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xMRogers

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    St Pete, FL

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  1. I'd say he's the only safe bet on the team - regardless of anything else, he's at minimum going to go 500 yds and 5 TD's I'd guess. I don't know if you can say that about any other back on their team. His upside is probably doublle that, so less than the max for Knoshown, but you know Hillis will be in every game, getting some touches...where's that put him draft wise, not sure, but if he's still on the board in round 13 or so, have to consider him.
  2. Tks, but that's for an NFL Suvivor Pool (pick one team per week to win) - I do run one of those (about 2000 entries at $30 a pop) and have software for that. AC or Big John, does MFL allow the concept as far as you are aware? I'm almost thinking I just run it semi-manually, using my leagues scoring, but have the selection of players each week done "offline" (I'll use a googlesites thing to do it) - then just do some spreadsheet work to link my leagues points to the survivor pool....
  3. Really? Score one for not looking at the obvious first (I use MFL to run my main league - didn't even think it was possible)... Know if I have to "pay" for another league to do that?
  4. A..as usual, after offseason hiatus I'm back B - I'm running a fantasy survivor contest (18 entries, everyone starts 1 QB/WR/RB... per week from any team, can't start any player twice all year, low score of week is out). I'm trying to find a software to use to run it - does anyone know of any that work? Most tie you in to putting players on specific teams (player could be on 10 entries in any given week), plus other issues. I am REALLY not looking to do this manually (decided to run it and got the invite out and league full before researching software) Any help be greatly appreciated.
  5. Out of all the posts though, the only one "really surprised" that makes sense is the Tiki Barber one (complete forgot thing) - I've seen that happen once before where a 4th/5th rounder got drafted in round 15 and everyone said "off the board"....until the guy said "really, to who?"...and turned out he was right ADP going 6th while definitely a bit nuts may not have been anyone's "mistake" so much as 4 guys thinking the other backs due to PPR were better, and the Brees pick just being a scoring thing (6 pt TDs in 2 QB leagues with RB being as deep as they are make Drew Brees arguably the most valuable player...) Not sure I'd say this is a matter of "too planned" or whatever - especially that early - it's not like anyone got lost in their sheet after 3 picks - they just valued someone else more (now, in saying all that, the guy that took SJax over ADP is an idiot)
  6. Living here in St. Pete, this has been a sad, wild story over the last week or so. The family's are in between just hoping to find the bodies and still holding out some minor hope from what I'm seeing. The one thing that I think is missed in this is that, while I definitely think they overestimated their abilities by going out that far on that boat, they actually knew the weather (was why they went out - fish would be better) and were very experienced. From the story I've seen, they were realizing it was time to go, pulled up anchor, and the combination of the loose anchor and the wave capsized them - the fact they weren't prepared (had to get the life jackets after capsizing) tells me they just underestimated the combination of the waves and the anchor pull in terms of what it would do to the boat, and probably would have been fine if they pull the anchor a few seconds earlier or later (on a boat that size, pulling the anchor in rougher seas has a rubber-band type effect - guessing it coincided with a wave for a terrible result). Everyone here is definitley looking forward to the story from Shuyler once he's recovered.
  7. xMRogers

    NBA

    Man, I DVRd saturday night, not realizing the horse contest was earlier in the day. Watched it on YouTube - wasn't as cool as I thought it would be, but part of it was they got three guys that didn't talk much and were definitely a bit nervous early on....think if they did it Saturday night, and got the right guys and miked them up, would have been cool... Howard definitely screwed up with that last dunk. I thought that side-board dunk along with Rudy F's off the back of the glass were the best, but Rudy screwed it up (really Pau did) too many times, and Howard should have changed the order of everything. Nate is amazing, but he essentially is just "jumping high" ... due to him just having enough to get up there and dunk, he can't do what some of these other guys can. Even the three pt contest kinda sucked cause other than two times did anyone get on a really nice roll... coupled with a blowout of a game (although early on it was pretty good), was mostly a wasted affair (the rookie/sophomore game was pretty good)
  8. Got it - just saw the little note on the login page about the membership....
  9. I am as well, but read in the topic below this one that the "season" now runs Pro Bowl to Pro Bowl instead of June to June - is that correct, and is that's what locking everyone out (i haven't paid for 2009 yet as I thought my 2008 payment went to summer)
  10. The thing about MVP's in all sports, whether season or game, is that while it should be a "full" award, meaning full game / full season...but usually comes down to "what have you done for me lately". Baseball is the worst, in that a hot September can overwhelm 5 months of great play. In this case, (just pretend the Holmes TD was picked for instance), it's a bit odd in that the two likely guys both were pretty quiet early and exploded at same time. I think Warner would have gotten it, but co-MVP's would have been deserved. Hard to go for 2nd most yds ever in an SB and not get it if win the game, but the reason for the win would have been Fitz coming alive.
  11. Looks like everyone did pretty well....I lost about a unit with about 15 different things going. Comes down to that Heath Miller catch on the first drive - if he scores instead of going down at the 1, and everything else stays the same, my Heath Miller first TD / Heath Miller will score a Touch/ Pitt -6 all come in instead of losing - about a 3 unit swing Almost went Gary Russel to score first early in the first week at 25-1, but when I went back to put them in it was down to 15-1 so laid off..... Unbelievable the safety was the difference from a push to a win for me, and it wasn't even a 'real' safety Oh well, nice 4 SB in a row losing streak (in terms of picking the team to cover) and 6 of last 7 - I'm becoming the death picker much like Collinsworth (who held up his end by picking the Cards to win with the astute "I have 6 reasons Pitt will win....I'll take the cards" reasoning). Pretty down year on my part, but mostly chasing long odds parlays (and got sucked in playing online blackjack which was so dumb) That coin flip pattern did pay off - look for heads again next year as the seemingly random may not be so
  12. If anyone cares, here's the coin toss results last 7 years (and my result as this has become a traditional bet for me): 2008 Tails Win 2007 Heads Win 2006 Heads Loss 2005 Tails Win 2004 Heads Loss 2003 Heads Loss 2002 Tails Loss Little pattern developing that would point to heads this year....but patterns are meant to be broken.... I've lost 5 of the last 6 SB picks, only winning the Eagles against the Pats (and even that sucked since they lost). Think I'm just going to be sticking with my Steelers -6, a parlay with the over, then some 1st TD props (always take the QB's - that one by big ben really paid off) and a few randoms
  13. I'm guessing the Texans will fly downward quick - there's always one or two teams that open in the 50 range, and a bunch of longshot money goes on them driving them into the 20's, which then seems asinine in a way.... Other thing is the Rays really scared Vegas a bit as they were 100-1 last year, and almost cashed a bunch of longshot tix. I had the Eagles, Texans and Raiders this year (18, 75 and 100). I may go with the same 3 teams again....(Raiders more of a 'sooner or later, they'll "click" and get 10 wins)
  14. I'm on the Steelers -6 at this point, and if it goes to 7.5 at all, may go Cards +8 to try for the elusive middle. The ML is a bit odd as a 7pt dog on the ML is usually at least 240 if not a bit more. To only be in the 210 to 220 range tells me something, although may just be a reaction to last years losses by Vegas. Like to over as well as the Steelers
  15. One thing I look at is Pitt put up 23 against Baltimore, so that's gotta be worth what, 35 against AZ regardless of how they got it. AZ put up 32 against a ridiculously terrible performance by the Eagles D, so best case I'll give them 24 against Pitt Think the Pitt pick is a good one, and believe the over is also definitely coming in... Going back over my betting on the SB with the year of the game 2008 - wrong (Pats) 2007 - wrong (Bears) 2006 - wrong (Seahawks) 2005 - right (Eagles) 2004 - wrong (Patriots) 2003 - wrong (Raiders) 2002 - right (Patriots) 2001 - right (Ravens) 2000 - push (Rams) 1999 - wrong (Falcons) 1998 - wrong (Packers) Now, the Falcons, Ravens, Raiders and Eagles bets were all somewhat biased at the time (Falcons i had season tix to at the time, Eagles is evident, Raiders was a "I can't believe the Eagles aren't there and I'm not thinking straight" and Ravens I had a 50 to 1 ticket from before the season on them so was somewhat already going that way, although did like it at the time as well) So, I think if you take all that into account, I'm due....
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