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dominatorr

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  1. saying dmd uses 12 games is like saying he uses 384 games (12 x 32) which is how many games he actually uses if you include ALL the teams.....yes he uses 12 denver games but only uses half of those for a particular matchup....... for example, say I'm wondering if san diego's quarterbacks at home this year against denver's passing d (on the road) is a good or bad matchup, dmd doesnt use the 6 home denver games for this calculation, he only uses the 6 away games denver had last year.....no additional games are used....................thus 6 games are used in total so again I think you lose too many games that go into the calculation by breaking them down into home and away games.......a couple strong or weak teams that a particular team plays against can distort the results you want if the sample size is so small (6)............if somehow you could break them down into home and away games and still have a large sample size, then obviously breaking them down would be better so the argument in a nutshell is which is a better predictor of how "good" or "bad" a particular team's passing or running d will be in 2011 : (1) using 12-17 games (using home and away games together) from 2010 thus having a larger sample size but not having the extra variable thrown in (2) using 6 games from 2010 but having the extra variable thrown in Personally, I choose #1 but maybe i'm wrong .
  2. allright, this is my last post on this subject ........this is from the huddle " Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games" ....in other words, only 6 games are used (not 16 ) (i kinda said 8 in the previous posts but this only bolsters my argument) to come up with whether denver's d is a "good" or "bad' match-up for each team they play this year .....
  3. funny how simple minds resort to calling names when they disagree with someone .....how, Mr. brentastic, does preferring to have 16 games being used to get a result instead of 8 mean that i must want subjective results and mean i want the results skewed to get the result I had in mind.....ru serious??? I suspect you didn't do well on the reading comprehension part of the SAT's obviously dmd is trying to add more variables to get better results by looking at how teams do at home and on the road.....usually the more variables that are considered, the better the results..........,I just think in this case, it may be the opposite .........and it's all because having twice as many games to put into the calculation (16 instead of 8) trumps the added variable of home and away results in my opinion and i think denver is a good example of the distortion possible using only 8 games.......
  4. first of all, rarely does a team perform better on the road than they do at home......so right there one would think something is fishy....one obvious way this kind of anomaly can happen is if there is a small sample size .....by only using 8 games (home or visiting) instead of using all 16 games, the sample size is cut in half.......playing just a few crappy offenses using that small sample size can cause huge distortions....and this is without mentionsing 2 more games are dropped in the huddle's calculations (the best and the worse game) to make the sample size even less ....... bottom line is denver was terrible against the pass last year when they played a decent team (home and away) and in my opinion should not be considered a "BAD" match-up for this year based on last year's stats.... denver played arizona and oakland their last 2 away games last year and these 2 horrible offenses scored 82 combined points againt this "awesome" away denver defense..... all i got to say is basing an entire defense on 8 games or less from the season before can give misleading results..........and btw, statistics CAN be flawed or the stats misinterpreted if the sample size is insufficient....... I'm not trying to slam the huddle...I am just throwing out there a potential flaw i see in the analysis solely for discussion and possible consideration when future ease of schedules are made up.......I may be totally off base here btw, denver's passing d may actually be better this year with dumervil coming back but this is beside the point
  5. another example is the atanta d which is a "bad" matchup for quarterbacks...... in 2010, the atlanta passing d was 22nd in passing yards allowed and exactly in the middle of the league for passing touchdowns given up
  6. I was checking out the san diego charger's ease of schedule for quarterbacks and it shows that denver is one of the "BAD" match-ups for this year ....this didn't seem right to me.............i checked out nfl.com and the 2010 stats for denver's passing D shows they were ranked 24th in the # of passing touchdowns they gave up and they were ranked 25th in passing yards given up ....... so if you go by last years stats, how the heck can this be a "bad" match-up for san diego quaterbacks???????????? maybe the scoring is different for quaterbacks in the huddle's system but yards and touchdowns are the biggest determinants for how many points qb's score in my league
  7. moss IS playing ..idiot... just shut up if you can't something intelligent.. thank you
  8. football IS an emotional game but mostly for the players............. for the coaches (and that's who we are talklng about here) it's a different story........coaches need to think with their heads and not make a decision based on their emotions.......... I like bruschi as a player and i think he's a nice guy but what he said about belichick's decision and how his feelings would have been hurt had he been playin shows he thinks with his heart instead of his brain........if he ever becomes a steeler's coach i will shoot myself
  9. "Football is a game of emotion, not so much about percentages and probabilities" no offense but this is one the stupidest things I have ever heard.... .......proof is in the pudding!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!.......there is a reason why belichick has won so many games as a coach....he has had good players and he goes with the play that give the team the best chance to win, AND he is smart enough to know what that is.....period.....if his players are pumped and momentum is going a particular way, then that goes into the calculation but it's certainly not the main thing.......some coach you would make
  10. boy...u must be proud to win in a league like that
  11. +1 at first I thought this was some noob posting but I am pretty sure i've seen grits and shins here for years......slow learner I guess....seriously dude, u need to stop relying soley on the huddle's projections and look at a real updated ADP which shows how the rest of the world is picking
  12. ok...whatever..it's should be obvious to anyone with commen sense that b. marshall will still be the #1 target by orton on opening day.....sure it is noteworthy that the coaches are saying he is not a starter...however...those of us in reality land know this is just a ploy and not to be taken seriously
  13. btw.....i do appreciate the updates in the fantasy football world but the advice is when it comes to the priority news...just my opinion
  14. regarding b. marshall and not being listed as a starter......"Or, it could reflect the fact that other WRs have put in more practice time, so they should be considered ahead of Marshall on the depth chart".....this is honestly retarded as hell...who the heck writes these priority news updates...I find myself shaking my head all the time at the idiocy of these posts on huddle priority news..obviously dmd is not writing them ........very frustrating!!!
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