VegasMax

Wow that is an awful, awful team.

Bell for me as well, but I could see an argument for Demarco Murray.

Here's my list: 1) Antonio Brown 2) OBJ 3) Calvin Johnson 4) Demaryius Thomas 5) Julio Jones 6) Jordy Nelson 7) T.Y. Hilton 8) A.J. Green 9) Dez Bryant 10) Mike Evans

Atlanta's D is really bad, Last in the NFL in total defensive DVOA according to football outsiders. Newton should have a solid if not great game. The Colts have nothing to play for, it's unlikely that Luck plays a full game. Go with Newton without hesitation.

I'd be pretty comfortable with Lacy tonight. If he doesn't get 100 yards and a TD I'd be shocked.

To answer your question, this isn't typical, and you did get pretty unlucky. You can help yourself in these situations by being active on the waiver wire and owning key backups to your big players. For example, if you have Jamaal Charles it's very important to also own Knile Davis. With Ellington or Peterson, it's much less clear who to have though. I'm sure your luck will be better next year

Agreed, Allen in standard scoring over Kelce for sure.

I'd probably start Flacco over Rivers this week and feel good about it. I could see an argument for picking up Bridgewater, Mettenberger or Hill really, Hill probably being the safest of the bunch. Gresham at TE seems like a solid choice, your TEs are just horrible.

I don't, the only thing that is easy to predict with defenses are sacks. The Bengals have no pass rush to speak of. You're banking on turnovers which are very hard to predict.

You could make a legitimate argument for Manziel or Newton here, they're more high risk high reward players though. So if you feel like you're an underdog, you maybe should go pick up Manziel.

The Cincinatti RB situation is tough to project but those ESPN projections are ridiculous. I like Bernard slightly over Hill this week, but not by much. Herron seems like a safer bet here though.

Hopkins had a great game, but Lafell has shown a lot more consistency. San Diego's defense is pretty bad, I say LaFell.

Matt Ryan vs Green Bay. He's going to be throwing, a lot. Baltimore isn't a great matchup for Tannehill since they should be able to contain him as a runner and he's a pretty poor pure thrower.

Gio has a higher floor but Herron will likely have the better game. Look at the matchup, if you feel like you're an underdog go with Boom.

Kelce and Reed. Is Heath Miller available?