wolfer Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 You are in the playoff hunt, there's 3 games left and you need wins. Sure, your guys have some decent matchups, you feel pretty good about things.... And then you notice your opponent this week is the Chris Johnson owner. And he faces Houston. Oh God. Last time out CJ had 59 ppr points against Houston. Sure Cushing is around this time and they've vastly improved their run D. But this RB is in a league of his own right now. It's like facing Barry Sanders. Or 2007 LT. Chris Johnson, I passed on you in round one, and now you are going to make me pay, aren't you? Please go easy on me. You know, 90 and 1 TD kinda easy. Because next year I promise no matter where I draft, if you are on the board, you will be on my team. Anyone else facing this guy in a game you need to win? Or are you the Chris Johnson owner giggling at the rest of your league right now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexgaddis Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I hate him Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Fan Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cunning Runt Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 My 17yr old son, who I got into FF with me a couple years ago, went out on his own this year in a $100/man league - Auction Format - and ended up with Adrian Peterson and Chris Johnson both, as well as Ronnie Brown. Obviously Brown's out now, but at one time he had the three highest scoring RBs in his league. He's doing nicely obviously. I taught him well. :pats self on back: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nhoops Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) You are in the playoff hunt, there's 3 games left and you need wins. Sure, your guys have some decent matchups, you feel pretty good about things.... And then you notice your opponent this week is the Chris Johnson owner. And he faces Houston. Oh God. Last time out CJ had 59 ppr points against Houston. Sure Cushing is around this time and they've vastly improved their run D. But this RB is in a league of his own right now. It's like facing Barry Sanders. Or 2007 LT. Chris Johnson, I passed on you in round one, and now you are going to make me pay, aren't you? Please go easy on me. You know, 90 and 1 TD kinda easy. Because next year I promise no matter where I draft, if you are on the board, you will be on my team. Anyone else facing this guy in a game you need to win? Or are you the Chris Johnson owner giggling at the rest of your league right now? I'm riding this train as far as it will take me. I'm 5-5, but in 5th place (top 4 make playoffs), and some of the top teams, all 6-4, have issues. I've been lucky in the injury department and have a decent team surrounding Johnson. MJD is facing a Buffalo team that Johnson torched last week, he's a juggernaut as well. Edited November 19, 2009 by nhoops Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buddahj Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) I'm riding this train as far as it will take me. I'm 5-5, but in 5th place (top 4 make playoffs), and some of the top teams, all 6-4, have issues. I've been lucky in the injury department and have a decent team surrounding Johnson. MJD is facing a Buffalo team that Johnson torched last week, he's a juggernaut as well. there's a guy in our league who has c. johnson & mjd. needless to say he's put up the most points & has the best record. Edited November 19, 2009 by buddahj Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BearBroncos Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 That was last week for me..... I lost Granted, I have CJ in my other league and CJ pushed me over the top to win out in that league Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrip Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I NEED to win this week but am facing Johnson AND Wayne. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cunning Runt Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I NEED to win this week but am facing Johnson AND Wayne. We don't play each other this week do we? I've got both those guys. Their stellar performance this past week was offset by Romo doing nothing for me, Miles Austin doing nothing, and Nate Burleson doing less than nothing. Still won thankfully, so ya - it's nice to be able to plug 'em into the lineup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brentastic Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 All players usually revert to their mean. The law of averages suggest that CJ will have an off day - I'd actually be happy to face him this week (seriously). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cunning Runt Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 All players usually revert to their mean. The law of averages suggest that CJ will have an off day - I'd actually be happy to face him this week (seriously). I'd take his average... seriously. In my league he's averaging what amounts to 120yds rushing and 2 TDs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustDoIt Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) All players usually revert to their mean. The law of averages suggest that CJ will have an off day - I'd actually be happy to face him this week (seriously). You do not know much math if you believe that is what the law of averages means... Edited November 19, 2009 by JustDoIt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RAIDER209NATION Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I traded Kevin Smith and TJ Housh for CJ back in week 4. My other RB: DeAngelo Williams Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Medal of Honor Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) Yes I need a win in BOTH of my leagues and in BOTH leagues I am facing this a-hole. To make matters worse I lost Ronnie Brown and Michael Turner this week. Edited November 19, 2009 by Medal of Honor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whomper Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 You can act like a man !!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingfish247 Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I rue the day I missed on CJ in my main (semi-keeper) league last year. I was at the turn. I took Forte (he was the clear starter so I had him ranked slightly higher last year) then fully expected to get CJ like 3 picks later... then poof. Gone. He didn't make it back to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brentastic Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 You have not taken much math if you believe that is what the law of averages means... Law of averages is not really a math term, genius. What I mean by it, however, is that CJ cannot and will not continue the pace he has set the last 3 or so games - he's 'due' to have a few off games and I'm willing to bet this week will be an off game. If you want to place a friendly wager, let's do so. Currently, his average average this year is 150 yards (rushing/receiving combined) and 1 TD per game. For his career, his average is 118.38 all purpose yards and .79 TD per game - rounded, that would be 118/1 per game. I'm willing to bet he reverts to his career mean - so we could set the over/under at 118 and 1TD and I'll take the under. Let me know if you want to play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 Playing against Johnson AND Brees. 4-6, tenth place, SECOND IN TOTAL POINTS behind the team I face this week. I'm making all kinds of offers with any diety that will hear my pleas. This is a make or break game for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaP'N GRuNGe Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I called Bradshaw and he told me Chris Johnson was not playing this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaP'N GRuNGe Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) Yes, very much a must win game in a battle of two 7-3 teams...AND i trade Chris Johnson to my opponent last year in this dynasty league: Puddy Drew Brees Chris Johnson Ray Rice Miles Austin Mike Sims-Walker TJ Houshmandzadeh Dallas Clark Ryan Longwell Chargers me Peyton Manning Adrian Peterson Anquan Boldin DeSean Jackson Marques Colston Calvin Johnson Vernon Davis Olindo Mare Saints (also have Cedric Benson who if healthy I may insert for one of the WR) Edited November 19, 2009 by CaP'N GRuNGe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Techwarrior Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 I called Bradshaw and he told me Chris Johnson was not playing this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whomper Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 Yes, very much a must win game in a battle of two 7-3 teams...AND i trade Chris Johnson to my opponent last year in this dynasty league: Puddy Drew Brees Chris Johnson Ray Rice Miles Austin Mike Sims-Walker TJ Houshmandzadeh Dallas Clark Ryan Longwell Chargers me Peyton Manning Adrian Peterson Anquan Boldin DeSean Jackson Marques Colston Calvin Johnson Vernon Davis Olindo Mare Saints (also have Cedric Benson who if healthy I may insert for one of the WR) 2 great teams Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustDoIt Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) Law of averages is not really a math term, genius. What I mean by it, however, is that CJ cannot and will not continue the pace he has set the last 3 or so games - he's 'due' to have a few off games and I'm willing to bet this week will be an off game. If you want to place a friendly wager, let's do so. Currently, his average average this year is 150 yards (rushing/receiving combined) and 1 TD per game. For his career, his average is 118.38 all purpose yards and .79 TD per game - rounded, that would be 118/1 per game. I'm willing to bet he reverts to his career mean - so we could set the over/under at 118 and 1TD and I'll take the under. Let me know if you want to play. haha... wow It is a statistical term... which, by the average community college would be a math term... Straight from wikipedia... 5 common myths on the law of averages.. * Belief that an event is "due" to happen: For example, "The roulette wheel has landed on red three consecutive times. The law of averages says it's due to land on black!" Of course, the wheel has no memory and its probabilities do not change according to past results. So even if the wheel has landed on red 10 consecutive times the probability that the next roll will be black is still 48.6% (it would be exactly 50% if there were no green zero). Similarly, there is no statistical basis for the belief that a losing sports team is due to win a game or that lottery numbers which haven't appeared recently are due to appear soon. This sort of belief is called the gambler's fallacy. * Belief that a sample's average must equal its expected value. For example, if one flips a fair coin 100 times, there is only an 8% chance that there will be exactly 50 heads. * Belief that a rare occurrence will happen given enough time: For example, "If I send my résumé to enough places, the law of averages says that someone will eventually hire me." This may actually be true assuming nonzero probabilities and the law of averages is simply named in place of the Law of Large Numbers. * Belief that over time, statistics must accumulate to gradual even amount, regardless of the actual scenario. For example, the law of averages would expect that in a football league of ten teams, over a period time each team would gradually balance out to have the same amount of wins and losses, regardless of how skilled or how unskilled any one team might be. * Belief that Chris Johnson, over time, will have to have a bad game, because he has had two games above average the past two weeks. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_averages Edited November 19, 2009 by JustDoIt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Fan Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 (edited) haha... wowIt is a statistical term... which, by the average community college would be a math term... Straight from wikipedia... 5 common myths on the law of averages.. * Belief that an event is "due" to happen: For example, "The roulette wheel has landed on red three consecutive times. The law of averages says it's due to land on black!" Of course, the wheel has no memory and its probabilities do not change according to past results. So even if the wheel has landed on red 10 consecutive times the probability that the next roll will be black is still 48.6% (it would be exactly 50% if there were no green zero). Similarly, there is no statistical basis for the belief that a losing sports team is due to win a game or that lottery numbers which haven't appeared recently are due to appear soon. This sort of belief is called the gambler's fallacy. * Belief that a sample's average must equal its expected value. For example, if one flips a fair coin 100 times, there is only an 8% chance that there will be exactly 50 heads. * Belief that a rare occurrence will happen given enough time: For example, "If I send my résumé to enough places, the law of averages says that someone will eventually hire me." This may actually be true assuming nonzero probabilities and the law of averages is simply named in place of the Law of Large Numbers. * Belief that over time, statistics must accumulate to gradual even amount, regardless of the actual scenario. For example, the law of averages would expect that in a football league of ten teams, over a period time each team would gradually balance out to have the same amount of wins and losses, regardless of how skilled or how unskilled any one team might be. * Belief that Chris Johnson, over time, will have to have a bad game, because he has had two games above average the past two weeks. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_averages I understood Brent and I agree with his basic premise. Go watch Numb3rs. Edited November 19, 2009 by STL Fan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildcat2334 Posted November 19, 2009 Share Posted November 19, 2009 Law of averages is not really a math term, genius. What I mean by it, however, is that CJ cannot and will not continue the pace he has set the last 3 or so games - he's 'due' to have a few off games and I'm willing to bet this week will be an off game. If you want to place a friendly wager, let's do so. Currently, his average average this year is 150 yards (rushing/receiving combined) and 1 TD per game. For his career, his average is 118.38 all purpose yards and .79 TD per game - rounded, that would be 118/1 per game. I'm willing to bet he reverts to his career mean - so we could set the over/under at 118 and 1TD and I'll take the under. Let me know if you want to play. umm, I will take this bet in a heartbeat - how much u want to wager? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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