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2013 Super Bowl Odds


i_am_the_swammi
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Hmmmm.....

 

In order:

 

Packers 5:1

Saints 6:1

Patriots 7:1

Giants 10:1

Steelers 12:1

Eagles 12:1

Texans 12:1

Ravens 12:1

Falcons 20:1

Cowboys 20:1

Jets 20:1

49ers 20:1

Lions 20:1

Bears 30:1

Cardinals 30:1

Bengals 40:1

Colts 40:1

Titans 50:1

Raiders 50:1

Dolphins 50:1

Chiefs 50:1

Broncos 50:1

Panthers 50:1

Bills 50:1

Seahawks 60:1

Browns 100:1

Jags 100:1

Vikings 100:1

Rams 100:1

Redskins 100:1

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I'm liking SF at those odds, considering the drastic improvement they made in Harbaugh's first season, and the fact that they were a botched punt (or two) away from making the SB this year. It's not unlikely that another year under Harbaugh will only make them stronger.

 

No offense to Eagles fans, but I'd swap them with SF on that list, and maybe then some.

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No offense to Eagles fans, but I'd swap them with SF on that list, and maybe then some.

 

None taken, and I agree, they are surprisingly high for a team coming off a 7-9 season. I think much of it has to do with the notion that it took them a solid half-season to come together as a squad, and their 5-2 finish is a sign of things to come next year. We'll see.

 

Not so sure I am sold on SF....they underachieved 2 years ago, and IMO, overachieved against a weak NFC West this season. I think they are somewhere in the middle, as I don't buy the "Alex Smith has arrived" argument.

 

I kinda like laying some cash on Arizona right now....if they get Manning this offseason, they jump to 15:1 minimum, and become a solid threat to the 49ers to win the NFC West.

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None taken, and I agree, they are surprisingly high for a team coming off a 7-9 season. I think much of it has to do with the notion that it took them a solid half-season to come together as a squad, and their 5-2 finish is a sign of things to come next year. We'll see.

 

Not so sure I am sold on SF....they underachieved 2 years ago, and IMO, overachieved against a weak NFC West this season. I think they are somewhere in the middle, as I don't buy the "Alex Smith has arrived" argument.

 

I kinda like laying some cash on Arizona right now....if they get Manning this offseason, they jump to 15:1 minimum, and become a solid threat to the 49ers to win the NFC West.

 

Dream teams sometimes take a year to gel. :wacko:

 

Oh, and as a sidenote: :tup:

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the minute Danny boy gets Peyton

 

Oh Danny boy, the bank, the bank is calling

 

Get studs and studs, and still the team does slide

The winter's gone, and your fans are bawling

Til the spring, 'tis you must go and try to hide

But come ye back when summer's in the meadow

Or when the critic's hushed and optimism grows

Buy ye a Peyton Manning, just his former shadow

Oh Danny boy, oh Danny boy, why do they hate you so.

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I'm liking SF at those odds, considering the drastic improvement they made in Harbaugh's first season, and the fact that they were a botched punt (or two) away from making the SB this year. It's not unlikely that another year under Harbaugh will only make them stronger.

 

Look at their schedule next year.

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Packers 5:1 They're still going to be the best team in the NFL. Young and talented, they met a scorching hot front four and the MVP had a bad day.

Steelers 12:1 Never underestimate this organization to dump the elderly folks on defense and retool and retool quickly.

Texans 12:1 Kind of hinges on Schaub, but I'm leaning towards them being the best team in the AFC going into next year.

Falcons 20:1 Too much talent on the offensive side of the football to not consider a legit shot.

Lions 20:1 Repeat the part about the Falcons. Except they're better on defense. Worse on the sidelines.

Cardinals 30:1 Pre-emptive bet in case Manning shows up there and they develop a consistent rushing attack.

Seahawks 60:1 This is a perception issue @ 60:1. Seahawks are going to win the division next season if there's no Manning in AZ.

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Oh Danny boy, the bank, the bank is calling

 

Get studs and studs, and still the team does slide

The winter's gone, and your fans are bawling

Til the spring, 'tis you must go and try to hide

But come ye back when summer's in the meadow

Or when the critic's hushed and optimism grows

Buy ye a Peyton Manning, just his former shadow

Oh Danny boy, oh Danny boy, why do they hate you so.

 

I would call you out on this except it pretty much true. *sigh*

 

Well done Bear/w. :wacko:

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None taken, and I agree, they are surprisingly high for a team coming off a 7-9 season. I think much of it has to do with the notion that it took them a solid half-season to come together as a squad, and their 5-2 finish is a sign of things to come next year. We'll see.

 

:wacko:

 

I told you WIP will melt your brain :tup:

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Ravens 12:1 Ravens were this close >< to making it to the SB

 

Bears 30:1 IF and that is a big if the Bears re-sign Forte and Cutler returns healthy they very well could make a run...they all but had a playoff spot locked up when Cutler got hurt.

 

Cardinals 30:1 Worth the shot in case they do sign Manning

 

Raiders 50:1 Raiders were very close to winning their division, I don't see why they couldn't contend again next year.

 

Seahawks 60:1 Something about the Hawks but I think they are a much stronger team than what they get credit for.

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None taken, and I agree, they are surprisingly high for a team coming off a 7-9 season. I think much of it has to do with the notion that it took them a solid half-season to come together as a squad, and their 5-2 finish is a sign of things to come next year. We'll see.

 

Not so sure I am sold on SF....they underachieved 2 years ago, and IMO, overachieved against a weak NFC West this season. I think they are somewhere in the middle, as I don't buy the "Alex Smith has arrived" argument.

 

I kinda like laying some cash on Arizona right now....if they get Manning this offseason, they jump to 15:1 minimum, and become a solid threat to the 49ers to win the NFC West.

I'm not saying that they're my pick to win it all next year, but I certainly like them as much (or more) than at least a couple of the teams who have 12-1 odds. In my opinion, the Super Bowl is likely to be won by one of about 7-8 teams next year, and I put the Niners in that group. Everybody else in that group has 12-1 odds, or better. The fact that the Niners are grouped with the likes of the Jets, Falcons, Cowboys, and Lions is laughable. Again, no disrespect to those teams, but two of them didn't even make the playoffs (and a third scored two points in their playoff game). :wacko: Meanwhile, San Francisco hosted the NFC Championship (I realize that had something to do with Green Bay losing, obviously), and would have been in the Super Bowl this year, if not for two botched punts.

 

As for Alex Smith, I think a lot of people are misinformed/confused about what kind of team the 49ers are, based on what we saw in the playoffs. It's not like Alex Smith had some sort of fluke year in which he pulled a bunch of big plays out of his ass. It was quite the opposite... A large part of the team's success was because Smith was put in a position where he didn't have to make big plays for them to win games. Harbaugh is certainly not going to mess with that success... They will have the same recipe this year. Run the ball, pass just enough to keep teams honest, combined with one of the best D's in the league. Conservative, but not to a fault. The fact that they underachieved two years ago means very little, as it was a completely different coaching staff. I guess I just think they're more likely to get even better, rather than regress, given how much of an impact Harbaugh was able to make in his first season (with a team that had previously underachieved on an annual basis).

 

Look at their schedule next year.

No doubt, playing road games against GB, NO, and NE is going to be tough. But, they also host Miami, Buffalo, and play at Minnesota, not to mention the Rams twice, obviously. Again, this year was no fluke, and their playoff performance showed that. It's not like they went 13-3 because they didn't play anybody, and then were exposed in the post-season. If anything, the post-season proved that they can play with (and beat) anyone in the NFL. Not that this means much, but their 2012 schedule is actually the 7th softest schedule in the league, based on this year's W/L records. Granted, they could lose to the Giants, Bears, Lions, and go 6-10 next year. But, I think that's unlikely to happen, given what they showed this year. All I'm saying is that, if I'm going to throw $$ down on a relative long-shot to win the whole thing, I'll take the 13-3 team that nearly made it this year, over a disfunctional 8-8 Jets team or the Cowboys (who haven't won a playoff game in how many years?).

 

I think they'll be better next year than they were this year. Probably not record-wise, but they'll still win enough to make the playoffs, and likely repeat as division champs. I think 11-5 or, at worst, 10-6 sounds about right.

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Was in Vegas the past 3 days - many of these odds are not accurate, at least compared to what the current lines are in Vegas.

 

A couple that jump out, as I didn;t bring a sheet back with me:

 

Bengals are going at between 25 and 28 to 1, not 40-1

Bears are at 22-1, not 30-1

Bucs were the only team I recall at at 100-1, those listed at 100-1 in the OP were going off between 50-1 and 75-1.

 

I put a bet on the Bungles for my BIL, and I took the Bears at 22-1 and the Broncos at 50-1.

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Incredibly bad move to be gambling on NFL futures at this point, it’s financial suicide plain and simple.

 

Futures should always be wagged on well after a sport season begins, never before. There will still be excellent odds available at a much later point in the season and you should wait to make that type of bet when your able to make an educated decision based on remaining schedule, injuries, teams competing for the same playoff spot, momentum, ect. If you wait till late in the season, at least you’ll know your backing a team that has a chance at making the playoffs.

 

Two great examples, neither were me unfortunately...

 

A friend of mine just collected on the Giants at 28 to 1. Not 100% sure but he either made the bet right after the loss to Wash or right after the win vs the Jets . Regardless there were only a couple games left in the season when he got those odds.

 

I have another friend that got paid 16 to 1 on STL Cardinals to win the world series and he made that bet right after they clinched a playoff spot (I believe it was the last day of the regular season) They were the long shot to win the WS but at least they were in the playoffs when he made the bet… that makes sense every time. As we all know once you make it to the dance, anything can happen.

 

Odds on futures will change every week as the season progresses, wait get educated and make a wager at the correct time, now is not the correct time for MLB let alone the NFL… maybe hockey & thugball and even with those sports it’s still a little early IMO.

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Of course you won't get 50:1 or 100:1 type odds if you wait and make an educated wagger but you can still get anywhere from 10:1 to 30:1.

 

If you feel the need to get paid at more than that then you not only suicidal but your also Veags's favorite customer...a greddy pig. :wacko:

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