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kicker77

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  1. I just think over the course of the entire season, wide movement in such a short period of time, especially for some more established players, based only on one good or bad game seems odd. For example: McNabb Rest of Season Ranking: Week 1: 6th (preseason rank) Week 2: 7th (prior week 3 tds, out w/broken rib) Week 3: 12th (DNP prior week) Week 4: 15th (DNP prior week) Week 5: 10th (DNP prior week - bye) Week 6: 5th (prior week 3 tds) Week 7: 10th (prior week 0 tds) (This is just one player, but I know there are several RBs & WRs with similar movements.) I'm not trying to make a mountain out of a mole hill (or whatever that expression is), but I'm not sure I agree with the premise that a well-established QB like McNabb can be ranked 15th one week and go to 5th based on one good game. I personally think he's someone who should hover between 6th and 8th, but he shouldn't fluctuate 15th to 5th after playing only one game -- should anyone? It just seems like this is the type of premature over/under-valuing a player based on one good week that any good FFer will try to exploit in trade negotiations! I just think that for "rest of season" one game shouldn't move you up 10 spots... can something really happen in just one game that no one saw coming (besides injury) that is so illuminating to move a player -- a QB no less -- 10 spots? Not sure I have a real point here, but it just seems odd. Maybe someone can help illuminate my understanding!
  2. I love the rankings and they've helped me make some good decisions... But, I've always been confused by its volatility on a week-to-week basis. To me, if these are truly "Rest of Season" rankings, then one bad game should not drop a player 5-10 spots, which is frequently the case. In fact, one could make an argument that a bad game could/should actually result in a higher ranking (i.e. that player now has less weeks to accumulate the predicted stats). Likewise, if a WR goes off for 250/2, and his projected year-end stats are 1200/10, you could argue his "Rest of Season" rank should now be lower, since his projected stats are now significantly lower. Obviously, having a great game or a very poor game influences the year-end projections as well, but it just seems like the swings are huge after just one or two games, which seems to call into question the previous week's rankings. (I'm not going to do a full-out stat analysis, but some players that come to mind are Chris Johnson, Breaston, McNabb, Calvin.) Anyway, just wanted to throw my thoughts out there on this.
  3. Whoa, he must get XM radio signals from the future!!! I'm with ya radioguy!
  4. I would do it. Schaub's value is near its peak and Brady's near its low. What you lose with Boldin will be more than made up for with Brady, especially with no PPR and "QB heavy" scoring. I also think Schaub is more injury-prone, and Brady has a ton more weapons.
  5. I would stick with Bush while he's healthy! This week especially because it looks like the weather may be a little rough, making it harder for Brees to air it out, so to me it would favor shorter passes to Bush. Not only that, Thomas hasn't even played yet so he is somewhat of a question mark, and Bush could see more carries. Also, Det defense is improved, and I think the running stats against them are partly due to the other teams having a significant lead; I'm not sure Was will build up a big lead early enough. Plus, it sounds like Portis will end up playing.
  6. All these RBs carry a significant start risk, they all have some upside or can give you close to a goose egg this week. I guess I would say that if you need at least some points from this position, I would say Bush then Thomas (still haven't seen him this season), but if you want more upside and willing to take more risk I would say Wells. Good luck with this one!
  7. Standard PPR + 1 pt/30 Ret yds Start 3 of the following: K.Smith vs. Was Rice vs. Cle Sproles vs. Mia Cal Johnson vs. Was Pierre Thomas @Buf J.Gage @NYJ I was leaning towards Smith, Rice and Calvin, but am a little worried about Smith so was thinking of starting Sproles instead, who's been lighting it up on my bench (esp w/ret pts). Pierre could be an intriguing start too -- a lot to prove. Thoughts?
  8. Yeah, I think it's obvious it's each owner's responsibility to set his lineup. But I would also think about the league and the potential consequences of whatever you decide... is it a big $ league? How long have you had the league? How long have you commished? What is the experience of the player(s), etc. It's easy to draw a hard and fast line only to find out most of the other owners disagree and it becomes a big deal. I'm sure many of us have seen personal friendships tarnished by such fantasy issues. I guess in the end I would ask a couple other owners who are trustworthy (and respected by league) what they would do; you should be/seem as impartial/objective as you can. Good luck.
  9. Bush has a better chance of a "break out" IMO.
  10. 12 team standard PPR I need to start one of the following RBs: K. Smith vs. Min D. Sproles vs. Bal Pierre Thomas @Phi Right now I have been leaning towards K. Smith, he caught a lot of passes last week, will get the bulk of the work and could punch in a TD. But now that LT is out, I am considering Sproles, seeing that he will probably put up a lot of APY, even against Bal. And I also have Pierre Thomas as an option. (p.s. Smith scored 18 pts last week and Sproles scored 21.) Any thoughts?
  11. If Schaub stays healthy, it should be a nice upgrade over Flacco in PPC, but it's hard to tell what you lost at WR without knowing who else you have.
  12. A. Gonzalez should be a solid start.
  13. With your WR3 situation, I would definitely make either trade (I would take Ocho over Marshall). You'll be more than fine with Jones or Lynch @ RB2 given the sweet 3 WR combo you'd have. Plus, even though I'm a Bush fan, it's only 1/2 ppr and he's bound to get hurt again. Think of it this way, even if he doesn't get hurt, will he significantly outperform Lynch or Jones in a 1/2 ppr? I would make the trade.
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