going forward:

1. Oakland -- future opponents are winning 0.691

2. Houston -- future opponents are winning 0.659

3t. Carolina -- future opponents are winning 0.636

3t. Detroit --future opponents are winning 0.636

3t. New York Jets -- future opponents are winning 0.636

..........

28. New England -- opponents are currently 0.386 (can you spell UNDEFEATED?)

29. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.382

30t. Tampa Bay -- opponents are currently 0.364

30t. Cincinnati -- opponents are currently 0.364

32. Cleveland -- opponents are currently 0.345

 

 

Based on the W/L records of teams' previous opponents (excluding the impact of the outcome of each teams direct games with their opponents, the following teams had the easiest and hardest schedules already played:

1t. Denver -- opponents are currently 0.582 in games where they didn't play the Broncos

1t. San Diego -- opponents are currently 0.582 in games where they didn't play the Chargers

3. Minnesoata -- opponents are currently 0.573 in games where they dind't play the Vikings

4t. Indianapolis -- opponents are currently 0.564 in games where they dind't play the Colts

4t. Washington -- opponents are currently 0.564 in games where they dind't play the Redskins

..........

28. Seattle -- opponents are currently 0.434 in games where they didn't play the Seahawks

29. San Franciscio -- opponents are currently 0.427 in games where they didn't play the 49ers

30t. Pittsburgh -- opponents are currently 0.418 in games where they didn't play the Steelers

30t. Baltimore -- opponents are currently 0.418 in games where they didn't play the Ravens

32. Oakland -- opponents are currently 0.409 in games where they didn't play the Raiders

Edited by muck
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