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Keep Gurley or Hill?


8rattoon
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Hi all. I'm in a 14-team league with 15 rounds in the draft. We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 WR/RB/TE Flex, 1 DST, 1 K. Scoring is standard with .5 PPR.

 

My obvious keeper is Kamara in the 12th round. For my other keeper I have the option of keeping Gurley with my 1st round pick (10 overall) or Tyreek Hill with my 13th round pick (166th overall). I'm pretty sure that I'm going to keep Gurley considering he's a set-it-and-forget-it guy, but should I be so hasty to pass up the value I'd get if I kept Hill? I could still get someone in the neighborhood of Julio Jones, Beckham or Devonta Freeman at 10 overall if I kept Hill over Gurley. I foresee some minor regression with Gurley but I could see Hill's production dropping off quite a bit this year, which is another reason I'm leaning toward Gurley.

 

Thoughts?

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