MTSuper7

Members
  • Content count

    5,315
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    10

Everything posted by MTSuper7

  1. I wouldn't say the only way or the best way is FAAB. I'd say the fairest way is FAAB. The easiest way is FCFS. The best way depends on what you value. What's more important to your league? Being as fair as possible or being as easy as possible? And yes, there is additional complexity and strategy with FAAB. If your league enjoys the strategic layers of roster management, they will be open to FAAB. If they feel FCFS works for their interest level, then they won't be open to FAAB.
  2. Questionable trade?

    I agree with Opie. As soon as a team is mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, they are not allowed to trade players. Our regular season is the first 13 weeks, so we generally use 7 losses as the threshold. The only time we wouldn't would be if the 7 loss team is near the top of the league in points scored and, thus, has a theoretical chance of winning a tie break if the last seeded team also ends up 6-7. But generally, it's that 7th loss the removes a team from trade talks. Nothing you can do about it this season. I encourage you to not try to veto - generally let teams manage the way they want. You can shore up league integrity by putting in the aforementioned rule. Earlier this year, we saw McCaffrey for Calvin Ridley happen. We all shook our heads, but we didn't cry foul. Instead, we cried to ourselves that we wished we would have been the ones who exploited that owner's low opinion about McCaffrey (this was maybe 3 weeks into the season). The Ridley owner did a masterful job of selling high to a team with an RB overspill but desperate at WR.
  3. It doesn't imply laziness to me. It implies status quo bias / resistance to any change. Granted I don't know these situations in detail, but I'd guess that you guys are just not selling the benefits well enough to get it implemented. When I pitched this change to my main local, I did a few things: Make it seem like a small change: "Guys, you can pretty much keep doing things the way you always have been. The system works the same - you pick who you want and who you would want to drop to get that player. There is only one small thing that changes..." Bring up the pain points of a "same as last year" mentality: "Remember how James Conner was on the waiver wire to start the year? Well, you fluked your way to being a top scoring team in week one. Why should you be punished by not having any chance in hell of picking up Conner? Or do you remember OBJ's rookie year when he blew up when he came back from injury mid-season? Because the bottom feeders were pretty much out of the playoffs, they didn't bother to put in requests so X team picked him up when they were a fringe playoff team and ended up riding him to the championship game. How is that fair when you had the same record but had scored a measly 20 points more on the season, meaning you lost your waiver bid on a crummy tiebreak?" Ask questions to get them to come to the right conclusion on their own: "Do you think the team that scores lowest in the first week or two always has the weakest roster? Do you ever wish that you had a legit chance to get any player on waivers that you wanted, regardless of your team's record?" Let them know we could just try it for this year to see how it goes: "If you really end up thinking it sucks, we can just go back to the way we've always done it. Is there really any serious harm in giving it a shot to see if we like it?" It also can help to show them how it would work if possible. That allows them to see just how easy it really is. And it is easy - there is literally one additional field to complete when putting in a request. For what it's worth, there was a definite learning curve as people adapted to this last year. Some people were blowing through their budget in the first month of the season, and some people spent almost nothing all year. But EVERYONE wanted to keep it in place, and I've noticed that people have shown improvement in how they manage their FAAB this year.
  4. How have you kept your team afloat?

    Yeah, as long as you have enough depth to absorb losing Howard, that move is a no-brainer. News on AJ Green hasn't been great, but all you really need is a 100% healthy return by Week 14. The one problem I could see is the Bengals rushing him back while they are still fighting for a playoff spot, then he aggravates his injury and eventually gets shut down for the year. Still, you're only losing Jordan Howard here...
  5. How have you kept your team afloat?

    I did this very thing with the Dalvin Cook owner in my league. I had Latavius, so I was in a unique situation. I am 6-4 now and in decent shape to make the playoffs, but I started 1-2 before rattling off 4 straight wins. I made the below trade, and the guy I traded with was winless at the time. I traded Lamar Miller / Jordan Reed / Dede Westbrook for Dalvin Cook and Josh Gordon (did this in week 4). I also was aggressive in grabbing guys off the wire that should have never been dropped in the first place. For instance, the O.J. Howard owner dropped him after his MCL injury. I spent the FAAB I needed to spend to get him. I also got Ryan Fitzpatrick after his owner dropped him for Jameis when he cam back from suspension. I drafted Rivers, so having a boom or bust backup is nice - I can decide to play Fitz when I know I need a shot at a 400-4 type game, as Rivers is a steady Eddie but doesn't have the volume opportunity to ever blow up. The terrible Bucs' D always keeps the passing game at the forefront there. Those two moves won me 2 games over the middle weeks. I have also stayed patient with Aaron Jones and Corey Davis on my bench, and I got aggressive this past week to land Rashaad Penny who has league winner potential at the end of the year. I'm also patiently sitting on Kenyan Drake. To me, some of what keeps you afloat is also making sure you don't mortgage your future completely to win now unless you absolutely have to win out to get in. I also think it's important during the middle weeks to make sure you have good bye week plans - don't wait until your heavy bye weeks hit to decide how to manage. Make some moves in advance because the best streaming options aren't guaranteed to be there when you pick (or the FAAB cost becomes much higher if you wait).
  6. FAAB is a good answer for that problem. Otherwise, if you stick with first come, first served, I think a smart draft strategy can be to draft some guys who might start slow or are suspended for the first 1-3 games. You end up starting slow, but you get the best on the wire, then your team is built to win starting in week 3 or 4. Think Edelman and Ingram this season.
  7. How many carries will Christian McCaffrey get?

    This was an interesting thread before the season started. For what it's worth, Christian McCaffrey is currently averaging 19.9 touches per game. He is on pace for 315 total touches this year. It seems like a really distant memory worrying about C.J. Anderson having a role. McCaffrey is a first rounder next year, hands down.
  8. I'm done with FF Fellas

    For me, the fun is derived from the process, not the results. Sure, it sucks to lose. But the way I look at it, it's like poker... You make the best decisions at the time, but ultimately you can't control the outcome. You can't do anything about the guys you have on your team once Sunday afternoon rolls around. But you can make decisions about who to acquire and put a plan together to get the team you want. It doesn't always work out, but I have found enjoyment in the process of taking a drafted team and molding it into a contender. Some years it works out, some years it doesn't. At the end of the year, I usually look back at the difference between what I drafted and what I ended up with, and the net is usually quite positive. I distinctly remember certain seasons where I drafted a dud of a team and had to scratch and claw my way through savvy FAAB bidding and trades to get into the playoffs. And someone earlier in this thread mentioned the dumb luck people who ended up with Cheifs and/or Rams. We had a year like that in 2007 when Romo/Owens and Brady/Moss were both carrying teams to championships. And I remember winning the SB that year with Sage Rosenfels as my starting QB in the playoffs because I had built a solid team everywhere else. Those Rams/Chiefs heavy teams can be one and done with just a mediocre week. If you aren't enjoying fantasy football, then walking away makes sense. I took a year off in 2015, and it was a great idea at the time. I needed the break. I was in too many leagues, and I would take it too seriously. Now, I am in one league (main local), and I have more fun just putting my effort into improving that team to give myself a shot at the title. Maybe a year off to recalibrate is the answer. And if you don't miss it, so be it.
  9. Keke Coutee

    Thinking of dropping Chris Hogan for him, and I'll probably spend around 15% of my budget. Someone else will almost certainly outbid me. People tend to overreact to one game.
  10. ANYONE ELSE FED UP WITH KENYAN DRAKE

    I went WR heavy early, so loaded up on RBs in the mid and late rounds. Glad I don't have to depend on Drake anymore. He's not a bad player, but with how the Dolphins are running their offense, he's completely unusable for fantasy. I'm just holding on in hope that he breaks out in the 2nd half similar to last year.
  11. Delanie Walker taken off on cart....

    Per Ian Rapoport, Walker’s season looks over:
  12. Falcons / Eagles

    It's like Doug Peterson doesn't want the same RB on the field for more than 2 plays...
  13. Player who fell the furthest in your draft?

    Notes from a 12-team 1/2 point PPR league: Tyreek Hill fell to the 3-4 turn Alshon Jeffery fell to the 7th round Rex Burkhead fell to the mid 9th Delanie Walker fell to the 10th round Aaron Jones fell to the end of the 13th round Ronald Jones went in the 15th round
  14. My answer to this question: Alex Smith. I think he will finish as a QB1, with a ceiling around 5 or 6. He is currently the 18th QB coming off the boards according to fantasy football calculator mocks. Here's why I'm high on Alex Smith: No Guice means the same old meh running game. Jay Gruden got a QB6 finish out of Kirk Cousins in 2016 and a QB8 finish out of him last year. An argument could be made that Alex Smith is better than Kirk Cousins. Washington's defense isn't going to do the offense any favors He's one of my favorite backups to draft.
  15. first year in 23 years not playing FF

    I did this back in 2015. I was in a bunch of leagues, and it started feeling like an obligation instead of a hobby. Especially Tuesday nights getting waiver requests in. I took the year off and really enjoyed the freedom. It also worked out well, as I had just started a new job and would have never been able to keep up with my leagues if I hadn't stepped away. I got back into fantasy football in 2016, but only in my main local (who thankfully had an opening). I'm still only in that one league, and I don't plan to get into others. Enjoy the year off - I actually didn't even watch much football the year I took off. I actually think it takes fantasy football for me to have interest in the NFL these days which is sad. But the game is becoming hard and harder to watch with all of the replays and rules changes.
  16. LeVeon Bell

    Bell started slow after last year's holdout, so I'd at least temper expectations with Bell's productivity in September. But the Steelers know that Bell won't be with the team next year, so they are going to grind him into the ground this year. He will likely lead the league in touches, and removing pass-happy Todd Haley from the equation will likely help him. I can't see how anyone would draft Zeke or DJ over Bell. Zeke is going to get 8 in the box half the time this year, and he doesn't catch passes like Bell. And the Cardinals are terrible, so DJ isn't going to come even close to the 20 TDs he scored in 2016.
  17. Who is the best QB value in redrafts?

    Cousins finished QB8 last year without both of those guys (Garcon or DeSean). All I'm saying is the QB of a Jay Gruden offense is highly likely to finish the year as a QB1 based on his track record. This will be an interesting year to see how both Cousins and Smith do. I also think Blake Bortles deserves consideration as a value, mainly because he is going in the low to mid 20s of all QBs, but the guy never finishes below middle of the pack and always seems to deliver QB1 numbers during the fantasy playoffs somehow.
  18. Who is the best QB value in redrafts?

    I always laugh when I see things like Aaron Rodgers has a 5th round ADP. I've never seen the first quarterback in any of my leagues last even remotely that long. Rodgers will be long gone by the 5th in all of my leagues. Rodgers is also a higher injury risk than most other QBs.
  19. Who is the best QB value in redrafts?

    If Smith stayed in KC, he wouldn't have nearly as good a price tag. I'm curious about what is so bad in WAS. Cousins routinely made lemonade out of those lemons. They still have Doctson, Crowder, Thompson, Reed (health notwithstanding - is there a more brittle core of receiving talent in the league?). They added Paul Richardson (sorta meh, but better than Pryor). And they are going to have to rely on the pass without Guice. I don't believe in a 33 yo Adrian Peterson any more than I believed in Kelley or Perine. Jay Gruden made a top 10 QB out of Andy Dalton before heading to Washington. Dalton's best fantasy finish ever was Gruden's last year there (4300+ yds, 33TDs). Dalton has been QB2 material pretty much the rest of his fantasy career.
  20. Who is the best QB value in redrafts?

    I am not nearly as optimistic about Keenum, but you're right in that I could stack elsewhere and grab Keenum literally in the last round. I'd rather get two high upside QB2 types in the mid to late rounds though. So maybe pair Alex Smith with the likes of Eli (gotta like the supporting cast and arrival of Shurmur) or Trubisky (again, nice supporting cast and aggressive, young coaching change).
  21. Trey Burton

    I just hope he has a semi-quiet 3rd preseason game. I don't want his price tag soaring.
  22. A.J. McCarron breaks collarbone

    McCarron has looked JV his whole career. I never understood the hype when he was a Bengal, and still don't.
  23. Deeper Sleepers

    Here's a deep sleeper for you all... Mack Hollins. A few reasons... First, Alshon and Agholor are both banged up. If Alshon sits the first couple of games, Hollins could earn his way into a prominent role. Alshon is no stranger to injury, and his timeline coming off of torn rotator cuff surgery was always a little tight anyway. Hollins is a big dude too - bigger than Alshon (6'4"). He does have to contend with current #3 WR Mike Wallace, but Wallace is 32 and a known commodity. Hollins has more upside as an unknown.
  24. did you buy high on McKinnon this off-season?

    I really like Breida at his ADP, especially since he is hurt yet unlikely to miss regular season action. After Jimmy G. got to San Fran last year, the 49ers RBs averaged 27 carries per game (it was a few carries per game lower prior to Jimmy G because the offense ran fewer plays per game). A 60/40 split would mean something close to 16 carries for McKinnon, 11 for Breida. That would put McKinnon just over 250 carries for the year if he holds up. But the monster upside is with the combined PPR and TD opportunity, as McKinnon is certain to get most goalline work. If he gets 60 catches, goes over 1,200 total yards, and gets to double digit TDs, he is going to be an RB1. He can get to those numbers averaging a pedestrian 3.8 ypc too. And we're talking with a 60% share, not a bellcow workload. Despite McKinnon losing work to Latavius Murray last year, there's a certain amount of trust and respect that you have to give Kyle Shanahan here. They've watched tape. They know who McKinnon is. They weren't turned off by what they saw on tape, and they know that they are expecting of him in this offense. I don't think it's bellcow work at all. But I also don't think it needs to be for McKinnon to produce borderline RB1 numbers.
  25. How many carries will Christian McCaffrey get?

    Since when is 5-11, 205 pounds considered small for an NFL running back? I don't understand that criticism of McCaffrey. I'll agree that he's maybe not prototypical of a bellcow, but people are acting like he's Warrick Dunn. Here is a list of RBs similar-ish in size to McCaffrey: LeSean McCoy (5'11", 210) Kareem Hunt (5'11", 215) Devonta Freeman (5'8", 206) Alex Collins (5'10", 208) Aaron Jones (5'9", 208) Jerick McKinnon (5'9", 205) Some of the above might not be bellcow material, but we've seen McCoy and Freeman fare just fine in the NFL. And Alex Collins was a workhorse the last half of 2017. I guess my point is that we shouldn't assume McCaffrey can't handle the workload based on his size. He seemed to do well with a bellcow role at Stanford (averaged 23.6 carries at over 6 yards per in his last two seasons there). That doesn't mean NFL success is guaranteed, but I would be surprised if we didn't see his total touches climb near or slightly above 20 per game. I chose 200-250 carries, but I think it'll be the high end of that number (15 carries/game = 240 over the season). I think 280+ touches is a near lock. ETA: I forgot to add Dalvin Cook to the above list (5'10", 210). I've not heard anyone express concern with his bellcow-ability.