Steeltown Dre

Thanks a lot whomper, it's a reunion in this thread from back in the day... all those gamblers anonymous threads were fun times. The Dolphins finally scored a TD on the 49ers off a loss, but still didn't get over their team total so this one was a winner.

I've an ancient member here from back in the day, used to post daily but as life changes I've gotten too busy to post here with the regularity that I once enjoyed. But I did get blessings from the Huddle's owners and keggerz to post a thread on a new app that I think some of you will find very cool. It's called Bettor's Sidekick, and it is available in iTunes. Right now it's just for pro and college football, but the developer is working on and we hope to have basketball incorporated by Christmas. It not only shows you the lines on the games and the score/time for all games (that info updates faster than ESPN's app for the majority of the time) but it also shows you in-game win percentages for each team based on the point spread and the game total (over/under). It allows you to enter bets (that you place anywhere or that you place for fun to compete w/ others) and will track in real time whether your bets are projected to win or lose at any point in time. It's particularly useful when you have several bets going at once, or you aren't watching the games second by second. Bettor's Sidekick is free to download. The feedback received thus far is very strong, but the app is brand new and we're going to be adding many new features over the next several months, so new versions and new features will keep getting published. In the next post I'll add some more detail for guys who want to check it out. Feel free to ask any questions or provide any feedback/suggestions for the future! Feel free to follow @BettorsSidekick on twitter for tips and tricks for using features in the app and also for news/updates. Here are a few screenshots: https://twitter.com/BettorsSidekick/status/274696496224538625/photo/1 https://twitter.com/BettorsSidekick/status/264926797647474688/photo/1 https://twitter.com/richt4pres/status/264840484567007233/photo/1

By the way guys - Steve (keggerz) does a masterful job of giving out fantasy advice on Steve Duemig's radio show on Friday afternoons, I highly recommend you check out what he shares w/ Steve every Friday at 5pm ET (link is in his signature above) and you can even call in and ask keggerz questions on the air. Feel free to tell him you know him from the huddle . com, the nation's best fantasy football website!

Keggerz, thanks for this - I forgot to mention it to Steve so I DM'd him. Here is some more info on it: The Dolphins total has gone under in 8 of 12 games this year, and they have gone under their team total in 4 of their last 5 games. In the last 8 weeks, the Dolphins have faced just 1 red zone defense ranked better than 20th in the league. The 49ers have the 4th rated red zone defense, and aside from the Rams (a divisional team who knows them well and matches up with them well) and the Giants, the 49ers have held its opponents to 0, 3, 6, 3, 7 and 21 pts (the 21 pts came to the Saints). In addition, off of a loss since last season, the 49ers take it out on their opponent's offense: Not only has the game resulted in an under 100% (5-0) following a loss, their opponents are averaging 3 ppg! They have not allowed a single touchdown in any of these 5 games, and no team has scored over 8 points. Finally, the week after facing the Patriots, the Dolphins have seen 6 of the last 7 games go under the posted total (dating back to 2008) and they've gone under their posted team total 6 of the last 7 games as well, including going under 3-0 since 2010. Personally I will be betting the Miami Dolphins Team Total UNDER 14.5, and a lean to the full game going under as well.

Thanks as always Big John - will review that good thread later. I'm surprised given their situation it appears "business as usual" on their website. I wonder how the participation will be at their live event. I will review the FFPC - their live event is at Caesars Palace the same weekend. Thanks guys

How do the numbers compare? Significantly more people at one vs. the other?

I like the Ravens because they have been good to me when betting. I like predictable, and that's what they've been. Some examples since Flacco/Harbaugh took over: On the road after a loss - 6-2 ATS On the road after a big win - 1-5 ATS At home off a win and favored by over 4 - 7-2 ATS, 9-0 SU, Unders 7-2 At home on any total over 40 - Unders 6-1 At home in 2nd of back2back home games - Unders 5-1 I like Ray Lewis and his motivational skill set and for whatever reason its been easy for me to read this team, as in, where their motivation and head is at, when they stand a good chance to cover and when they could put out a softer performance. Actually Baltimore could use some help on defense, as they are getting older and not getting pressure on the QB like they used to do. Ranked 27th in the league last year in sacks and allowed 225 passing ypg, 21st in the league and very "un-Baltimore" like. One reason they took a CB high in the draft this year. Flacco seems like a good kid, that is certain. His teammates love his "joe cool" flair, which is kind of like Eli Manning's style. Many criticize both guys, however, and prefer the Tom Brady/Peyton Manning/Phillip Rivers "fire" and leadership they bring to the position and team.

Actually I am a fan of no team. Don't let my username fool you. I also envision Flacco improving this season. Again, he will get better, he can't get much worse... I'm definitely waiting for him to produce a clutch performance in a significant game, especially on the road... I keep having flashbacks of his MNF game in GB w/ 1 TD, 3 Ints and a 27 rating in 09, and his 0 TD, 2 Ints, 48 rtg game in Indy in the playoffs that season. He played much better last season on the road in big games, which is to be expected by being surrounded by so much greater talent. You can make any player better by buying tons of FA weapons. His struggles are even more evident when you look at one stat I didn't include: When the Ravens are losing after the 3rd quarter, they are 1-13 in all games since Flacco came to town. And its not as if those games were blowouts - they are 0-6 when trailing by 6 or fewer points after the third quarter, and 0-4 when trailing by 2 or 3 points after the 3rd quarter. It illustrates his lack of being "clutch" in these spots or willing his team to victory. Contrast that w/ Josh Freeman, who last year alone went 3-5 when trailing after the 3rd quarter, including a remarkable 3-1 when trailing heading into the 4th by 5 or fewer points. ETA: In the 2 years prior to Flacco coming to town (06 & 07), the Ravens were actually 3-5 when trailing by 11 or fewer points entering the 4th quarter. And if you only look at Steve McNair, when he was on the team in 06, they went 3-2 when trailing by 11 or fewer points entering the 4th.

The overall point of the article was to show how wrong the coach's comments were. He made a very specific statement. Not "Joe Flacco will be a great QB", not "Joe Flacco is the best QB the franchise has ever had". Hell, he didn't even just say: "He’s one of the best third-year quarterbacks in history of football". He said "Statistically, he’s one of the best third-year quarterbacks in history of football". Which is extremely easy to prove based in statistics whether he's right or wrong, and he's so wrong it's not even close.

I don't get it?

Yes, that was me.

Agree 100% - I think much of the public would agree too (didn't set up a poll). Which is why its peculiar that so many of the Ravens feel the need to publicly over-the-top praise him. Has me thinking its a confidence campaign but that's the best I've got.

Haha - yes, I had to laugh when I read this past Thursday about Derrick Mason and his comments. I'm not saying Flacco won't ever be good, and I certainly don't think teams overlook him. But I really think the Ravens organization is on some type of "Confidence Boosting Mission" when it comes to him. Saying things clearly not true to get him to feel good, I'm not really sure what is going on there. What do you think of him Trots, being a fan of the team? Is he one of the best 3rd year QBs? If not, why would Harbaugh say he is?

I was blown away when I heard Jim Harbaugh, Ravens HC, state of Joe Flacco: “Statistically, he’s one of the best third-year quarterbacks in history of football,” Harbaugh said. “I don’t think we should ever lose sight of the fact that this guy is as good a third-year quarterback as has played in the history of this game so far. And I believe in him. He’s my quarterback, he’s our quarterback, he’s going to be our quarterback, and we’re going to win championships with this guy.” Now Derrick Mason is saying that teams are scared of Flacco because of how good he is. Joe Flacco has the height and build that make him look like a prototypical QB. And this season it was politically correct to think Joe Flacco is a solid, dependable and possibly a great QB. I disagree wholeheartedly and it’s my prerogative to feel that way until Flacco proves me wrong. He has a big arm, he has a big body, he throws a good deep ball. But he chokes in big games, he is not a leader that proves it on the field and his passing under pressure is miserable. But I’m not the only one who sees his limitations: Otherwise, though they would never say different, why would Flacco’s GM/Owner/Coach make such unprecedented moves before the 2010 season? As we all know, the Ravens build through the draft, they groom their own. But they realized the severe limitations of their QB, so they knew they had to help him. So this season, they added Anquan Boldin, TJ Houshmandzadeh and Dontae' Stallworth. Despite already having a great former Pro-Bowl possession receiver in Mason (great hands and routes) a former Pro-Bowl TE in Heap plus Pro-Bowler Ray Rice out of the backfield. If they had a QB they could trust to win big games, they wouldn't have needed to add all these weapons. Their run game was huge in 2009 so they certainly didn't need to add WRs to help the run game. They had Mason already, another former Pro Bowler, and could have added one other WR if they saw the opportunity. But they didn't. They added three. This was a team that, in 2010, brought in 2 Pro-Bowl receivers to add to the 1 Pro-Bowler they already had. Does this sound like a team that trusts they have an all-star QB? No. This team, when going 3 wide, felt they needed to have 3 Pro-Bowl WRs starting together at the same time. Forget about the Miami Heat or the NY Knicks stacking talent, that’s what the Ravens tried to do with their WR position in 2010. Did Belichick, when Brady was his young QB, go out in FA and bring in a ton of Pro Bowl WRs? No, Brady won 3 SBs w/ Troy Brown, David Patten and Deion Branch. When Big Ben was a young QB w/ the Steelers, did Cowher go out in FA and buy a bunch of Pro Bowl WRs? No, Ben won Super Bowls w/ Hines Ward and Randle El, and then another w/ an older Hines Ward and a young, homegrown Santonio Holmes. None of these guys were FAs, they were drafted by the Steelers. In fact, let’s look at all the younger QBs of the last few years: Matt Ryan, Carson Palmer, Jay Cutler, Eli Manning, Alex Smith, Philip Rivers When these guys were budding in the league, struggling at times, did any of the teams they played on, even the ones who didn’t have great run games and great defenses, bring in multiple proven and veteran Pro-Bowl WRs for their QB to use? Absolutely not. So why would the Ravens feel they needed to add such talent if they love their QB so much, and already had a great run game and defense? You would think Flacco would be able to win with Pro Bowl options Mason and TE Todd Heap, as well as leading pass receiver and Pro Bowler Ray Rice out of the backfield catching passes. I will tell you why they knew he couldn’t get it done: It’s because the Ravens front office is one of the best in the NFL and they knew Flacco and his limitations. They also knew how he struggled on the road and late in the season. On the road from December onward, Flacco has a QB rating of just 68.8, has thrown 12 TDs and 12 Ints in 13 total games, and is throwing for just 5.7 ypa in his 3 year career. I said early in the season last year that Flacco was bound to do better in 2010, because he couldn’t do much worse than he did in years 1 and 2. And he did produce better statistically overall. But now we have his head coach claiming there is no better 3rd year QB in NFL history? First let’s just look at just year 3, then we’ll look at years 1-3 as a package. Let’s compare Flacco to all 3rd year QBs in NFL history to see if Harbaugh is right or wrong that he is the best all time: Long article w/ stat analysis, click for more: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/Joe_F...o_Analysis.html

I just heard this, seeking confirmation... Mods, feel free to delete the thread if found out to be untrue.