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1st round RBs and their impact in Super Bowls or HOF


Riffraff
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I didn't read the article. It was simply too long and poorly written. I got as far as this paragraph though:

 

Their point was, of the 54 quarterbacks selected in the first round of the past 24 drafts, including supplemental and that 1984 underclassman draft, only six of them have been able to win a Super Bowl - Troy Aikman, Steve Young, Trent Dilfer, Ben Roethlisberger, Peyton Manning and Eli Manning. That's it, 11 percent, and Young and Dilfer didn't win their Super Bowls with the team they began their careers with, oddly both Tampa Bay.

 

Ok, so the argument is that 54 QBs have gone in the first round and only 11% of them have won a SB. Well, let's look closer. For starters, there have only been 24 SBs in this time. So, at best, if a different first round QB won every year, only 44% could have won a SB. So 44% would be a perfect score. That means they have been 25% successful, more than double the author's claim. Now let us recall that Aikman and Young won 3 rings each. So first round QBs have won 10 out of 24 SBs, a mere 42% of SBs in that time. Almost FOUR TIMES greater than the author tries to claim. Stay tuned as I may actually read through the article to see what he has to say about RBs.

 

"Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable." -Mark Twain

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Ok, I went through the rest of it. I'm not even going to address the logic used, just the statistics used as support. This was the overarching complaint:

 

Let's continue now, simply looking at first-round backs and what they mean to your Super Bowl aspirations. Go back to the 58 backs selected in the first rounds between 1990-07. Only 15 of those guys have played in a Super Bowl.

 

So the implication is, boo hoo only 15 out of 58 have gotten to the SB. First off there have only been 18 SBs. 15 first round backs in 18 years. Wow, paltry! (BTW, they made 19 appearances in those 18 SBs) Secondly, 9 of those SBs were won by first round backs. 9 out of 18, or 50%. First round backs have won half of the SBs in the last 18 years? I certainly don't want one of those on my team!

 

I'm not making a case one way or the other about McFadden. I'm just saying this guy's case stands on very shaky ground. Oh to be a sportswriter.

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