jonny2fngrs

Colston going against Stl and Floyd going against Ten. I have had a knack of benching the guy that has a big week but luckily am still alive. My initial thought is Colston, what do you guys think?

I guess my question would be, does the other team have another viable TE? I am sure after Fleener having a good game that is who he would want in his lineup and could be a cause for some backlash. If he intends to have Fleener on his bench then I see no reason why you shouldn't be allowed to get Keenum this week. The league website will lock the roster once the game has started but with this trade being accepted on Tuesday and no objections, I would hope your commish puts it through.

Thanks for the link. I did not know that about weather forecasting and interestingly enough according to that article, one of the variables used to forecast the weather is confidence. My contention all along has been that the confidence should be, or capable of being, "built in" to the projection and Gopher addressed that. We could argue semantics over whether the weather analogy fits in this case but at the very least after reading your article, I think it is fair to say that weather forecasting could easily be used as a like analogy. Thanks again for that link, it was educating.

Thank you. Although this is not verified percentages, this is the type of info I was looking for....nothing exact just close. Thanks again.

I honestly thought I was missing something with both these projections and did come here to figure out what it was. After reading numerous replies that confirmed these projections are exactly what they look like and there is nothing more to them...yes I do get it now. I never expect projections to be exact, I was merely looking for something that is consistent. 100% Chance of rain = Projection 25% confindence = ConFac Thanks for playing. Thanks everyone for your help in explaining these projections. I guess it is just a case of "I get it but I don't".

Lol...I am sure I have worked with more statistic models than most, and I can tell you that most quantitative performance models use confidence intervals. No fear, I get it...The Huddle faithful have spoken...these are great projection tools for the obviously more advanced owners that my 20+ years of experience just doesn't get. For those that do understand, I have a question... The weather man stated that there is a 100% chance of rain tomorrow and he is 25% confident that is the case. Should I take an umbrella with me when I leave? Haha..I already know the answer...Stay in and work on my tact and post my shiny silver spoon on ebay

I don't need or want any spoonfeeding. I am just trying to determine if I am missing something or if these articles hold little value to me. For me money talks so usually when someone pipes off and makes a bold claim someone can expect to hear "BET". My point is, if you are going to have VJax as your top scoring wr of the week you better damn well be fairly certain in your projections, otherwise lower his numbers. Its kinda like if you ask me to pick a winner this week and I come back with Minnesota over Seattle. Sure if they somehow win I look like a genius but do I really want to look like an idiot 20 times just to look like a genius once. Rarely do I spend more than 5 or 10 minutes looking at these articles so having list uses the same ConFac across the board would be more beneficial to me. Thats just me, I guess I will be benching Brees this week in favor of Keenum because he is more likely to score 24 points than Brees. And with the RoS rankings, I guess I thought they would be fairly accurate in terms of if a new league were to be drafted each week, how would they be ranked. Instead, I think this is a list from week 1 in which each week a handful of guys with big games, injuries, or bad games gets bumped up or down.

Thanks for all the replies and I am trying to follow. I know it is hard to project for a player with an injury concern but I still am having difficulty understanding why there would be multiple ConFac for 2 healthy players such as VJax and Garcon. If you are not that confident that VJax will be the top scoring wr then why not project him to be top 15 and use same ConFac across the board. I guess what I was expecting, based on all things equal (and assuming no injury concerns) that projections would take matchups, location, and such into consideration and provide a ranking that one could look at gauge all players for a given week without having to break out my calculus. The example above with player X and Y was not too difficult but what if player X had 30pts and 3 stars versus player Y with 21pts and 5 stars? Maybe if the stars had a value such as 10% or 20% it would make adjusting the projections a little easier. As for the RoS rankings, if they are in fact for entire season then I would like to think the Huddle, as the premier fantasy football site, could come up with something a little more relevant for fantasy owners. I would like to think most of us that use this site are not your "free yahoo league" type owners and are in highly competitive leagues. That being the case we don't get points going forward for what a player has or has not done only what they will do. If I don't make the playoffs then I don't care what a player does after week 13. Going into week 11 and trade deadlines looming, I absolutely do care that Lynch and McCoy have yet to have their bye and it should be reflected in their value. As a Cruz owner, I have held on to him this long because the RoS rankings have consistently had him as a top 6 wr and the guy hasn't scored a TD or had over 90 yards since week 4. I mean it should be easy to test...Just try to trade McCoy for Forte or Cruz for Welker in any of your leagues and see if anyone would do it. If they do please let me know as I would like to invite them to my league next year and will send the limo for them Thanks again for the responses

I have been a member for a while and for some reason this season I am having trouble figuring out some of these articles worthiness. The 3 sections I look to the most are the Free Agent Forecast, Rest of Season Rankings, and Weekly Player Rankings. I have no issues with the Free Agent Forecast as it is what it is but the other two constantly leave me scratching my head and I am beginning to wonder if there is something I am missing about them. Lets start with RoS rankings... Lynch and McCoy are 3 and 4 on the list and with only 3 weeks left they are going to miss 33% of the regular season. Would anyone really take them over Forte? This goes for any player who has yet to have their bye...how can they hold the same value as a similar player who has had their bye? Or is that what I am missing value does not equal ranking? Not sure but even that doesn't explaing how V. Cruz is still ranked higher than A. Johnson, Welker, or Garcon. I would love to trade Cruz for one of those guys straight up but short of a free yahoo league with a bunch of NYG homers, I doubt that is going to happen. What am I missing here? And next is the weekly player rankings. So based on my league scoring the top wr should be V Jackson but only with a 3 star ConFac yet Garcon is projected to score 21 with a 5 star ConFac. How can anyone make any logical sense out of that? Does that mean VJax would be a good bet for 15 points on a 5 star ConFac or would Garcon be projected at 35 points with only a 3 star ConFac. Can't we just say Megatron is going to be projected a 50 points every week with a 1 star ConFac. It just doesn't seem consistent to me and as much as I like the concept of the weekly rankings, I find this article to be useless unless I am again missing something. If anyone can shed some light on this, thanks in advance.

Yeah this trade seems to be bunk. Team B is trading for AP who can only possibly be helpful this final week for them and his status is up in the air. As a commish, I am with you on not letting the trade go through, but I can guarantee in our league there would be an outcry and put up for vote and easily overturned. Lets hope justice prevails in your league and the league votes to overturn it.

I am not a fan of any rule that can give another owner an unfair advantage. If your league doesn't allow you to drop a player that has played that could be completely unfair. For instance, in the late game in week 6 when Felix Jones gets hurt and Murray takes over. Chances are Murray was a FA in most leagues and I would have been chapped had all my players been finished and some owner with LT on their bench snags him up Sunday night and me never having an opportunity to get him. There are plenty of non standard rules in different leagues and if owners like them that is all that matters but I am not a fan of rules that can give one owner an unfair advantage.

Haha...I guess I should have mentioned that "most" of the sites I was looking at was mainly mockdraftcentral and for some reason Williams has been ranked higher than Wallace for the last 3 weeks and I just didn't get it. Maybe that just goes to show the caliber of mock drafters they use.

I am going to be in a spot where I can get one of these 2 in a ppr league. Most rankings I have seen has Williams ahead of Wallace but I am leaning towards Wallace. Is this mostly just a preference pick or is there something that really favors Williams over Wallace?

For the fantasy owner, you can't beat the RedZone channel.

I have the same 4 players as you do and I am going with Jackson. Keith is banged up a little and don't think he will see much action unless something happens to Addai and I don't want to see that.