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DMD,Fantasy Football: The Next Level


rush00756
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With what has been going on with the Stud WR Theory the last few years, is it time get away from focusing so much on a 1st round RB and get that WR? Or does this make the Stud RB that much more scarce? I played in four leagues and the teams in the championship game this week (8) 7 picked a WR in the first round? Since reading the book before last season and playing for seven seasons and never making the playoffs in a 10-12 team leagues, I lost in the championship last season and made the semi-finals this year (money league). So I have found the book to be helpful.

 

I guess when you are out of the playoffs, you start peeking towards next season?

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I think it makes a lone, stud RB a hell of allot more scarce. Due to the injuries the last couple of years, many teams are just not willing to spend mega bucks on a single RB and run him into the ground. You are going to see more 3 RB's getting 50/30/20. Stud WR's seem to be more of the norm this year and now it's better to rely on matchup versus your "must start" receiver.

 

I opted to not draft a stud WR this year in the first 5 rounds and worked on RB, TE and QB and relied on the WW to find my go to guys at WR the remainder of the year by week 5

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If it was PPR, I drafted 2 WR's in the first two rounds unless I had a top 4 pick. That strategy served me well because I was counting on being able to pick-up: LeSean McCoy, who was drastically underrated and could be had in the third and fourth rounds and Arian Foster, who was a definite target for me to draft this year. I got him in the 15th round in one league. For those leagues that I drafted in after Ben Tate was hurt, then he was quickly gobbled up. I don't know if I will stick with the two WR's in the first two rounds strategy again for next season. I was saved by McCoy and Foster, whereas my first WR picks were often not so good (i.e. Marshall and Moss).

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I'm going to do a lot of analysis in the offseason about this subject because it is so fundamentally important to the way we draft and the results. In the end you just have to get the players right that you pick but the NFL is really drifting away from the workhorse back.

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I have to admit that I have used the WR/WR/RB/RB method the last 15 years when draftinbg the the bottom 3-4 picks. This year it netted me these guys...

 

AJ-1

Wayne-2

Matthews-3

Charles-4

 

I missed on Mathews, but the rest were spot on for a PPR league. I ended up swapping Wayne in a deal for Roddy that solved bye week issues for both teams after week 5 and have not looked back. Then scoring is not as consistent as RB scoring is, but it is explosive. RB's are as easy to find on the waiver today as WR's...i.e. (Hillis, Tolbert, Torain, Blount, Ivory, LT for RB and Lloyd, Owens, Floyd, MWilliams for WR's)....just have to be very active and smart with your moves and play matchup each week.

Edited by The Ball Basher
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I'm going to do a lot of analysis in the offseason about this subject because it is so fundamentally important to the way we draft and the results. In the end you just have to get the players right that you pick but the NFL is really drifting away from the workhorse back.

 

Sounds great. This is why I subscribe.

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Our league keeps two each year - I'll be keeping Vick and Calvin Johnson. I have to throw Ray Rice and AJ back into the draft pool. Being that I just won the freaking Toilet Bowl I can pick one back up with the first pick. Seriously leaning toward AJ again as we're in PPR.

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I won't spew as others, I would simply say, assuming you have done all the requsite work, take the best athlete on the board at that time. It has worked for me time and time again.

+1000

 

This is especially true when there are positional runs: if 4-5 straight owners grab WRs, there is likely unclaimed value in another position. This year in one league it was RB mania in the first round, so I went with Aaron Rodgers in the QB-friendly league. If nothing else, Rodgers won the league MVP and top QB honors in this league, both of which almost paid back my entry fee.

 

I also avoid the TE or DEF runs, gobbling up quality RBs and WRs while panicky owners are thinking they will miss out on a TE or DEF. In most leagues I figure there will always be serviceable options late on the board, and I also recognize that every year a few defenses and tight ends emerge that were previously forgettable. Last year I snagged the Saints defense off the WW, and I plugged that sucker in almost all year long (NO DEF ended up being the #4 defense in 2009).

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