medalofhonor Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 (edited) This thread probably comes too late in the fantasy season, but atleast let's have it for the remainder of the season. I remember there was a similar thread here last season. You would basically post what your gut is telling you to do vs. what the statistics/common sense is telling you to do with respect to starting/sitting players. Let me start for this week. Jay Ajayi. Up against the best run D. Common sense tells me to sit him with their O-line only partially back to full health. He could barely do anything against SF run D, there is no way he dominates the Ravens. Right ? But I have a strong gut feeling to start him for some strange reason against the odds. The last time he was on my bench he ran for 200 yards. Edited December 4, 2016 by medalofhonor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 feel the same way about Vernon Davis vs Arizona defense Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaft Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 We all have different guts, that's what makes this game special; however, starting some players gives me gas and indigestion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valhalla Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 I had almost a 2 hour hmm'ing and hawww'ing over whether to start Sammy Watkins. Many experts are telling us he's not there, slow, etc etc. It probably has merit but I just couldn't click him out of my lineup... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tripleshot Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 When you hit you can claim your gut feeling was right and when you miss you kick yourself for not paying attention to all the info/stats out there that said to sit that player (and the player you benched likely went off - Murphy's law). Vegas wins by playing the odds. You win your fantasy league the same way, not by playing hunches and gut feelings. I see two exceptions to this. One, when the odds are really tilted in your opponent's favor so maybe you start a high upside player or two, targeting certain players during your draft as the most current info/stats you have there are a season old. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Gut feeling is what caused me to start Kap over Wilson in one league, and Kap over Brady AND Stafford in another. Needless to say, I have indigestion today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tripleshot Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Gut feeling is what caused me to start Kap over Wilson in one league, and Kap over Brady AND Stafford in another. Needless to say, I have indigestion today. Kaep had been on a hugh roll and you couldn't really know the weather was going to be that bad. Riding the hot hand is completely understandable. It's not like you decided to start Kaep without supporting evidence. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whomper Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 My gut told me to start Boldin over Crabtree since I felt that NO game was going to be a shootout . Stats 1 Gut 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevegrab Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 My gut told me to start Boldin over Crabtree since I felt that NO game was going to be a shootout . Stats 1 Gut 0 Yes many also thought the Saints were going to win based on some survivor pick discussions I had. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heehawks Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 If I had gone with stats for my def and one wr spot, I would be in the playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeonardPart6 Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 My gut tells me to not play Allen Robinson against the Vikings Def. But stats wise he is projected to outscore my other option of Marcellus Bennett. I started Bennett last week over him because of Gronk being out. Bennett scored 0 points, Robinson scored 3 points. I lost by 2 points and lost a crucial game for playoff seeding. I just know if I play Robinson, Bennett is going to go off and vice versa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTSuper7 Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Ladarius Green is an interesting guy to discuss in this regard because the stats tell you two things - 1) The Steelers' schedule is friendly to TEs. 2) Green has almost no sample size from which to base future performance. Green was probably on most benches last week when he went off for 6-110-1. Now owners have to ask themselves if that was a fluke or a sign of things to come. The stats seem somewhat inconclusive - positive schedule but limited opportunity to see Green in action. So you sort of have no choice but to go with your gut in his case. It gets difficult when you have good options at TE or flex because it's not just about stats/gut feel for one player but also the player that you are benching to make room for that player. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulmz Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Gut Feeling bench Crabtree Play Crowell.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gilthorp Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Ladarius Green is an interesting guy to discuss in this regard because the stats tell you two things - 1) The Steelers' schedule is friendly to TEs. 2) Green has almost no sample size from which to base future performance. Green was probably on most benches last week when he went off for 6-110-1. Now owners have to ask themselves if that was a fluke or a sign of things to come. The stats seem somewhat inconclusive - positive schedule but limited opportunity to see Green in action. So you sort of have no choice but to go with your gut in his case. It gets difficult when you have good options at TE or flex because it's not just about stats/gut feel for one player but also the player that you are benching to make room for that player. Gut and luck - with Gronk going down, I had acquired Green a few weeks ago, dumped him for Cook, but then played him again last week. Out of necessity, gut doesn't matter sometimes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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