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Strength of Schedule Swings


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At about the halfway point in the season, I decided it would be interesting to look at remaining SoS compared to completed games SoS. This should give a more accurate way to evaluate players primed for an increase or decrease in value than a simple remaining SoS comparison.

 

For this exercise, I took the total remaining EoS divided by the remaining games (not including BYEs) and subtracted the completed SoS divided by the number of completed games. If positive, this indicates that the team has an easier SoS remaining than what it has previously completed.

 

Top 25%

 

1 CLE 2.88 McCoy

2 DET 2.52 Stafford

3 TBB 1.84 Freeman

4 CHI 1.48 Cutler

5 NYG 1.36 EManning

6 TEN 1.34 Young

7 ARI 1.17 Hall

8 JAX 1.11 Garrard

 

None of these names jump out to me as relevant except for Stafford and Manning. The rest are either on primarily running teams or have other issues limiting them.

 

Bottom 25%

25 ATL -1.01 Ryan

26 NOS -1.04 Brees

27 CIN -1.10 Palmer

28 MIA -1.14 Henne

29 KCC -1.17 Cassel

30 PHI -1.94 Vick

31 BUF -1.94 Fitzpatrick

32 BAL -1.96 Flacco

 

I wish I had looked at this before I spent a lot of FAAB on Fitz as a Romo replacement. Most of the rest of these teams have a fairly balanced offensive attack so that should cushion some of this.

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