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Big 12 Championship


muck
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Predict the margin of victory using any rule you want to...

 

I think the spread will be equal to the following formula:

 

OUT = OU Turnovers

KST = KState Turnovers

 

If OUT < KST, the margin of an OU win = {KST - OUT} * 7

 

If KST < OUT, the margin of a KSU win = {OUT - KST + 1} * 3

 

In the event OU = KST, OU wins by 4.

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Wow, you must be an actuary or MBA or something. Mine is more simple, but I agree TOs (turnovers) are somewhat important:

 

If OU has more than 2 TOs, then they win by only 10-14.

 

If OU has 2 or less TOs, they win by at least 24.

 

KSU will have their fair share of TOs too, and probably more than OU. I just don't see this one being closer than 10 points in any way, unless KSU can take each TO directly to the house for 6 points - "do not pass GO, do not try to score on the the Sooners D"...

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