Big Country

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Everything posted by Big Country

  1. Corey Davis Trade

    Hopefully by now you have accepted the trade, but run, don;t walk to hit accept. I'd take Jones and Kittle as well for rebuild purposes.
  2. 2018 Keeper help

    # of teams and number of required starters? Do you know what pick you have? Absent that information, solid arguments could be made for all 3. All are coming off of injuries of some sort but appear to be back to health. Beckham may well be the safest....if it was a safe bet that he doesn't hold out. Lack of PPR also hurts Beckham. Cook and Freeman are pretty close - Cook probably has a bit more upside and is 3 years younger than Freeman. Freeman has declined a bit since being the top overall back a few years back, but is still a threat and near lock to be in the top 10, I just don't see top 3 potential with him this year. I prefer to grab the higher upside, so would lean Cook over Freeman in comparing the RBs So for me it's down to Cook and Beckham. As mentioned, no PPR hurts Beckham a bit. If it's a 2RB/2WR league, I think Cook is definitely the pick, as the equal number of required starters and lack of PPR pushes up the RB value. If it's a more flex based or WR heavy lineup (either 1/3 or 1/2 with a couple flexes, something like that), than a stronger argument could be made for Beckham as the higher number of required WRs compared to RBs pushed up the WR value, and at that point you have to consider who else is likely to be kept and what kind of players are most likely to be available to you in the draft.
  3. Should Antonio Brown be numero uno?

    There are a lot of factors that would go into this: Lineup Requirements - How many required RB and WR? Is it a 2QB league? Scoring - PPR or not? Anything else that adversely affects positional value? League Size - In combination with lineup requirements, the number of required starters across the league is a bid determinant of positional value. League Tendencies - Are the other owners likely to stock up on a single position early? It is impossible to say he is the #1 overall player as a blanket statement for all leagues. He should definitely be in the conversation for the majority of leagues, but in no way would I be comfortable saying he should be the #1 overall player drafted for most leagues.
  4. Keep Tyreek Hill or Brady

    100% this - in a 10 team league, Brady is JAG at QB realistically, Hill at least projects to be an easy weekly start
  5. Who has been here since the 90s?

    And still coming here. Creature of habit I suppose
  6. When to draft Saquon Barkley

    What are your rules on keepers? If you are able to get him with the #5 pick, are you able to keep him and Kamara in the year's to come?
  7. Jimmy Graham...........

    Whats the total salary cap? Pretty important as the answer could change if its a $100, $200 or $500 cap. Do you get PPR? I see very few scenarios where I'd consider keeping Ryan over Graham at those prices (well, ok, I see no scenario where I'd keep Ryan over Graham), but if your cap is only $100, I don't think I could justify putting 17% of my cap into a TE. If it's a $200 cap, 8.5% of cap to a TE is pushing the bounds of what I'd personally be comfortable with, and I would say it's a bit on the high side for a non-Gronk/Kelce TE (and very high for a non-PPR league), but Graham and probably Ertz are the only other 2 TEs I'd consider in that cost range, but wouldn't say either is a slam dunk.
  8. Keeper Help, please.

    I'd lean Evans and Thielen as well at those prices, though I think arguments could be made to keep AJ Green over Thielen, especially with 5 owners using first round picks on keepers, you still have Barkley, David Johnson, Kamara, Cook, Gordon available, so you could theoretically come out of the first 3 rounds with one of those backs plus Green and Evans in a PPR. I like that as much as any combo of the other teams you listed (Brown/Fournette is a solid start but he won't pick until the 3rd, and Elliott/Adams is not bad either)
  9. Ertz for #4 & #14? Dynasty

    It's a steep price for sure. I think the only way I would pay that much for a TE is if the league were a TE premium league and acquiring a guy like Ertz would strongly help your odds at a championship. If it is not TE premium or you are not realistically in championship contention by adding Ertz, I think I'd prefer to add whichever rookie RB you get at 4 and keep the #14 - or parlay just that pick into a TE improvement.
  10. Big dynasty trade PPR

    I prefer the JuJu side on this. Mike Williams is talented but as long as Keenan Allen is there he will never be better than the #2 option at best, and who knows what the situation will be at QB once Rivers moves on, so looking at a very murky long term situation for him. Cohen also likely never an everydown back so he just adds in as similar value to the guys you already have with maybe a little more of the high reward/high risk type play. Ross also has some potential if he can stay healthy, but also is not likely to ever be a #1 WR, as he is a true speed WR that, like Cohen, will usually be a boom/bust type play for the foreseeable future. The 2.16 rookie pick is not of much value assuming non-IDP, but I'd still prefer to have JuJu over the other 3 players combined. Yes, he is behind Brown on the depth chart, but the offense virtually assures of him of top 20 production, and Brown is turning 30 this year and likely going to start to see a slide sooner rather than later while JuJu is only going to be 22 midway through the season.
  11. Dynasty league trade

    Sure it's fair, but again, what would the point be? You hurt your QB depth, get a little younger with your RB depth and turn Moncrief into a 2nd round rookie. If I'm the other guy I'm probably doing it for sure to get Cousins, for you, yes, it adds some youth, but nothing that is likely to really boost your team, so I'd be iffy on it unless you think it better positions you to flip these guys for something better.
  12. Should The Commissioner Review Lineups On A Weekly Basis?

    And his job is to do what exactly? Change the lineup to what he alone deems to be best? What gives him that right? May as well let him negotiate all the trades between the teams, determine who should get what free agent, etc.
  13. Dynasty league trade

    Which Coleman is it - Corey or Brandon? What would be your motivation for making the deal? As I see it: Cousins>Dalton Williams=Mack (both have potential, both have a ton of questions, both have competition, have very similarly rated short and long term with neither likely being a long term stud) WR - None are very appealing or likely have long term dynasty value, kind of a wash. Unless you happen to have Mack that much higher than Williams, I don't really see the reason for making the deal.
  14. Dynasty deal for #2 pick?

    Every league I am in that is a keeper/dynasty allows unequal draft picks and all have no offseason roster limit. There is a cut down day before opening week when each team must cut down to the roster limit. And hopefully you don't also have positional limits - that's almost as dumb as the fixed number of picks.
  15. Amari

    I would do it as well, assuming you are the one receiving Penny and the 2nd rounder.
  16. Keeper Help

    Assuming you only start 1 QB, I'm keeping Gurley in this situation. Rodgers is much more easily replaced, and even the value he presents as a 15th rounder (unless you have unique rules that drive up QB value) is not that great compared to the possibility of having Gurley for a 3rd plus still having your 1st round pick.
  17. I'd say the 50+ responses from the other site you posted this same question to a few days ago, just like your other threads, should suffice, don't you think? Many of the people here are on that site as well, so you're essentially asking the same people. Maybe you'll get different answers I suppose. But, much like that other thread, rule was poorly written, should be revised.
  18. Rankings PLEASE HELP

    I've done it before - takes some work in Excel, but I've used it in the past when I spent way more time than I should have on this to come up with some consistency metrics. Depending on position, I would calculate number of week with a top X finish to indicate elite week, top Y finish based on number of starters at that position and a few other things. Was an interesting metric to play with. I used it mainly to compare players that had similar year end totals in points to indicate which were the consistent players and which were the boom/bust players.
  19. Have we had any rookie drafts yet?

    Tweak the filter a little to "Exclude Mock Drafts" and I also chose "Starting After May 1" and it seems to be much more normal - Barkley is top rookie with ADP of 1.13 and Guice is #2 with ADP of 3.15. Next 4 guys ADP are all between 5.7 and 7.3 which shows just how much of a jumble it is right now with no clear cut 3rd guy, etc. With the default setting, even though it says rookie only drafts, the max picks are out of whack - Barkley has a max pick of 721 and most of the others have max picks in the mid 300s. Not necessarily anything wrong in their data, as not everyone uses the draft the same way or takes the time to properly setup their draft/league so that it can be filtered, etc. for these things.
  20. Yes, it was a wrong thing to change - your long thread on the other FF site where the vote clearly went with the "it was wrong" side should be enough.
  21. What’s wrong with picking 1.02-1.04 this year?

    I think what we are seeing is that other than Barkley at 1, there is a grouping of 6-7 RBs (Guice, Penny, Michel, Jones, Chubb, Freeman and Johnson) that all can have valid arguments for being anywhere from the #2-8 pick. Maybe 1 or 2 of the WRs squeak in ahead of 1 or 2 of the RBs, but generally a pretty weak WR class compared to past seasons, and no QB that is a definite top 10 rookie pick. With all of that uncertainty about where to rank the RBs, I think a lot of owners are content with getting the RB that falls to them out of the group rather than feeling the need to move up to get a particular one. So now you have guys in the 2-4 range wanting to move down, but not out of the top 8, but the other owners with the picks in the 5-8 range content to pick there with no real desire to move up. You could possibly move out of the top 8, but you're not going to get the same type of package as you may have received in years past when there were a more clear top 2-4 picks and a much less severe drop off in the 2nd/3rd tier rookies because there were more WRs and such in better situations. In one dynasty draft that I am in, I will say the most activity and talk was centered on folks outside the top 8 trying to get the 7-9 picks to get the last of the rookie RBs that look to be in decent spots, but those offers didn't happen until the first 5 picks or so had been made.
  22. Dynasty, want 1st pick

    At this point, let's all just agree that based on the opinions of all of the very experienced dynasty players that have responded to you so far, and all of the examples any of us have found of trades for the #1 overall pick, you severely undervalue what it is generally taking to acquire the #1 pick this year, and should probably focus on who it is you are likely to get at the #6 pick. Based on the drafts i have been in and have seen, you are correct in your assumption that you likely will not get Barkley, Guice, Chubb, Penny or Jones, but will likely get your preferred option of Michel, Freeman or Johnson, though, I have seen Michel go as high as #2, so it is possible that one of Chubb, Penny or Jones falls to you at 6. I have not seen Barkley or Guice drop that far, and have not seen many drafts where any of the QBs or WRs go in the top 5.
  23. Sony Michel in NEP

    This is one I am having probably the most trouble ranking. Good talent especially in the running game. Some question on how much he is ready to be used as a receiver. And, as the note above notes, had 12 fumbles in college, which is that happens in the NFL is the fastest way to the bench. Situationally he may be the better running option of the NE backs, but how much does the 1st round pick mean he gets opportunity. I think if NE were a team not in the running for a title, he'd get more leeway, but NE is going to play the guys that will get them back to the SuperBowl regardless of draft pedigree. I've seen arguments for him being as high as the #2 rookie RB, most settling in on him in the 3-5 range, then others pushing him down into the RB7-8 range. No clear consensus. Heck, I think my opinion has flopped twice just while composing this. To me, definitely a guy where I want to see how he does in camp and ideally get some look at him in preseason. For dynasties drafting now, with no additional information, I think I am settling in on him being my RB4-5 out of the rookies.
  24. Dynasty, want 1st pick

    I don;t see many dynasty leagues where the 6 and 10 would net you the 1. If your league really has a rule that every team has to have 5 picks, then you are going to be extremely limited in what you can do. I think at this point have to come to the conclusion that you are severely undervaluing the #1 pick and a move for it is not likely to happen.
  25. Dynasty, want 1st pick

    You do seem to always find a buyer for your garbage in AFL, so it may well work in this guys league as well.