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Everything posted by Gopher

  1. NFL Schedule

    The Vikes will probably find a way to contribute to that number somehow.
  2. Dez Bryant

    I think Romo was better than average, and Dez was in his prime during the 2012-2014 stretch in which he averaged roughly 90 catches, 1300+ yards, and 14 scores. I don't think Dez is necessarily washed up or old (he's only 29), but I think there are a number of reasons why the chances of him becoming a #1 WR (in terms of FF) again are slim. First and foremost, there are a number of places he could go where he wouldn't even be the best WR on the team. Being #2 on any team in the NFL means he's coming nowhere close to the numbers I referenced above. The exceptions to that might be NE and GB, and I'm sure there are reasons that I haven't even thought of that make both of those scenarios unlikely. He's not putting up those numbers next to OBJ in NY (see Brandon Marshall). He's certainly not putting up those numbers in NOS with Michael Thomas (not to mention NOS focusing more on run than pass the past couple of years), or with Julio in ATL. And, he's not putting up those numbers in places like PIT, MIN, CAR, SEA, etc. Those are just the first few good teams that crossed my mind. I haven't even started with the (longer) list of bad teams that he wouldn't begin to sniff those numbers with, for a variety of reasons. A change of scenery isn't going to help Dez if the team isn't a contender, and the list of contenders that could really use him at this point is a fairly short list. I guess it depends on our definitions of relevant. Do I think Dez could go somewhere and put up 60 catches for 800 yards and 6 TD's? Assuming he stays healthy and develops at least a moderate level of chemistry with the team/coach/QB, sure. But, if I had to put a number on it, not knowing where he will end up, I would say the chances of him reaching 1000 yards and 8 TD's is around 5 percent.
  3. NFL Schedule

    MIN schedule looks tough. Arguably their four toughest non-divisional opponents are on the road (NE, PHI, LAR, and SEA). They do get NOS at home, but other than that, I’m not sure they could have made it any more difficult, in terms of who they play at home versus on the road.
  4. Dez Bryant

    Right, because if he pairs up with Rodgers or Brady, he'll be "elite" again, right? Those guys make everybody they throw to look better than they really are. Anywhere else, and he's still going to be Dez, which is a guy who shrivels in the face of adversity. Whether it be a lack of chemistry with his QB, facing a top-tier CB, or whatever the case may be, Dez doesn't handle it well. So, yeah, we MIGHT see a resurgence from Dez if he signs in the right place, but I would say the odds of him becoming a "Tier 1" WR again are pretty minimal. He's four years removed from any semblance of a great season, and only half of that can be blamed on Dak.
  5. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    Well, clearly, I did not recall correctly. I guess it was 2015 I was thinking of (not five years ago). Man, it seems like Lewis has been in NE longer than that.
  6. Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry?

    I don't think anybody is saying that this is going to be Lewis' breakout season. That was about five years ago, if I recall correctly. He is what he is... A serviceable RB who excels in the passing game. I'd be surprised if he ever averages more than 7-10 carries per game (and that might be generous), but it's the 4-6 receptions per game that he's capable of that make him attractive. My guess.... They split time, Lewis is the more consistent of the two, and Henry has a couple of big games to make the end results look pretty even.
  7. Dez Bryant cut

    Dez is four years removed from his last "elite" season. The only way he becomes a "tier 1" guy again is if he's paired with somebody like Rodgers or Brady (guys who make average WR's look like stars, at least in terms of fantasy production). Put Dez with an average to slightly-above-average QB (like Romo was), and Dez will continue to be Dez. A guy with above average talent who has started to decline physically (even if it's ever so slightly). More importantly, Dez has historically shown that he may or may not give 100% when there is adversity (for example, facing top-tier CB's). That fact alone makes him no longer a tier 1 guy, in my opinion. He's better suited, at this point in his career, as a compliment to somebody else. So, yeah, outside of GB and NE, I think signing him in hopes of him becoming your team's #1 WR might be a mistake. Too much of a distraction for what he's worth.
  8. Brandin Cooks traded to the Rams

    And the combine and college awards mean nothing, in terms of who is the better NFL WR.
  9. Brandin Cooks traded to the Rams

    I guess eye test? Beckham does things that literally nobody else does. I’m not a Cooks hater, or anything close. I just think his QB’s have made him what he is, to some extent. In other words, I think they even made him appear to be a WR1 (NFL, not FF), when the reality is that he’s a better than average WR2. The Pats figured that out, and decided to move him before everybody else does. Cooks doesn’t stand out as being spectacular to me in any way. OBJ makes plays almost every week that nobody else makes. Granted, OBJ is a time bomb waiting to explode (possibly). But, if he keeps his head on straight, he’s a HOF WR without question.
  10. Brandin Cooks traded to the Rams

    Let’s be real.... If we are talking talent alone, OBJ is probably a top-3 WR, while Cooks isn’t sniffing the top 15. Stop with the nonsense that they’re anywhere close in talent. I like Cooks, but let’s face it..... He’s “just a guy” if not for him having Brees/Brady throwing to him for his entire NFL career. If the Pats didn’t feel comfortable with the idea that he’s easily replaceable, they wouldn’t have traded him. I’m guessing they feel that they easily got the better end of this deal, and they’re probably going to be right.
  11. Who is the number 1 fantasy tight end in redraft?

    If I'm sitting in a draft spot where I am required to take a TE with the pick (and all are available), I'm taking Gronk. That said, as a former Gronk owner, drafting him always feels like a boom or bust decision. Because of where you have to draft him, it's been difficult to recover on the years when he's been hurt. Not impossible, but you have to have a few other things go your way to make up for what is essentially throwing away a pick in the first couple of rounds. On the flip side, on the years when he's been good, the opposite happens. His production makes up for lack of production elsewhere OR bumps your team into an almost guaranteed playoff status. For me, it's always been about how risky I think I need to be. If I'm sitting in a draft spot where I'm not exactly thrilled about my options, maybe I grab Gronk and hope for the best, knowing that whatever direction I go, there is going to be risk. On the other hand, if I love my situation in terms of other players/positions, I'd probably pass on him and wait for the right TE to fall to where the value is too much to pass on. But, again, if they're all on the table, and I'm forced to pick one, I'd be very hard-pressed to find a solid reason not to take Gronk, with Kelce and Ertz not far behind. Value-wise, though, I'd rather have one of the others in Rounds 3-4 than spend a 2nd round pick on Gronk.
  12. Trouble for Eagles' Michael Bennett

    Shocking. It's going to be pretty difficult to put an "I'm the victim" spin on this one.
  13. Suh hasn't left LA yet...

    Simple explanation.... Taz was blacked out for a few years, during which time he was a die-hard Chargers fan, making no mention of the Rams.
  14. Bump. Still have an opening here. Great league. This is our only opening this year. Tom Brady / Eli Manning Mark Ingram / Gio Bernard / Jamaal Williams / Devontae Booker Michael Thomas / Dez Bryant / Brandin Cooks / Robert Woods / Tyler Lockett Eifert / Walker Defense includes Kuechly, Quinn (DE), Williamson, etc.
  15. Long-time Huddle dynasty league has one opening. This is a great league with a great mix of owners (some who have been in the league for longer than a decade, and others who are newer additions). The roster for the open team is listed below. Here are a few of the details. Please post here OR PM me if interested. 16 teams $50 annual dues ($800 minus MFL cost is paid out annually) 2 conferences of 8, each conference has two divisions of four - Division winners and one wild card from each conference make the playoffs (total of 6 teams) Annual 8-round rookie draft - Open team has the 10th pick in all eight rounds Annual allotment of $50 in bidding money is used for both waivers and RFA (which takes place in April). RFA is basically bidding on free agents whose contracts have expired. Cash amounts vary going into 2018, and with no franchise tag, cash is king in the off-season. Open team has $44 in BB funds. This is tied for 8th out of 16 teams. Highest has $100 (2 teams), 3rd has $63, and there are 5 teams with $13 or less. Partial PPR scoring, with a slight emphasis on TE's to even the offensive positions. Start QB, 1-3 RB, 2-4 WR, 1-3 TE, PK, 2-3 DL, 2-3 LB, 2-3 DB. 40-man roster (plus unlimited IR), and a 13-man taxi squad (up to 3 years including rookie season). Open Roster
  16. 2018 March Madness Tourney...

    Invite please.
  17. Kirk Cousins to Minnesota

    All of that said, I think Keenum is a great signing for DEN, all things considered.
  18. Kirk Cousins to Minnesota

    I can't speak for the rest of the Vikings fans (or for the team, obviously), but my gut tells me Keenum somewhat reached his ceiling this season. Not necessarily a one-year wonder (I don't think he'll be garbage going forward, by any means), but I'm not really sure he can do much better than he did last year. And, while the NFC Championship game was certainly not solely on him, I do think he showed some signs of cracking under pressure in that game.... Something we hadn't seen much of, prior to that. I thought there were a number of instances throughout the season where the end result looked much better than the means of getting there, in terms of how he played. Throwing up desperation passes off of his back foot, only to see Thielen or somebody else bail him out by making a great catch. Balls that are intercepted at a very high rate were turned into completions, or worst case, incompletions. Some of that can be attributed to Case having a knack for getting out of pressure situations, but some of it was also pure dumb luck. I could see that luck running out next year, and his performance bouncing back towards a much more average/mediocre result. Bottom line.... I think most would agree that Cousins is an upgrade from Keenum. How much is the question. So, the real question becomes at what point is the upgrade worth more than the price difference. Is Cousins worth double what Keenum is worth, if Keenum is 90% of what Cousins brings, in terms of performance? Probably not. On the other hand, I think MIN would gladly pay a lot more for Cousins if they feel the upgrade is significant enough for them to improve from where they were last year. You can't put a price tag on the potential of reaching/winning a SB, and the reality is that they were pretty close. Close enough that a home loss to Detroit likely cost them home field advantage in a season in which they could have played in a SB at home. I think sticking with Keenum would have been the conservative move. Signing Cousins may or may not turn out to bring the results they're looking for, but at least it shows me that they're aggressively looking to improve. And, whether it be trading for Bradford two years ago, or signing Cousins now, I would rather see them making moves towards improvement than just sitting back and hoping things turn out better next year.
  19. Taz check

    For what it's worth, Stewart's parents lived around the corner from me in the greater Seattle (Olympia) area. Maybe he's wanting to finish his career close to home.

    He's got 70 on me, with three less players left. Players we don't have in common.... Him - NE Def, CJ Ham, MIN ST Me - Lewis, Amendola, JAC Def, Keenum, Murray, Thielen If it's a NE-MIN Super Bowl, I like my chances of making up those 70 points. But, it goes without saying that my chances lie heavily with that SB matchup in mind. If Philly or Jacksonville wins this week, my chances go out the window (while I would think he still has a chance, at least as long as one of the two makes it).
  21. Just over 24 hours until kickoff. I've got about 50 paid participants, with a few more lineups than that already set. It's really hard to say what the final tally will be, because there are at least a few returning participants that will set their lineups at the last minute (tonight or in the morning), but I would guess that we will be in the same ball park as the last two years (around 70 people total). Maybe even a few more. This is a great way to make the NFL playoffs a bit more interesting. Overall winner will be taking home somewhere in the range of $500. And, in the past two years, out of nine possible payouts, I paid eight and nine different winners (in 2015 and 2016) respectively. In other words, it's a great combination of paying out a decent top prize, but also spreading the pot around a bit. If you want in, or know somebody else who does, post here or send me a PM with your/their preferred email address.
  22. This one is pretty basic. No PPR, no flex, no DST. Pick a different QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, and kicker each week, for the four weeks of the NFL playoffs. There is some strategy involved, not only in picking the players that score the most points each week (obviously), but also in making sure that you leave yourself a QB (not to mention a kicker, etc.) for the SB. The other piece that makes this interesting is that, even if you are nowhere close to finishing in the top five, you can bring home a decent chunk of change by going for it all in any given week (last year's high score netted $135). Scoring TD pass - 4 TD rush/rec - 6 2 pt conv pass/rush/rec - 2 Rush/Rec yards - .1 (point for every 10.... decimal scoring) Pass Yards - .05 (point for every 20.... decimal scoring) FG - 3 PAT - 1 Cost is $20. As a general rule, we've typically allowed one entry per person. However, I simply need a unique email address for each entry/team. In other words, I'm not going to police whether someone has multiple teams, if that makes sense. Last year's payout structure is below. The actual amounts may fluctuate slightly, depending on the number of participants, but as long as it doesn't rise/drop significantly from last year, it will remain the same (top five and weekly high scores). If you are interested in a spot, send me a PM, and I'll get you an invite to MFL. If my inbox happens to be full (which happens a lot this time of year), post that you are interested in this thread, and I'll contact you. I've also included a link to the site, in case you want to browse the scoring, rules, or previous results. Karl's Playoff Contest Top 5 scorers (cumulatively over four weeks): 1st place - $500 2nd place - $250 3rd place - $150 4th place - $100 5th place - $60 Weekly high scores (Weeks 18 through the SB) - $75 each Single-week highest score (highest of the $75 winners) - $60 Any questions, let me know.
  23. Bump for anybody else who wants a crack at this.....
  24. Wild card lines discussion

    It’s now up to 6.5, which is still the smallest of the weekend (or at least tied for the smallest).