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Fantasy Football Truisms


WashingtonD
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So I could use folks help,

 

I'm interested in researching and doing some writing around Fantasy Football Truisms (or maxims)

 

Things like:

Always Start Your Studs

Handcuff your top RB

WRs blow up in their 3rd year in the league

 

Those are some of the obvious ones, but I'd be curious about what others are out there (either that you ascribe to or that you don't!)

 

Thanks in advance!

Dave

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Never second guess your lineup choices 5 minutes before kickoff.

 

Always double check that you have a valid lineup submitted ( :wacko: )

 

Don't let your homer-ism cloud your draft choices.

 

A TE in the hand is worth two in the bush... oh wait. Nevermind.

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Anyone have any for rookies - performance, positions to target in redraft, etc? (I mean NFL rookies, not fantasy football rookies)

 

 

And KP, yes I know what ADP stands for, just trying to figure out how to weave the concept of ADP into a "Truism"

 

:P

 

D

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Man, I could probably think of a bunch...

 

Never draft a QB in the first round... I've been burned by this one a couple of times, and still haven't learned. :wacko:

 

If you make a trade for the other owner's homer player, there is a good chance you are overpaying (as they probably overvalue their homer players even more than most owners overvalue their players in general). Or, at least, they will ask you to overpay.

 

For every rookie that meets expectations/projections, there will be a half-dozen who do not. Likewise, for every rookie who is expected to take someone's starting job in their first season, and does, there are five that are expected to, and don't.

 

If you draft a rookie to be your starter at any given position (especially at RB), you will be disappointed, nine times out of ten.

 

Never draft two kickers, as long as there will be something on the waiver wire for your bye week.

 

In tiered PPR leagues, stud tight ends are golden, since they produce equally to (or higher than) stud WR's. :tup:

 

The key to rookie drafts is figuring out when quality is better than quantity, and vice versa. In other words, it's usually not a good idea to accept that offer for your 2nd round pick, when you're getting four picks in the last round in return. On the other hand, since all rookie picks are risky (shots in the dark, basically), it's sometimes better to increase your chances by getting more picks. The key is figuring out when that is wise, and when it is not.

Edited by Gopher
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Never draft a kicker earlier than the last round.

Depends on scoring formats, but in general, I tend to agree. Last year was the worst... In one league, I think I had two kickers go on IR, and a third lost his job. What really sucked is each add/drop costs $5 in that league... I think I spent about $30 on kickers alone, including another add/drop or two for bye-weeks. :wacko:

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Use lists provided by "experts" as a reference not as a bible....

 

I know some people will live and die by so and so draft list... I will look at them and use them for reference (Like all my top WRs have been picked and I'm looking down the list for a name....)

 

I've seen some formats where I'd draft a QB in the first rd but they are where the QB gets 7 points a TD...

 

I like to base my ranking and draft picks off numbers. If I'm able to look at the top scoring player from last year (or heck from the last 3 years) I like to be able to do that.

 

Don't underestimate injuries, they should always concern you and keep a close eye on players who have injuries.

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This is all very helpful and appreciated...to give folks a sense of what I'm angling toward, the writing will have a mythbusters slant where I'll be looking at statistical evidence to either validate or disprove these fantasy "truisms" some of this has been tackled before, but even on those accounts I've got some new ideas on how to evaluate and consider the evidence.

 

Any other ideas are very appreciated!

WD

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