Easy n Dirty

Portfolio Pool

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ok, all valid entries taken.

next update will include first weekends results.

 

please check your personal entries for errors or miscalcs

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Ok dummies, three of you have picked the Patriots after Easy n Dirty posted this.  :D

 

981392[/snapback]

 

 

 

 

 

The best would have been if someone took Oakland!!

 

:D

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I see a couple of 5's posted, but I'd really like to congratulate sundaynfl and blips for going 0-fer. :D

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i have seven teams and had 4 winners.  1 off the pace.  i think my strategy of garage sale teams might work.

 

985013[/snapback]

 

 

 

 

Well 2 of my teams played each other ... so the best I could do was 5 outta 6.

 

STL and ARI let me down

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Missed my Jets....even though it was a loss so I guess it doesn't really matter. Just wanted to let you know in case your formula for the J-E-T-S was incorrect. :D

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i am stunned by the fact no errors are reported so far, but hey, maybe i am getting old enuff to pull something like this off :D. ok enuff self-hugging....

 

1 winner only for me...., guess that suxx big time

*whine*

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Zia, pretty cool! It's a marathon, not a sprint! I don't mind breaking with 4 wins tho! :D

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2-4, not good.

 

Given the way the teams were priced, seems to make sense that an average score at year end would be about 50 wins, maybe 49 since many entries did not spend the full $500. So I would think that on a weekly basis, a decent threshhold to meaure yourself against would be about 3 wins per week as a roughly "average" score...maybe slightly higher in the opening and clising weeks, and slightly lower in the middle weeks when the byes take place.

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ok, finally updated with the monday night game.

 

also added a 2nd htm page of it.

less load time, less "microjunk" due to not exporting excel to htm, but also less cute looks, no links, a bit less viewability.

 

http://www.zijlstra.at/portfolio.htm

for the larger but cuter version

 

http://www.zijlstra.at/portfolio2.htm

for the smaller version

 

enjoy

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updates on both versions will be done today when i get home.

 

past week 5 (4+ games for every team) i will put in prognosis charts.

i need input on what numbers i should base the formulae?

 

win %?

score differentials?

win/loss ration of schedule thrown against the win/loss ratio of the team?

 

some help there please

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both versions updated.

 

anyone some ideas on the prognpsis formula?

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As far as prognosis I'd like to see a "best potential final score". For example, after tonight's game I'll have 8 correct with 14 weeks left. I also have 6 teams. So 14 X 6 = 84 + 8 = 92 as a best potential final score. As the weeks og on this will become probably the best indication of who still has a shot left at winning.

 

Also, would it be possible to sort the grid alphabetically by huddle name? It's a real beotch to hunt down my stuff all the time. :D

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i will see about the sorting thing, but i doubt i will manage that.

problem is that while it would be no problem to sort the names, one has to sort the added data to that name too, and this blocks of text/data do vary since people have 5-8 (9?) teams, which makes their data-set diffferent.

 

but we will see...., i work on that

 

and i see your point in using a formulae based on our games data, and i will see how this might work, but we DO live off real NFL scores, so i am still working to find a prognosis way based on the real teams scores/chances, although it might be even tougher to do

 

update for the 2 monday games when i get home

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updated with the monday games.

added a lil feature at the top of the "big" version that shows the leader(s) score.

 

still trying to figure out a sorting feature.

also working on the prognosis thing still

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Wouldn't it be based on the best ratio of wins vs. losses?

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thats true billay, but then should I take the schedule ahead also into account?

 

something like (team A win ration thru 4 games)*4 +/- (upcoming 12 opponents win ratio below/above .500)

 

example: a 2-2 team thru 4 weeks has 12 oppos to go, and those have only accumulated 16 wins is bound to do better then .500 over the season (24 wins would be a 0.500 schedule across the board after 4 weeks for 12 teams).

 

whatever, its just a little mind game i play with myself, my logic and excel skills. dont get bothered too much :D

Edited by Zia

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page updated with sunday games.

scores will look/be a bit whacky since bye weeks started...

 

monday games will be updated in about 24 hours.

 

scores seem a bit low to me, are we all THAT off?

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thats true billay, but then should I take the schedule ahead also into account?

 

something like (team A win ration thru 4 games)*4 +/- (upcoming 12 opponents win ratio below/above .500)

 

example: a 2-2 team thru 4 weeks has 12 oppos to go, and those have only accumulated 16 wins is bound to do better then .500 over the season (24 wins would be a 0.500 schedule across the board after 4 weeks for 12 teams).

 

whatever, its just a little mind game i play with myself, my logic and excel skills. dont get bothered too much :D

 

1007222[/snapback]

 

 

 

 

isnt the purpose to get the most wins (regardless of win/loss ratio) by the end of the season? hence some teams decided to go with quanitity (over quality).

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Cool....another contest I'm totally sucking at. Thanks Zia. :D

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some shakeup for pats-takers, GO CHARGERS :D

 

update will follow when i get home.

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