Chief Dick Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 Here is my list of the 5 worst teams in the NFL. 1. Kansas City. They may not win a game this year. 2. St Louis. They may not either. This will be the first coin flip ever to determine the #1 pick because of 2 winless teams. 3. Detroit. 4. Cincinnati 5. Oakland Discuss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
detlef Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 I think at some point, Detroit, Cinci, and Oakland are going to be able to step up and beat somebody. Hell, both Cinci and Oak took what appear to be good teams to the brink this last week. Detroit, while they look like garbage are going to be able to outscore a few teams this year. None the less, the only change I make to your list is to put St. Louis at the top and skip like 5 steps before #3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylive5 Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 Think it could be a dead heat between: KC Hou StLou I seeing all of them each winning 1 game. If they are really, really lucky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexgaddis Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 6. Packers that devastating loss to Dallas will have a lasting effect throughout the year and they won't win another game... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
detlef Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 Think it could be a dead heat between: KC Hou StLou I seeing all of them each winning 1 game. If they are really, really lucky. Wow, forgot about Houston. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetsfan Posted September 23, 2008 Share Posted September 23, 2008 (edited) Wow, forgot about Houston. Hey now! We have promise!!!! and we get to play both the Lions and Raiders Edited September 23, 2008 by jetsfan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Fan Posted September 24, 2008 Share Posted September 24, 2008 I'd be excited about the pick except that the Rams are incapable of drafting a decent player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpholmes Posted September 24, 2008 Share Posted September 24, 2008 I didn't realize winning one game against the Patriots lifted the Dolphins completely out of the bottom teams... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
detlef Posted September 24, 2008 Share Posted September 24, 2008 I'd be excited about the pick except that the Rams are incapable of drafting a decent player. You shouldn't be excited regardless. Until the NFL is able to put in a rookie salary structure, a top 5-10 pick is actually a bad thing for your team. Even if you don't totally botch it, you're paying a ton more for players who historically have statistically no better chance of panning out than players taken later in the same round. I ran the numbers not long ago, dividing up the 1st round into 3 sections, rating players primarily on total starts made as a percentage of games in the league and awarding subjective bonus points for All Pro status. Over all, there was no 1/3 of the round that showed any better than the others. However, if you look at how much these players are getting paid, it's insane. Guys in the back end of the draft are looking at contracts like $8mil over 4 years while guys at the front are getting $8 mil per year for 5 (or more). That's a lot of scratch for a guy who's really no more likely to be a productive player for you than a guy taken 15 picks later. Remember, in most cases, maybe 4-5 players at any one position are being taken in the 1st round. That means, out of the 100s of college prospects at that position, you're getting no worse than the 4th or 5th best. And paying 1/4th the money as you would for a guy rated (which is also just the educated opinion of the scouts) 3-4 spots better. I'll take the 4th best thank you. If you end up with top 5-10 picks a few years in a row, you'll have a huge percentage of your cap tied up in rookies (which you'd have to agree are the hardest to predict success since they haven't played a down in the NFL) and have no money left over to resign players that do end up being good or bringing on free agents. And if such a team couples it's high priced rookies with one or two marquee FA signings, they'll be scraping the bottom of the barrel for the rest of their starters because they'll be totally capped out. Considering that you need to pay about 30 guys who you expect to give significant playing time to (and that's before injuries), that seems like a recipe for being pretty bad. The contracts for the top rookies has only recently exploded, so the effects haven't manifested yet but it seems rather inevitable. A rather unintended consequence of "rewarding" the worst teams in the league with the 1st picks. Sorry to digress. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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