muck Posted November 2, 2010 Share Posted November 2, 2010 (edited) AFC seedings 12-4 NE 11-5 PIT 10-6 IND 10-6 KC 11-5 NYJ 10-6 BAL NFC seedings 10-6 NYG 10-6 ATL 9-7 GB 8-8 STL 9-7 TB 9-7 NO Top 10 Draft Picks: 3-13 BUF 4-12 CAR 4-12 DAL 5-11 DEN 5-11 SF 6-10 CIN 6-10 MIN 6-10 CLE 6-10 DET 7-9 JAC *********************************** DIVISIONAL STANDINGS AFC East 12-4 NE 11-5 NYJ 9-7 MIA 3-13 BUF AFC North 11-5 PIT 10-6 BAL 6-10 CIN 6-10 CLE AFC South 10-6 IND 9-7 TEN 9-7 HOU 7-9 JAC AFC West 10-6 KC 8-8 OAK 8-8 SD 5-11 DEN NFC East 10-6 NYG 9-7 PHI 8-8 WAS 4-12 DAL NFC North 9-7 GB 9-7 CHI 6-10 DET 6-10 MIN NFC South 10-6 ATL 9-7 TB 9-7 NO 4-12 CAR NFC West 8-8 STL 8-8 SEA 8-8 ARI 5-11 SF NOTE: The wins/losses are off by 0 games' outcome (256 wins v. 256 losses) across the entire NFL. Because I project a W/L percentage, occasionally, due to rounding, the standings will have teams (in total) will have one more win that loss, or vice versa. *********************************** Teams with the easiest schedule here on out -- future opponents W/L %: 0.343 ARI 0.422 PIT 0.433 SD 0.443 KC 0.460 NYJ Teams with the hardest schedule here on out -- future opponents W/L %: 0.609 CAR 0.603 TEN 0.561 DAL 0.559 JAC 0.559 OAK *********************************** Power Ranks: 1.187 PIT 1.180 IND 1.167 NE 1.146 NYJ 1.118 TEN 1.114 ATL 1.113 NYG 1.100 KC 1.090 BAL 1.072 GB 1.064 PHI 1.063 NO 1.058 SD 1.040 OAK 1.025 MIA 1.018 TB 1.010 CHI 1.010 HOU 0.988 STL 0.976 WAS 0.953 DET 0.953 SEA 0.925 CIN 0.925 CLE 0.916 MIN 0.883 ARI 0.881 JAC 0.857 SF 0.845 DEN 0.844 DAL 0.768 CAR 0.748 BUF (another big move up in Power Rank by BUF, despite the loss to KC) *********************************** Week 9 Projections: ARI at MIN ... MIN by 5.4 pts TB at ATL ... ATL by 6.6 pts MIA at BAL ... BAL by 4.6 pts CHI at BUF ... CHI by 2.7 pts CAR at NO ... NO by 9.5 pts CIN at PIT ... PIT by 8.9 pts CLE at NE ... NE by 7.4 pts DAL at GB ... GB by 8.2 pts DET at NYJ ... NYJ by 5.7 pts SD at HOU ... HOU by 0.9 pts IND at PHI ... PHI by 1.4 pts KC at OAK ... OAK by 2.3 pts NYG at SEA ... NYG by 1.0 pts ...assumes a 3.0 point "home field advantage" vs. the score at a neutral site... Edited November 2, 2010 by muck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted November 6, 2010 Author Share Posted November 6, 2010 Bill Simmon's Power Ranking Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted November 8, 2010 Author Share Posted November 8, 2010 Week 9 Projections:ARI at MIN ... MIN by 5.4 pts TB at ATL ... ATL by 6.6 pts MIA at BAL ... BAL by 4.6 pts CHI at BUF ... CHI by 2.7 pts CAR at NO ... NO by 9.5 pts CIN at PIT ... PIT by 8.9 pts CLE at NE ... NE by 7.4 pts DAL at GB ... GB by 8.2 pts DET at NYJ ... NYJ by 5.7 pts SD at HOU ... HOU by 0.9 pts IND at PHI ... PHI by 1.4 pts KC at OAK ... OAK by 2.3 pts NYG at SEA ... NYG by 1.0 pts ...assumes a 3.0 point "home field advantage" vs. the score at a neutral site... MIN won by 3 ATL won by 6 BAL won by 16 CHI won by 3 NO won by 31 CIN / PIT ... tbd ... NE lost by 20 (whoops) GB won by 38 NYJ won by 3 SD won by 6 PHI won by 2 OAK won by 3 NYG won by 34 ...so, heading into MNF, I'm 11-1 outright, with several games' projected MOV being pretty spot on the actual MOV... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
i_am_the_swammi Posted November 8, 2010 Share Posted November 8, 2010 Pretty sharp, Muck Question: Your projections heading to Week 9 had Philly finishing at 9-7. They also had them beating the Colts this week by 1.4 to get to 5-3. Am I to assume that your system thus projects them to finish 4-4? Games left against: Cowboys(2x) Giants(2 x) Redskins Vikes Bears Texans I see 5-3 at worst, which would get them to 10-6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted November 8, 2010 Author Share Posted November 8, 2010 Nope ... their projected W/L will probably increase because (i) they won and (ii) they beat a team that is arguably better than them (on a neutral field). I'm looking foward to seeing how this week's numbers differ from last week's after this past weeks' games. Remember, my deal projects a "winning percentage" (and therefore, fractional wins) ... so, it wouldn't project PHI to go 2-0 vs DAL, but to go something like 1.4-0.6 (I haven't ever looked at the impact of ONE game, but all games for the rest of the season, so I don't know what the actual w/l projection for just those two teams would be ... so the 1.4 - 0.6 is just an example to make the point). Who's the worst ranked team (besides BUF)? Did OAK overtake KC for the projected win in the AFC West (even though they're still 1/2 game behind KC)? With both NYJ, NE and IND losing, who's the #1 Power Ranked team in the NFL (esp. if PIT loses tonight)? ...etc... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.