muck Posted November 25, 2008 Share Posted November 25, 2008 (edited) Interesting observations: AFC Central is the worst offensive conference in the NFL (849 points scored) NFC West is the worst defensive conference in the NFL (1,196 points allowed) NFC West has the widest margin of average loss in the NFL (-6.1 points per game loss, per team averge) AFC East and NFC South tie for the best offensive conferences in the NFL (1,100 points scored) AFC Central has the best defensive conference in the NFL (860 points allowed) AFC South has the widest margin of average win in the NFL (+3.3 points per game win, per team average) AFC Central has played the hardest schedule so far (average opponent has a 0.549 winning percentage) AFC East has played the easiest schedule so far (average opponent has a 0.461 winning percentage) CAR, PHI and PIT has the hardest schedule from here on out; opponents have a 0.636 average winning percentage DET has the 4th hardest (not looking good!) IND has the easiest schedule from here on out; opponents have a 0.355 average winning percentage MIA, KC and GB are next in line at 0.364, 0.373 and 0.400 respectively Points allowed by future opponents (i.e., their defenses are good / bad): 19.3 ppg PIT (i.e., their future opponents do not allow many points) 19.5 ppg DAL 20.4 ppg CLE 20.8 ppg HOU 20.9 ppg NYG and PHI ... 24.1 ppg STL 24.4 ppg ARI 24.5 ppg KC 25.1 ppg NYJ 26.6 ppg MIA Points scored by future opponents (i.e., their offenses are good / bad): 26.6 ppg CAR (i.e, their future opponents score a bunch) 25.1 ppg MIN 25.0 ppg DET 24.5 ppg CHI 24.3 ppg BUF ... 20.6 ppg TEN 20.2 ppg CIN 19.8 ppg BAL 19.8 ppg KC 19.0 ppg IND ............................... Projected Playoff Teams: 14-2 TEN (notice that their year-end projected W/L didn't change even though they lost last week) 11-5 NYJ 11-5 PIT 8-8 DEN 10-6 IND 10-6 BAL 13-3 NYG 11-5 TB 10-6 ARI 9-7 CHI 11-5 CAR 10-6 ATL ............................... 2009 Projected Draft Order: 1-15 DET 3-13 KC 3-12-1 CIN 4-12 STL 4-12 SEA 5-11 SF 5-11 OAK 6-10 CLE 6-10 HOU 6-10 JAX 6-10 SD 7-8-1 PHI 8-8 GB 8-8 BUF 9-7 MIN 9-7 NO 9-7 MIA 10-6 DAL 10-6 WAS 10-6 NE ...lots of interesting teams just missing the playoffs...and lots of NFC West teams bunched at the top of the draft board would possibly make for some interesting manuvering... ............................... Projected Winners for Week 13 (97 - 63 through week 12; didn't project week 1 games due to lack of data): BUF beats SF PIT beats NE NYJ beats DEN MIA beats STL BAL beats CIN IND beats CLE TEN beats DET JAX beats HOU ATL beats SD OAK beats KC NYG beats WAS DAL beats SEA ARI beats PHI CAR beats GB CHI Beats MIN TB beats NO Edited November 25, 2008 by muck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bark Posted November 25, 2008 Share Posted November 25, 2008 just curious have your game predictions gotten better as the season goes on due to more data or have they stayed the same? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrTed46 Posted November 25, 2008 Share Posted November 25, 2008 (edited) just curious have your game predictions gotten better as the season goes on due to more data or have they stayed the same? I am curious as well..do you keep track on your predictions compared to actual results? ETA: I re-read the data and I see you keep track minus week 1. Ignore this. Edited November 25, 2008 by MrTed46 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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