Jump to content
[[Template core/front/custom/_customHeader is throwing an error. This theme may be out of date. Run the support tool in the AdminCP to restore the default theme.]]

2012 Win projections


godtomsatan
 Share

Recommended Posts

Early lines for all 17 weeks of the NFL season were released in Vegas this week. Here are win projections and odds based on those totals:

 

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Over 6.5 (even)

Under 6.5 (-130)

 

ATLANTA FALCONS

Over 8.5 (-150)

Under 8.5 (+120)

 

BALTIMORE RAVENS

Over 10.5 (+110)

Under 10.5 (-140)

 

BUFFALO BILLS

Over 7 (-115)

Under 7 (-115)

 

CAROLINA PANTHERS

Over 8 (-130)

Under 8 (even)

 

CHICAGO BEARS

Over 8.5 (-160)

Under 8.5 (+130)

 

CINCINNATI BENGALS

Over 7.5 (-150)

Under 7.5 (+120)

 

CLEVELAND BROWNS

Over 4.5 (-115)

Under 4.5 (-115)

 

DALLAS COWBOYS

Over 8.5 (-140)

Under 8.5 (+110)

 

DENVER BRONCOS

Over 10 (-120)

Under 10 (-110)

 

DETROIT LIONS

Over 9 (-130)

Under 9 (even)

 

GREEN BAY PACKERS

Over 12 (-150)

Under 12 (+120)

 

HOUSTON TEXANS

Over 10.5 (-110)

Under 10.5 (-120)

 

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Over 5 (even)

Under 5 (-130)

 

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Over 4.5 (-130)

Under 4.5 (even)

 

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Over 7.5 (-140)

Under 7.5 (+110)

 

MIAMI DOLPHINS

Over 7.5 (+120)

Under 7.5 (-150)

 

MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Over 5 (-110)

Under 5 (-120)

 

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Over 12 (-145)

Under 12 (+115)

 

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Over 10.5 (-130)

Under 10.5 (even)

 

NEW YORK GIANTS

Over 9.5 (-115)

Under 9.5 (-115)

 

NEW YORK JETS

Over 8.5 (-140)

Under 8.5 (+110)

 

OAKLAND RAIDERS

Over 7.5 (even)

Under 7.5 (-130)

 

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Over 10 (-150)

Under 10 (+120)

 

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Over 10.5 (+110)

Under 10.5 (-140)

 

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

Over 9.5 (-110)

Under 9.5 (-120)

 

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Over 10 (even)

Under 10 (-130)

 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Over 7 (-115)

Under 7 (-115)

 

ST. LOUIS RAMS

Over 5 (even)

Under 5 (-130)

 

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Over 5.5 (+110)

Under 5.5 (-140)

 

TENNESSEE TITANS

Over 7.5 (-115)

Under 7.5 (-115)

 

WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Over 6 (+130)

Under 6 (-160)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'll take Philly, CHI and NE under.

 

 

The Bears where on pace for 10 wins last year when they lost their starting Q.B. I'd take the over on the Bears. I think they have improved during the offseason.

 

In the NFC North I have the Packers winning 12, the Bears winning 11 or 12, the Lions winning 11 and the Vikings winning 4 (but being competitive in another 4).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'll take Philly, CHI and NE under.

 

 

as an Eagles fan, I am shocked the number is 10....I would have expected 8.5 or 9....but the Eagles are almost a lock to do better than last year because of all the new players that were added along with a new DC with pretty much no offseason...

 

when you add somewhere around 11 new players with most of them being starters, you should expect the team to underperform for a good portion of the season....

 

the problem is I have us at 10 or 11 wins with 12 being a best case scenario...even 11 is pushing it to me...and that is with Vick playing at least 13 games...which is a longshot...

 

but if that line moves to 9.5 I would definitely take the over...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hate to be homer here (especially since before this run the Falcons never had back-to-back winning seasons), but Falcons have hit that over the last 4 years. I know it's not good odds for a reason, but if you want a good bet....

 

But even more realistically, give me the Bucs. They may not be Superbowl bound or anything, but good odds on over 5.5? Hell, I was even going to put a futures bet on them just because it's 65/1, but yeah, 6 wins sounds pretty easily doable with the way they've improved, even in a tough division.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Early lines for all 17 weeks of the NFL season were released in Vegas this week. Here are win projections and odds based on those totals:

 

 

 

How the divisions would shake out given the odds:

 

NFC East

 

Philadelphia 10-6

NY Giants 9-7

Dallas 8-8

Washington 6-10

 

NFC North

 

Green Bay 12-4

Detroit 9-7

Chicago 8-8

Minnesota 5-11

 

NFC South

 

New Orleans 10-6

Atlanta 8-8

Carolina 8-8

Tampa Bay 5-11

 

NFC West

 

San Francisco 10-6

Seattle 7-9

Arizona 6-10

St Louis 5-11

 

AFC East

 

New England 12-4

NY Jets 9-7

Buffalo 7-9

Miami 7-9

 

AFC North

 

Baltimore 10-6

Pittsburgh 10-6

Cincinnati 8-8

Cleveland 4-12

 

AFC South

 

Houston 10-6

Tennessee 7-9

Indianapolis 5-11

Jacksonville 5-11

 

AFC West

 

Denver 10-6

San Diego 9-7

Kansas City 8-8

Oakland 8-8

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The Bears where on pace for 10 wins last year when they lost their starting Q.B. I'd take the over on the Bears. I think they have improved during the offseason.

 

In the NFC North I have the Packers winning 12, the Bears winning 11 or 12, the Lions winning 11 and the Vikings winning 4 (but being competitive in another 4).

 

 

Hear hear! While in Vegas on June 1st I'll be sure to lay down some money on my Beloved Bears and the over. If they go 8-8 it will be HUGE disappointment.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is probably a stupid question but I'm going to be in Vegas the first week of July and, if I were to place bets on any of these lines while I'm there and they happen to work out in my favor, would I be able to collect the winnings even though I won't be there at the end of the season? Hopefully the question isn't too off topic.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is probably a stupid question but I'm going to be in Vegas the first week of July and, if I were to place bets on any of these lines while I'm there and they happen to work out in my favor, would I be able to collect the winnings even though I won't be there at the end of the season? Hopefully the question isn't too off topic.

 

Mail it in to the casino sports book and they mail you back a check.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

As a Bengals fan, I initially get mad at our 7.5. We went 9-7 last year, and had one of the best drafts in the league. Dalton and AJ getting an entire offseason and camp to work together should bring good results. All this being said, I realized that we are talking about the Bengals here. Until they win any meaningful games they haven't done anything.

 

I went back and looked at it. It's been 30 years since the Bengals had back to back winning seasons, and we're talking the strike shortened '82 season no less. The odds makers 7.5 makes even more since now. I still would take the over, that is if I believed in betting on my team.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 wins for the Browns? That's how many they won last year. Trent Richardson's good for at least 4 wins by hisself.

 

 

So you're expeting 8-8 or better? That's pretty optimistic. While I agree Richardson will really help the offense, I'm not sure I'd count 4 additional wins from that. Plus our defense still has some holes (and they're growing with the Fujita suspension, and now the Phil Taylor injury).

 

If you trust it I'd suggest you lay down some cash on them.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 wins for the Browns? That's how many they won last year. Trent Richardson's good for at least 4 wins by hisself.

 

 

I agree 4 is too low & would put them @ 6.5

 

Big question is who is going to be under center ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I agree 4 is too low & would put them @ 6.5

 

Big question is who is going to be under center ?

 

 

Reports say Weeden looked good during rookie camp. But he was having some trouble trying to play under center, with some fumbles on the exchange. Hopefully he'll adapt and overcome after his years playing in the shotgun. I'd be surprised if he doesn't win the competition with McCoy.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I hope they're right about all the NFC West teams besides the Niners. But I think AZ goes over 6.5 and Seattle goes over 7. Hell, for that matter, I think St. Louis goes over 5 and SF goes over 10.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I agree 4 is too low & would put them @ 6.5

 

Big question is who is going to be under center ?

 

 

Their schedule is pretty tough.They have six division games against teams that most think could win the division. If they go 2-4 in the division I think that is a success. Their remaining ten games are against, Philly(at home), The Giants, Cowboys, Denver, Oakland, all on the road, and then home games against Buffalo, San Diego, Kansas City, Washington, and the Colts. I do not see three wins out of the division. Assumming they win two division games(no guarantee), then 4-12 is about right. It actually could be worse than that. Even though I think they will have a better QB and RB than last year. I just don't see two many games where they are favored to win.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Their schedule is pretty tough.They have six division games against teams that most think could win the division. If they go 2-4 in the division I think that is a success. Their remaining ten games are against, Philly(at home), The Giants, Cowboys, Denver, Oakland, all on the road, and then home games against Buffalo, San Diego, Kansas City, Washington, and the Colts. I do not see three wins out of the division. Assumming they win two division games(no guarantee), then 4-12 is about right. It actually could be worse than that. Even though I think they will have a better QB and RB than last year. I just don't see two many games where they are favored to win.

 

Based on that I'd think 4 wins might be a stretch. That's pretty brutal.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ARIZONA CARDINALS - OVER

Over 6.5 (even)

Under 6.5 (-130)

 

ATLANTA FALCONS - OVER

Over 8.5 (-150)

Under 8.5 (+120)

 

BALTIMORE RAVENS - OVER

Over 10.5 (+110)

Under 10.5 (-140)

 

BUFFALO BILLS - UNDER

Over 7 (-115)

Under 7 (-115)

 

CAROLINA PANTHERS - OVER

Over 8 (-130)

Under 8 (even)

 

CHICAGO BEARS - OVER

Over 8.5 (-160)

Under 8.5 (+130)

 

CINCINNATI BENGALS - OVER

Over 7.5 (-150)

Under 7.5 (+120)

 

CLEVELAND BROWNS - UNDER

Over 4.5 (-115)

Under 4.5 (-115)

 

DALLAS COWBOYS - OVER

Over 8.5 (-140)

Under 8.5 (+110)

 

DENVER BRONCOS - RIGHT ON

Over 10 (-120)

Under 10 (-110)

 

DETROIT LIONS - UNDER

Over 9 (-130)

Under 9 (even)

 

GREEN BAY PACKERS - RIGHT ON

Over 12 (-150)

Under 12 (+120)

 

HOUSTON TEXANS - UNDER

Over 10.5 (-110)

Under 10.5 (-120)

 

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - UNDER

Over 5 (even)

Under 5 (-130)

 

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS - OVER

Over 4.5 (-130)

Under 4.5 (even)

 

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - UNDER

Over 7.5 (-140)

Under 7.5 (+110)

 

MIAMI DOLPHINS - UNDER

Over 7.5 (+120)

Under 7.5 (-150)

 

MINNESOTA VIKINGS - UNDER

Over 5 (-110)

Under 5 (-120)

 

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - OVER

Over 12 (-145)

Under 12 (+115)

 

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - OVER

Over 10.5 (-130)

Under 10.5 (even)

 

NEW YORK GIANTS - OVER

Over 9.5 (-115)

Under 9.5 (-115)

 

NEW YORK JETS - UNDER

Over 8.5 (-140)

Under 8.5 (+110)

 

OAKLAND RAIDERS - UNDER

Over 7.5 (even)

Under 7.5 (-130)

 

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES - RIGHT ON

Over 10 (-150)

Under 10 (+120)

 

PITTSBURGH STEELERS - UNDER

Over 10.5 (+110)

Under 10.5 (-140)

 

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS - UNDER

Over 9.5 (-110)

Under 9.5 (-120)

 

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - UNDER

Over 10 (even)

Under 10 (-130)

 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - OVER

Over 7 (-115)

Under 7 (-115)

 

ST. LOUIS RAMS - OVER

Over 5 (even)

Under 5 (-130)

 

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS - OVER

Over 5.5 (+110)

Under 5.5 (-140)

 

TENNESSEE TITANS - UNDER

Over 7.5 (-115)

Under 7.5 (-115)

 

WASHINGTON REDSKINS - RIGHT ON

Over 6 (+130)

Under 6 (-160)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information