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Everything posted by DMD

  1. SOS Article?

    Will be out on June 1st!
  2. Hunter Henry torn acl

    NFL reports same. Gates is not a replacemen. He knows the plays but his body cannot run them. No real replacement likely means lots of WR passes.
  3. Alex Collins

    I'm not so sure. His overall stats are nice - 212-973-6 rushing and 23-187 as a receiver. What concerns me is that he had a 4.6 YPC overall but in the final eight games when he became the 15+ carry starter, he only averaged 3.7 yards per carry - that was really 3.3 YPC but he had a big game against the Steelers like most runners after they lost their LB Shazier. But he stepped up as a receiver at the end of the year which is good. But he has no apparent competitor for carries really other than Javorious Allen who faded last year as Collins asserted himself. I hate the Ravens offense mostly because I hate Flacco. It was a new offense last year so it will be more of the same this year unless Flacco gives way to Lamar Jackson which is no guarantee to help (though I think it would). Collins should get the volume to post decent fantasy stats. I'd be shocked for him to become a top ten back ever, but as a starting NFL RB who can catch and won't apparently share that much, he's got value. I personally wouldn't want him as a RB1 or RB2 unless I loaded up on WR first - and probably not this year. I see him as a lower-end RB2. Not excited about him but have to acknowledge the likely value.
  4. Rankings PLEASE HELP

    Yeah, I wondered about that. I will have the consistency series out next month .
  5. Rankings PLEASE HELP

    The number of top ten finishes during the year for a player in his position? I've played fantasy football for 27 years or so and have never heard of anything like that. Not even just as a statistical category for actual stats.
  6. Though I agreed with DAL releasing Bryant, I am a little surprised he's remained unemployed this long. It confirms that all the other teams have seen the same issues that the Cowboys did in his level of play. He'll land with another team still but this has to be a big hit to his ego.
  7. Broncos now have just 2 RBs on their roster - Devontae Booker and De'Angelo Henderson. They'll have to spend a high pick on a RB if not grab two. Or at least trade for a veteran which seems more unlikely.
  8. Have we had any rookie drafts yet?

    I loved the kid in the draft. I was hoping DAL took him. The #3 in PIT is sadly less appealing. But PIT should have a great trio.
  9. Have we had any rookie drafts yet?

    And maybe they will pan out. At least a few of them. But it was considered a weak WR class and none were taken until 1.24. First 2 rounds: 1.24 CAR D.J. Moore 1.26 ATL Calvin Ridley 2.08 DEN Courtland Sutton 2.12 SF Dante Pettis 2.15 ARI Christian Kirk 2.19 CHI Anthony Miller 2.28 PIT James Washington 2.29 JAC DJ Chark 2017 first 2 rounds from what considered a great WR class: 1.05 TEN Davis, Corey 1.07 LAC Williams, Mike 1.09 CIN Ross, John 2.05 BUF Jones, Zay 2.08 CAR Samuel, Curtis 2.30 PIT Smith-Schuster, JuJu JuJu was the only one that hit so far. 2016 first 2 rounds: 1.15 CLE Coleman, Corey 1.21 HOU Fuller, Will 1.22 WAS Doctson, Josh 1.23 MIN Treadwell, Laquon 2.09 NYG Shepard, Sterling 2.16 NO Thomas, Michael 2.24 CIN Boyd, Tyler Thomas was a hit but played with Brees. Fuller does well so long as Watson plays. But the first two rounds of what were considered to be more talented draft classes has started slowly at the least. And in terms of expectations for rookie years, the trend is not good.
  10. Have we had any rookie drafts yet?

    Not a lot of love for the rookie WR this year. But deservedly.
  11. Have we had any rookie drafts yet?

    Gurley and Johnson have been stellar. But Gordon has been good and even Duke Johnson gets some credit as well. For being the 15th overall pick, he's been mostly to expectations so yeah he should be considered.
  12. It is a mess. And what doesn't help is that Duke Johnson is clearly one of the top third-down backs in the NFL. He caught 74 passes last year. And Hyde is both a good runner and a good receiver - he had 59 receptions last year. Then throw in Chubb who is a power back with great rushing ability and almost no experience as a receiver. The last two years he combined for 447 carries for 2475 yards but only totaled nine catches. So you have a receiving back. a back that does both and a rushing back. The new offensive coordinator Todd Haley hasn't used a committee. When he was the HC in KC 2009 - 2011, he had Jamaal Charles. When he was in PIT as the OC from 2012-2017, he had Le'Veon Bell. So his background prefers if not creates a "superback" that does it all. In CLE, there are 3 separate pieces and none are like each other. This would be simple if there was no Chubb or no Hyde. Johnson is what he is - a great third-down back. But how it shakes out between Hyde and Chubb is the question. Have to consider this a three-way monster until either Chubb or Hyde clearly beats the other out for more touches. But for 2018, it is wait and see what shakes out and worse yet, their roles could change throughout the season.
  13. C.J. Anderson released

    Kinda Jonathan Stewart all over again.
  14. Have we had any rookie drafts yet?

    Seven RBs to start that Rookie ADP. It is just heartwarming to see the position start to matter again. Last year was great for RBs 1.04 JAC Fournette, Leonard 1.08 CAR McCaffrey, Christian 2.09 MIN Cook, Dalvin 2.16 CIN Mixon, Joe 3.03 NO Kamara, Alvin 3.22 KC Hunt, Kareem 2016 less great 1.04 DAL Elliott, Ezekiel 2.14 TEN Henry, Derrick 3.10 MIA Drake, Kenyan 3.27 SEA Prosise, C.J. 2015 mostly not great but Gurley and David Johnson 1.10 STL Gurley, Todd 1.15 SD Gordon, Melvin 2.04 JAC Yeldon, T.J. 2.22 DET Abdullah, Ameer 3.09 ATL Coleman, Tevin 3.13 CLE Johnson, Duke 3.22 ARI Johnson, David 3.31 WAS Jones, Matt Then 2014 was horrible 2.22 TEN Sankey, Bishop 2.23 CIN Hill, Jeremy 2.25 SF Hyde, Carlos 3.05 TB Sims, Charles 3.11 STL Mason, Tre 3.30 CLE West, Terrance 2013 horrible except for Bell 2.05 CIN Bernard, Giovani 2.16 PIT Bell, Le'Veon 2.26 DEN Ball, Montee 2.29 GB Lacy, Eddie 2.30 SEA Michael, Christine 3.34 KC Davis, Knile 2012 was a total whiff other than Martin having 2 decent years 1.03 CLE Richardson, Trent 1.31 TB Martin, Doug 1.32 NYG Wilson, David 2.18 STL Pead, Isaiah 2.29 SF James, LaMichael 3.04 DEN Hillman, Ronnie 3.21 BAL Pierce, Bernard Nice to see the position have so much promise but I wonder if it is true or that we are overvaluing based on the success of 2017?
  15. Sony Michel in NEP

    The only other first round back taken while Belichick was there was Laurence Maroney who ran 175-745-6 and caught 22-194-1. I have a great problem trying to decide what Michel is most likely to do. Historically, Belichick doesn't much like rookie RBs. And he really, really likes guys who are good at pass protection which is much more important now than 12 years ago when Maroney started. I would guess that game-to-game it will be very hard to call - like most backs there - but at least overall Michel has the brightest outlook of any of them by a big margin. Maybe running the ball more is a consideration to help keep Brady fresher and safer. He's the kind of guy that you want to like a lot, know that there is an equal chance he'll disappoint as there is he'll delight and more than anything, you have to know every week you have to start him regardless of what he did the last week because of the chance he'll have a big game.
  16. Cowboys trade for Tavon Austin

    What is "how do you prove you are desperate", Alex.
  17. Gates is 38. He's done. The only time he has avoided injury in the last three years was 2017 when he averaged under two catches per game. DAL needs a TE badly but not one that needs a wheelchair. Even Tony Gonzalez knew to walk away at 37 and he was never injured and was far more productive than Gates of the last three years.
  18. Gates is 38 years old. He's been mostly ineffective for the last three years and only caught 30 passes in 2017 despite "playing" in all 16 games for the first time since 2014. Maybe they are not handling it that well but LT was only 30 when he left for NYJ. Gates is eight years older than that. He only played last year to get the TD record in Week 2 and he never scored again until Week 15. I would be surprised to see another team take him. Gates is the oldest TE in the NFL. Jason Witten is retiring and he is 36. I'd be surprised to see another team take him. He has been a free agent since back in March.
  19. Jason Witten to retire?

    Man. The Cowboys receivers are looking pretty bleak right now if that is true. I mean really, really bleak.
  20. Goff as the college walk-on The starting QB at Ventura College probably enjoyed the reveal more than anyone... whew!
  21. Giants release WR B Marshall

    Maybe. But Marshall added nothing last year and now the Giants have Beckham and Shepard returning, plus Evan Engram who broke out last year. And if they draft Saquon Barkley and run the ball more, how many passes are left over for Bryant? Or even Beckham given the new targets?
  22. Alvin Kamara

    In PPR, Kamara came in #3 last year. And he did not hit his stride until around Week 6. No way he makes it out of the first round. I haven't done the projections yet since the NFL draft has yet to happen and the schedule comes out tomorrow. But if he falls out of the first round on my projections, he's getting more fantasy points to push back up. He scored 13 times and totaled 1554 yards. And this year he has no Peterson there and knows what he is doing even more. In PPR, he's probably a top 5 pick IMO. He deserved the ROY he got last year.
  23. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    Whatever patterns there were for RB catches before do not matter now. TEN has an all new offense this year. New HC Mike Vrabel was a defensive guy. Matt LaFleur runs the offense but he's never been a full-fledged OC before so there is nothing really to go on as to expectations. He was a QB coach in Atlanta but that doesn't mean he's looking for another Devonta Freeman. Or maybe he is? Hard to say.
  24. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    Just for reference: Dion Lewis Year Team Car Rush Yards Rush TDs Catch Catch Yards Catch TDs 2011 PHI 23 102 1 1 -3 0 2012 PHI 13 69 1 2 24 0 2013 CLE 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 NE 49 234 2 36 388 2 2016 NE 64 283 0 17 94 0 2017 NE 180 896 6 32 214 3 Henry Year Team Car Rush Yards Rush TDs Catch Catch Yards Catch TDs 2016 TEN 110 490 5 13 137 0 2017 TEN 176 744 5 11 136 1
  25. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    They are paying Lewis $5M a year so he is not just depth. But my problem is that he follows the pattern of being a relative nobody for his career and then getting one year as the primary back in NE. He played for six years already with minimal to show for it other than 2017. He was with NE for 3 years and did little for the first two. TEN is his fourth team. If he had not started last year, he'd be the same guy only one that you'd draft deep in the draft to fill out your roster. Not many backs break out in their sixth year. Blount went from 18 TDs to only three last year when he changed teams. The top backs for NE in recent years were Lewis, Blount, Jonas Gray, Stevan Ridley, Green-Ellis, Laurence Maroney, etc. This also gets complicated with a new coaching staff with Matt LaFleur as the OC whatever that ends up meaning. Lewis should be the pass-catching back though he's never had more than 38 catches and that playing with the Pats who love to throw to backs. I am still trying to decide on that backfield but historically any back leaving NE is over-valued on a new team. Without exception. Lewis saw heavy use at the end of last year but the Pats did not want to keep him. New coaches, new scheme on a new team could end up with major FF value since it is harder to know what to expect. As of now, I would expect that Henry takes the bulk of rushing and that Lewis is more of a third-down back. Hard to guess when LaFleur has never been an NFL offensive coordinator other than last year in LA with the Rams but he did not call the plays there and the Rams just used Gurley with almost no other help. Lewis scares me given his own career from 2011 - 2016. And the history of ex-NE RBs. But I agree that Henry is no slam dunk to become another "Gurley". $5M a year says Lewis is not just a bench player.