Chief Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 Of which, Muto had 432,867 of them... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorcher Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 I'm 8-1 in one league right now: bye week got me . I did play in one league where a guy went undefeated, won the playoffs, and either made minimal WW moves or didn't make any. The commish commented on this when he posted congratulations. This guy needless to say had an awesome draft! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunday Couch Potatoe Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 Posting about it on the innernets is like kicking the Fantasy Football Gods in the nuts. Well done. Say hello to 9-1. +1 Jinxie! LOL 9-1 fo sho! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samson Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 If you're 9-0 now, I'm going to guess that your all play record would have some losses. Let's guess that your all-play W/L is .700 ... So, if you have a 30% chance of losing any of your next four games, then your chance of losing at least one game from here on out is: X = 1 - [(1-30%)^4] = 76% chance ...or, you have a 24% chance of going undefeated...assuming that (i) your all play record is .700 and (ii) each of your next three opponents' all-play records are exactly .500 both currently and at the time you play them. If your all-play record is better/worse ... and/or your future opponents all-play records are either better or worse than this, it will impact the probability that you go undefeated. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Your mathematical model does nothing but predict what would happen if all teams scored as they have in the past. With all of the changing variables at work, teams will certainly perform differently (vastly so in any given week) than they have in the past. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramhock Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 On the flip side, I am one of 6 teams @ 5-4, one is 4-4-1, four are 4-5 & the last is 3-5-1. :parity: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McBoog Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 This goes back to the "Luck Thread". You will if your luck holds out. I posted there that in three years I went 47-1, losing only the Championship game in the middle year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Dick Posted November 10, 2009 Share Posted November 10, 2009 bye week got me Pretty embarrassing to lose to the bye week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorcher Posted November 11, 2009 Share Posted November 11, 2009 I've been playing FF for 25 years, give or take... and I never saw a team run the table. I think it is a curse going into the playoffs undefeated, not just in FF but in the NFL as well. The odds are stacked against the perfect season. I think you're right, what really hurts in FFB playoffs is NFL teams saving players for their playoffs. Indy has a tendency to do this. If they remain undefeated it would be a hard call. If they lose one game I would bet that they would bench all of their good players during FFB playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buddahj Posted November 11, 2009 Share Posted November 11, 2009 Pretty embarrassing to lose to the bye week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpholmes Posted November 11, 2009 Share Posted November 11, 2009 choker 5-4?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
42zero Posted November 12, 2009 Share Posted November 12, 2009 I pulled a Pats last year also and went undefeated then lost in the championship. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zooty Posted November 12, 2009 Share Posted November 12, 2009 5-4?? My championships=2 yours=0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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