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I was so right...and I was sooo wrong


Swiss Cheezhead
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RIGHT

 

3. KCC – DE Tyson Jackson (Louisiana State)

Surprise? Most “insiders” at this point don’t think so (Nawrocki and now Kiper both have Jackson going #3). I think this decision will be fairly difficult for Pioli, but this is his first pick as the KC GM -- he needs to hit a line-drive, not swing for the fences. For a 3-4 scheme, Jackson has the least amount of bust potential of any player in the draft. He’s a good example of a kid who did everything the LSU defensive scheme asked of him, but most people believe he’ll be a better pro than he was a college player. Pioli looks at him, sees Ty Warren, and smiles.

 

Sanchez has the media unflappability of Eli Manning and the on-field overt competitiveness of Tom Brady. He’s the perfect QB-of-the-future for this “restarting” New York team. They have enough other pieces to win some games this year and still let Sanchez be the backup in 2009.

 

16. TBB (via SDC) – QB Josh Freeman (Kansas State)

I think the Bucs have liked Freeman all along, and at this point they’ll want to get ahead of Jacksonville and Denver to grab the last legit franchise QB in the draft. Leftwich and McCown can hold down the starter’s spot for a year or two, and at that point, Tampa can proceed with their big, mobile, cannon-armed, NFL-ready quarterback.

 

18. DEN – RB Knowshon Moreno (Georgia)

Nobody on the roster is even a potential RB-of-the-future for Denver. Buckhalter is 30. Torain is recovering from an injury and doesn’t seem to fit McDaniels’ offense. Moreno is a durable, multi-skilled workhorse. Denver might be tempted by Beanie Wells, but McDaniels has plenty of experience with another talented runner with questionable toughness and a propensity for injury.

 

WRONG

 

DE Aaron Maybin (Pennsylvania State)

Some folks – plenty of them more knowledgeable than I am – believe Maybin will go in the top half of the round. I highly doubt that.

 

22. MIN – OT Eben Britton (Arizona)

I don’t buy the Percy Harvin interest at all. More likely, Childress started seeing too many people projecting Britton at #22 and decided he needed to throw a few smokescreens.

 

Also...I thought Malcolm Jenkins would go a lot sooner...I picked the wrong USC OLB going to Houston...I never would have predicted A.J. Smith taking an OLB at #16, much less a question-marks guy like English...and the Colts' pick of Donald Brown still mystifies me.

 

BOTH

 

I was absolutely sure the Seahawks wouldn't take Aaron Curry, because I was absolutely sure they wouldn't want to pay all that money to Tatupu, Hill and Curry. Well, I was right on the latter point, which made me wrong on the former point. To me, the move to strip the franchise tag off Leroy Hill is one of the more interesting decisions of the day, since I can't remember the last time it was done -- and it was something NOBODY saw coming.

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