muck Posted November 18, 2008 Share Posted November 18, 2008 ...abbreviated due to enormous time pressures at work... ...interesting observations: GB, CHI and MIN all project to be 8-8 with GB nosing out the other two teams for the division crown due primarily to GBs average Margin of Victory AFC West projects to win a combined total of only 23 games, one fewer than the NFC West. Both the NFC East and the NFC South project to combine for 39 wins. DET has the 6th easiest schedule already played and the hardest still to play ... not looking good for a team that wants to avoid 0-16. CAR has the 2nd hardest schedule from here on out and TB has the 6th easiest from here on out. ARI is on pace to win their division by SIX games. IND has the easiest schedule from here on out. CHI and MIA are close behind... KC has the 3rd easiest schedule from here on out; do not think that a string of good performances is necessarily indicative of them turning some sort of corner. ......................... Playoff Teams: 14-2 TEN 11-5 PIT 11-5 NYJ 9-7 DEN 9-7 MIA 9-7 IND 13-3 NYG 12-4 CAR 11-5 ARI 8-8 GB 11-5 TB 9-7 WAS ......................... 2009 NFL Draft Order: 1-15 DET 3-13 KC 3-12-1 CIN 4-12 STL 4-12 SEA 4-12 OAK 5-11 SF 5-11 HOU 7-9 CLE 7-9 JAX 7-9 SD 8-8 NO 8-8 BUF 8-8 MIN 8-8 CHI 8-7-1 PHI 9-7 DAL 9-7 ATL 9-7 NE 9-7 BAL ......................... Next Weeks Winners (87-57 for weeks 2-11, didn't pick week one due to lack of data): BUF beats KC MIA beats NE TEN beats NYJ PIT beats CIN BAL beats PHI CLE beats HOU IND beats SD MIN beats JAX DEN beats OAK NYG beats ARI WAS beats SEA DAL beats SF GB beats NO CHI beats STL TB beats DET CAR beats ATL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip_Side Posted November 18, 2008 Share Posted November 18, 2008 I love seeing Miami in that playoff picture but I'm not crowning them yet. They need to take care of business this week against NE and not sure that I like that they are favored. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted November 22, 2008 Author Share Posted November 22, 2008 I love seeing Miami in that playoff picture but I'm not crowning them yet. They need to take care of business this week against NE and not sure that I like that they are favored. Why would you not want to see others think that your team may do well? That's sorta like wanting someone to tell you that your wife is ugly, isn't it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip_Side Posted November 22, 2008 Share Posted November 22, 2008 Why would you not want to see others think that your team may do well? That's sorta like wanting someone to tell you that your wife is ugly, isn't it? Because usually when we're favored we don't play well......... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brentastic Posted November 22, 2008 Share Posted November 22, 2008 Good stuff Muck - I love this analysis you do Please keep it coming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 ...10-5 on the week heading into tonight... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skippy Posted November 25, 2008 Share Posted November 25, 2008 I don't ever come back and see how your predictions, I mean the math, did for the week. Is 10-5 out of the normal good for the system? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted November 25, 2008 Author Share Posted November 25, 2008 I don't ever come back and see how your predictions, I mean the math, did for the week. Is 10-5 out of the normal good for the system? A little bit maybe ... I'm 87-57 after 10 weeks ... an average of 60.4% ... and, 10 of 15 is 66.7% right ... Best week was (iirc) 13-2 a couple of weeks ago; worst week was something around 50% (iirc). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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