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Everything posted by michaelredd9

  1. Browns fans: Read this long rumor!

    I think all the outlets are quoting one article from The Ringer. The reporter asked several Browns' front office people if they had considered drafting 2 quarterbacks. Any front office person doing their due diligence would at least consider it. The article doesn't name the front office people who said they considered it. But I think you're right. If they can actually convince other general managers that they might draft a second quarterback, then the value of the pick goes up for trade purposes. Here is the article from The Ringer: http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/nfl-draft-2018-browns-quarterback-sam-darnold-josh-allen-picks-stats/1cuypi97e8wxe13jplgo41klnf Personally, I would use both picks on a quarterback. It would create controversy and competition. If a quarterback can't handle the controversy and competition, then they aren't NFL caliber. A true NFL quarterback will thrive in those conditions.
  2. Alvin Kamara

    Alvin Kamara looked special last year. Where should he be drafted this year?
  3. Denver shopping the 5th pick

    He also said he would be willing to move up from the 5 spot. And that he would pick the best player available if he chooses at the 5 spot. He basically said nothing.
  4. Alvin Kamara

    If Ingram had been traded, I would have seriously considered drafting Alvin number one overall this year. Last year, he made defenses look bad. Real bad. And he made it look easy. He would glide up to the defense and then explode. His smoothness made it look effortless. He clearly has amazing vision and instincts in addition to his considerable physical skills. And with the exception of the Saints having Ingram, he landed on the perfect team. In 2016, the Saints running backs had 127 receptions. That had to be an NFL record. They also had 10 receiving touchdowns and 884 receiving yards. They were the number one scoring fantasy backfield in 2016 with Mark Ingram, Tim Hightower, John Kuhn, and Travaris Cadet. Last year, the Saints' running backs had 143 receptions. In PPR, receptions are king for running backs. 143 receptions is the equivalent of 23.8 touchdowns. The Saints' running back's 1,254 receiving yards is the equivalent of 20.9 touchdowns. When you add in their 6 receiving touchdowns, the Saints' running backs had the equivalent of 50.7 touchdowns from the passing game last year. With Peterson gone, they might top 160 receptions this year. A few years ago Sean Payton said he was going to improve the Saints' run game. He said that Brees' skills would decline and they needed their running backs to pick up the slack. I thought it was lip service. Coaches with dominant pass games always say they want to improve their run game and it almost always comes to nothing. But Sean Payton backed up the talk. In the last 3 years, the Saints traded for Max Unger, used two first round picks on offensive linemen, and traded away Jimmy Graham and Brandin Cooks. Few pass-first teams would have considered diving in headfirst to that extent. But it has clearly paid off. I can't ever remember ranking running backs from the same team in the 1st and 2nd rounds of a fantasy draft. But I am this year. I have Kamara ranked at number 6 overall and I have Ingram ranked at the end of the 2nd round. I haven't decided if I'd be willing to use my first two picks on Kamara and Ingram. That might be too crazy.
  5. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    Who do you rank higher fantasywise, Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry? http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6483/dion-lewis Dion Lewis expects to share carries with Derrick Henry. "I think they’re going to use both of us. Derrick’s a great back, so I think we can form a good one-two punch." This falls in line with what's expected. Henry has workhorse traits but Lewis looks likely to cut into his pass-down snaps. Despite coaching staff changes and the release of DeMarco Murray, the Titans should remain a two-back offense. Apr 13 - 7:34 PM Source: SiriusXM NFL
  6. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    At this time last year, Mike Lombardi said this about Doug Pederson, "everybody knows he isn't a head coach" and he "might be less qualified to coach a team than anyone I've ever seen in my 30-plus years in the NFL." And Mike Martz said this about Sean McVay, "What is he, a couple of months older than Jared? They hired a buddy for Jared. The NFL has nothing to do with being the friend or the buddy of the quarterback. You've got to coach them and work them hard with respect. But buddy? And this guy is a quarterback expert? An offensive expert? Wait a minute while I puke. Right, he's going to be able to teach and handle and guide Jared through tough times because of all of his expertise and knowledge? Right. I'm not going to drink that Kool-Aid."
  7. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    You're probably right. Good scrambling quarterbacks don't dump off as much to their running backs as immobile quarterbacks. But they could still run a fair amount of scripted passes to Dion. Averaging between 3 and 4 receptions is attainable. Averaging 10-12 carries with 3-4 receptions still very respectable for a fantasy running back. And maybe he'll average more than 10-12 carries per game. They don't need to preserve him for the playoffs or the future. Though it'll probably just be a matter of time before he gets hurt if he does get a lot of work.
  8. C.J. Anderson released

    I hope CJ signs as a straight-up backup instead of as a starter or in a timeshare. I could see myself drafting him as a handcuff with upside.
  9. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    Dion was doing well fantasywise in the 7 games he played in 2015 before he got hurt. He scored the 5th highest points-per-game for a running back on the season in PPR leagues. With Derrick Henry as a running mate, Dion maybe won't see more than 10-12 carries per game. But a player averaging 10 carries and 5 receptions per game can sneakily put up very respectable fantasy numbers. Dion Lewis is better at pass protection and receiving than Derrick Henry. The NFL is a passing league. Dion will work harder than Henry and learn the new offense faster. Henry has had flashes of brilliance along with a lot of mediocrity. We can drool over his physique and big play ability but a hard-nosed first year coach like Mike Vrabel isn't going to play a somewhat lazy running back because of his potential. In his quest to bring a winning culture to the Titans, Vrabel might even make an example out of Henry by keeping him on the bench or even trading/cutting him. Dion Lewis will bring the Patriot Way to the Titans and Vrabel will reward him for it. Dion having been a Patriot is likely the main reason the Titans signed him. At worst, I see Dion starting out the season with 50% of snaps. But more likely, I see him getting 60%-70% of snaps to begin the season. I'm a fantasy owner who is often drafting my second running back in the 8th round. I have to choose between running backs with serious flaws at that stage of the draft. Dion is clearly a hugh injury risk. He has missed half a season due to injury in 3 of the last 4 years. I am more worried about Dion's risk of injury than I am worried that he'll lose significant playing time to Henry.
  10. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    I would choose Dion. He'll be used a lot more in the pass game. And I don't see him getting less than 50% of snaps. I don't see Henry having any fantasy relevance unless Dion gets injured.
  11. C.J. Anderson released

    CJ is a player that I've always thought passed the eye test. I was surprised to see that he had a 4.0 ypc in 2016 and 4.1 ypc in 2017. I thought he looked pretty good the last two years when I saw him.
  12. Landry to Cleveland

    Landry is a far better fantasy receiver than Watkins. But real football can be different than fantasy. Landry is an unathletic but physical receiver. He is a possession receiver running simple routes right in front of his quarterback. Possession receivers often put up high reception totals which is very nice in PPR leagues. He doesn't command a lot of attention from the defense. Sammy Watkins is fast, athletic, and big. He is a good deep threat. He does command a lot of attention from the defense. With the type of routes he runs and the attention he receives from the defense, he isn't going to put up big reception totals. But the attention he receives from the defense is still a game changer. If I had to choose between Landry and Watkins for an NFL team, I'd probably choose Landry. I'd rather have an overachiever with little natural talent over an underachiever with a lot of natural talent. Players like Watkins never seem to reach their potential. These last two seasons have essentially been contract years for Watkins. He didn't work very hard. He now "earned" his first big payday. I think we can be sure that he'll work less hard in the next few years. But there is no denying his natural skills. He has the potential to be a top-5 NFL receiver if he were committed to his craft. But instead, he is probably Roy Williams all over again.
  13. Dez Bryant cut

    I hope the Packers don't sign him. And I wish we still had Ted Thompson as general manager. If being active in free agency means signing ex-superstar malcontents with bodies that are breaking down, I'd rather build through the draft. However, I will be willing to draft Dez in the 6th round of a fantasy draft if he does land in a good spot like Green Bay.
  14. The first 6 picks will be.......

    I'd be more worried about him playing lesser talent if he played a different position or if he had great receivers and/or a great offensive line. He played lesser talent and he was surrounded by lesser talent with his teammates. Quarterback isn't physical or mano a mano like other positions.
  15. Cameron Meredith signs offer sheet with the Saints

    Being a 6'3" slot receiver with a little bit of speed, Cameron Meredith is Marques Colston-esque. It's hard to not get a little bit excited about his potential on the Saints. Hopefully, he plays in 2 receiver sets some of the time. The Saints used a lot of 2 receiver sets last year. Although, it was maybe because they didn't have 3 good receivers to play. Unfortunately for Meredith, Ted Ginn's deep threat is probably a more valuable asset with only 2 receivers on the field.
  16. Saints sign Cameron Meredith to offer sheet http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/nfl/375033/saints-sign-cameron-meredith-to-offer-sheet?ls=roto:CHI:topheadlines Saints signed restricted free agent WR Cameron Meredith to a two-year, $9.6 million offer sheet. The deal includes $5.4 million in guaranteed money. The Bears will now have five days to match the offer or risk losing him. Meredith enjoyed a breakout year with a team-high 888 yards in 2016 before losing all of last season to a torn ACL. The 25-year-old has a connection to Saints WRs coach Curtis Johnson, who previously coached Meredith in Chicago. Meredith would have mouthwatering fantasy appeal with future Hall of Famer Drew Brees throwing to him in New Orleans, though the Bears have plenty of cap room and should be interested in keeping him as a complement to Allen Robinson. Source: Adam Schefter on Twitter Apr 6 - 2:39 PM
  17. The first 6 picks will be.......

    In the games against Power 5 schools, Allen's teammates were outclassed every where on the field. He constantly faced immediate defensive line pressure and had receivers who couldn't get open. It would have been miraculous if he had played effectively in those games. Tom Brady probably wouldn't have fared much better if he had quarterbacked against Power 5 teams for Wyoming the last 2 years. Scouts keep saying that Allen is inaccurate. That is probably the worst adjective to hear about a quarterback prospect. I can't think of any quarterback who was labeled inaccurate who became an elite NFL quarterback. But Allen isn't a completely inaccurate passer. He is a quarterback that usually throws highly accurate balls. But a small percentage of the time, he throws a very inaccurate pass. That seems like something that could be mechanics or mental. It seems like something that could be easily corrected after some time in a good system. One thing I like about Allen is that he is from a farm. Owning a farm isn't easy. It requires hard, physical work and also requires intelligence. If a farmer is dumb or lazy, they'll lose their farm quickly. So when a farm is successfully run from generation to generation, you know that these farmers are instilling a strong work ethic into their children. When you look at the truly elite quarterbacks like Brady, Peyton, Rodgers, and Brees; one thing they all have in common is an extremely strong work ethic.
  18. Bears shopping Jordan Howard?

    No one wants to play for Jim Irsay's hondashow. Poorly run teams don't do well at the start of free agency. But the best bargains in free agency come later. And players are more accepting of going to non-ideal teams later in free agency. The Colts have a lot of holes. A lot of good players are still available in free agency. The Colts will sign more starting-caliber players before training camp. And Saquon Barkley has at least a 50% chance of being available at the 6th pick in the draft (it only takes 4 quarterbacks and 1 other player picked ahead of him). Saquon is the perfect fit for Andrew Luck and for the Colts. If I were the Colts, I'd wait for the draft to be done before I went making a Carlos Hyde-esque move.
  19. Random Off-season Signings

    Jordan Matthews' hands are soft. Everything about him is smooth. But he is a player who has had boneheaded drops. In his first 3 years, he dropped 6, 5, and 6 passes according to Fox Sports. He had 2 drops last year in limited time. A lot of his drops over his career should have been simple catches. Bill Belichick won't tolerate a lot of bad drops. But being on the Patriots might help Matthews gain some focus. Here is a video of the Eagles 2015 dropped passes. Here is a video of the Eagles dropped passes in the first nine weeks of 2016. Matthews has some doozies in both videos. His drops in the 2016 video aren't as bad as his 2015 drops. So maybe he improved over that span. I might draft Matthews late. But more likely, Matthews is a player I will target as a street free agent early in the season while he is only playing 30%-40% of snaps. He will be a WR4 as long as Edelman is healthy. But Edelman has at least a 50% chance of incurring a season-ending injury. Whoever plays slot receiver with Tom Brady produces. Last year, Danny Amendola only played 49.87% of offensive snaps in the regular season. He had 61 catches, 659 yards, and 2 touchdowns. In his three playoff games, Danny had 26 catches, 344 yards, and 2 touchdowns. That is some very high per/snap production for a journeyman receiver. If Matthews plays 70%-80% of snaps, he could potentially be a top-10 fantasy wide receiver.
  20. Bears shopping Jordan Howard?

    Rotoworld quoted Pro Football Focus as giving him 14 drops over the last 2 seasons. But every source is different since it's not an official stat.
  21. Bears shopping Jordan Howard?

    Howard had 14 drops in the last 2 seasons on only 82 targets. That has to be the worst drop rate in the NFL by a wide margin. No offensive coordinator who wants to throw to his running back is going to want Howard as his running back. With his quick release, Trubisky should be throwing to his running back a lot.
  22. General Rookie Chatter

    I'm starting to think the first 4 picks might all be quarterbacks. Cleveland might get a huge offer for the 4th pick. It could even be Denver that trades for the 4th pick.
  23. Trey Burton

    Burton had 23 catches, 248 yards, and 5 touchdowns while only playing 26% of snaps. There are a lot of targets available in Chicago. Another name to add to the list of tight ends who I might draft in the 16th round but cut after week 1 if they don't have a big first game. Nagy confirms Burton will play the Kelce role http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/nfl/374873/nagy-confirms-burton-will-play-the-kelce-role?ls=roto:CHI:topheadlines Coach Matt Nagy confirmed new TE Trey Burton will play the Travis Kelce role in the Bears' offense. It's a receiver-tight end hybrid spot called the "U" in Nagy's offense. "It’s an important role," Nagy said. "It’s easy to create some plays for. And when you have a guy that has the size that Trey has and the speed that he has, it’s about mismatches." Burton (6'2/224) isn't nearly as big as Kelce (6'5/255), but they ran nearly identical forties coming out of college at 4.62 and 4.61, respectively. Burton might be the better athlete. Burton has big breakout potential. Source: Chicago Sun-Times Mar 28 - 9:28 AM
  24. Baker Mayfield

    Few sub-6'2" quarterbacks have succeeded in the NFL. Not many are even given the chance to play in the NFL. But Drew Brees and Russell Wilson have been as good as any quarterback in the league. So a short quarterback doesn't have a low ceiling (no pun intended). Baker has arm skill and seems to have the personality of a person determined to win. Is he the next Drew Brees?
  25. If you get desperate for an owner, I'd do it. But I'm in Cambodia so I wouldn't be able to pick from 3pm to 12am central time zone.