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Good moneyline bets this week for some underdogs


LooGie
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So I just wanted to make sure everyone knows that the moneyline for some of these underdogs (which are all quite capable of winning outright) is pretty good. All games are listed in the order I like them for a bet.

 

The games I like the most:

SEA +140 HOME vs PHI. WINNER!

CAR +175 @ TB WINNER

KC +280 (+270 at places) @ CHI WINNER!

 

I really see SEA upsetting PHI and KC dropping CHI, and any panther fan can tell you how hard they play within their division, so this could be a really nice parlay for $20 just on the chance it happens.

 

if I had to pick one game and seriously put money, I'd probably take SEA

 

 

Honorable Mentions

CLE +250 HOME against BAL. Bal lost to SEA and the mighty Jags..both as the away team. Divisional rival? I'm loving this.

OAK +140 @ MIA I know MIA is hot, but Carson is just about to hit a stride that's worthy of "wow" i bet.

CIN +240 @ PIT CIN always plays PIT hard and has beat PITat home many times.

NYG +270 HOME against GB Hey, Giants at home, and the old cliche "they can't win em all" comes to mind. Of course they can..but Eli is playing great. This could be quite a pick.

 

I would parlay OAK & CLE before the others.

 

 

if i needed a real long shot, I'd be feeling good with a parlay of $20 for SEA, KC, CAR & CLE.

Edited by LooGie
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-I think KC is quite spry and maybe underrated once again, but...

 

Until Orton gets entrenched, I just have a feeling come Sunday you're going to realize you've got a rookie QB that's got 0 TDs and 6 INTs on the road going up against Da Bears. Yikes. Straight up moneyline is tough. Cassel meant a lot to that offense.

 

-I love your Raiders on the road, Miami is an awful home team. Cleveland stands to reason too, but Baltimore is so unpredictable, I'd hate to bet their game.

 

-I've been riding the Hawks all year, as well, but they let me down last week. But I think they get it done with Philly going coast-to-coast on a short week after a Sunday night drubbing.

 

Good post, thanks!

Edited by BleedingGreen
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With Sidney Rice out, I wouldn't bet on the Seahawks.

I don't know that I'd bet on the Seahawks, but it has very little to do with Sidney Rice. Tarvaris Jackson has been AWFUL lately. Not sure that he improves against the Philly corners. If you think Lynch runs for 125+, the Seahawks have a shot. Also, take into account that speed is the thing that kills these oversized Seattle corners. I look for D.Jackson to be a pain in the arse, and Philly to win 24-13.

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The downside to predicting my favorite upset correctly, is that now I trust myself completely and want to bet the farm on the rest of my upsets :wacko:

 

However I think I need to readjust my pics. Upon further review, I'm taking KC off the list. It aint happening.

 

Updated Loogified picks after nailing the SEA upset:

 

CAR +175 @ TB

OAK +140 @ MIA

CLE +250 HOME against BAL

 

FWIW, I have readjusted my take on CLE. I like them to cover with +6.5, but I can't count on BAL losing to ANOTHER TERRIBLE team...

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I was going to parlay the money line on Seattle, Carolina, and Oakland, but my chef's account doesn't 1) parlay moneylines, only straight up bets 2) the point spreads seemed much smaller than I would have expected based on your moneylines and 3) The Carolina game was OTB.

 

So I blew it off.

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Loogie, I like the CAR pick to win, but you better take the points on the others. Keep posting on the Sunday games, I like for other bettor's to bounce their ideas off of me. It helps me sort out my wagers. TIA

 

my pleasure. I take my picks very seriously. I just wrote a spreadsheet to keep track of my picks, and a site I pay for to get their picks. I like to see who's bettor..i mean better :wacko:

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I was going to parlay the money line on Seattle, Carolina, and Oakland, but my chef's account doesn't 1) parlay moneylines, only straight up bets 2) the point spreads seemed much smaller than I would have expected based on your moneylines and 3) The Carolina game was OTB.

 

So I blew it off.

 

really? dang, when did this happen? today, (friday) or yesterday? I'm guessing yesterday since you tried to get in on SEA I'm surprised Carolina OTB.

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really? dang, when did this happen? today, (friday) or yesterday? I'm guessing yesterday since you tried to get in on SEA I'm surprised Carolina OTB.

Oh well, I don't bet often. I just liked your rationale enough on a few of those to see what $20 might turn into.

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I made my first sportsbet in a couple years earlier today. It's a longshot bet, and I intend it to be only a one time deal. I need two upsets to occur to have a good chance for it to happen though. The biggest is Cincy upsetting the defending Superbowl champs in Pittsburgh. Tough one, I know, but Cincy has been game all year and nearly pulled it out a few weeks ago in Cincy despite AJ Green being hobbled in the first quarter (on a touchdown grab over Polamalu nonetheless). Dalton has shown poise throughout the season so I expect this to be a good game regardless. If by chance Cincy can pull this off the rest of my bet card doesn't look too bad. Carolina just won on the road for the first time in a long time last week against the Colts, and this week they have a chance to build on that at another reeling team, Tampa Bay. Freeman is iffy for this one too. Blount should have a field day on the ground, but then again so shouldn't DeAngelo/Cam/Stewart. I like the progression of the two rookie QBs though and think this week they may both be able to turn a corner. We'll see. The rest of my bet card involves the red hot Broncos beating in Minnesota, with Peterson highly questionable again this week. Despite all the concern over Tebow as a passer, the Broncos D has really stepped it up lately with the benefit of the likes of DJ Williams and Elvis Dumervil back in the mix, and the Denver run game has flourished with the Tebow adaptation too. My last pick is the Pats at home against Indy, taking the points which I believe New England will have no problem covering (got it at 20.5). I feel most assured about this pick. It's certainly a long shot for me to hit on all 4 and I realize that, especially with my first three picks being road games and all, that just doesn't look good right off the bat, but on a 50 dollar bet it would pay out over $1600 if I hit it, so wish me luck!!!

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I made my first sportsbet in a couple years earlier today. It's a longshot bet, and I intend it to be only a one time deal. I need two upsets to occur to have a good chance for it to happen though. The biggest is Cincy upsetting the defending Superbowl champs in Pittsburgh. Tough one, I know, but Cincy has been game all year and nearly pulled it out a few weeks ago in Cincy despite AJ Green being hobbled in the first quarter (on a touchdown grab over Polamalu nonetheless). Dalton has shown poise throughout the season so I expect this to be a good game regardless. If by chance Cincy can pull this off the rest of my bet card doesn't look too bad. Carolina just won on the road for the first time in a long time last week against the Colts, and this week they have a chance to build on that at another reeling team, Tampa Bay. Freeman is iffy for this one too. Blount should have a field day on the ground, but then again so shouldn't DeAngelo/Cam/Stewart. I like the progression of the two rookie QBs though and think this week they may both be able to turn a corner. We'll see. The rest of my bet card involves the red hot Broncos beating in Minnesota, with Peterson highly questionable again this week. Despite all the concern over Tebow as a passer, the Broncos D has really stepped it up lately with the benefit of the likes of DJ Williams and Elvis Dumervil back in the mix, and the Denver run game has flourished with the Tebow adaptation too. My last pick is the Pats at home against Indy, taking the points which I believe New England will have no problem covering (got it at 20.5). I feel most assured about this pick. It's certainly a long shot for me to hit on all 4 and I realize that, especially with my first three picks being road games and all, that just doesn't look good right off the bat, but on a 50 dollar bet it would pay out over $1600 if I hit it, so wish me luck!!!

 

good luck! I love hearing about people's bets.

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There's something to be learned on these underdog bets.

 

1. Always go with your first, GUT instinct. Before paralysis by analysis occurs. i managed to talk myself out of a 3 team Moneyline Parlay.

 

had I went with my first post, and took SEA, KC and CAR on the ML, I would be significantly richer, and Xmas this year would be a good one for my kids.

 

I'll go ahead and pat myself on the back for the fact that my top 3 underdog bets came through, and I even listed them over my other underdog bets.

 

but I'll kick myself in the you know what, for going against myself. I'll keep posting my underdog, moneyline bets every week in the same format (ie: ones i love, ones i like).

 

I hope

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