Irvin088 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Hey All, 10 team league/non-ppr/auction/$200 I get to keep 3 guys at the price I drafted them. To me, Le’Veon Bell ($28) and Keenan Allen ($30) are no-brainers; but I’m struggling to choose between Dalvin Cook ($34), Zeke Elliot ($45) and Derrick Henry ($2) since he’s so cheap and has upside. Most of the top talent will be kept, so top tier other than rookies are often slim pickings. i would appreciate any thoughts! Note: Bell is so cheap b/c I drafted him as a rookie for like $8 and pay an extra $5 each year to keep him. Julio Jones would be $49 to keep which seems a bit over priced. I can’t keep undrafted players. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Def. Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 Zeke and Bell in a standard is a winning philosophy IMO. I'd have no hesitation spending only 40% of my budget to lock up ADP ranked #2 & #3 overall, especially in a 2 RB league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 Good point - I got him a little cheaper last year b/c of the suspension partially as a possible keeper. I suppose Cook is a much higher risk. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 And yeah it’s 1QB/2RB/2WR/1Flex/1TE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 Do you like Allen as the third keeper? That would be just over half my budget at $102. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Montana is da Man Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 Bell, Elliott and Henry. I wouldn't spend that much on Allen in a non PPR league Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Country Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 Bell/Zeke for sure - only $73 of your $200 budget. For the third, I'm having trouble deciding if I'd want to keep Diggs at $8 for the value play, or go with Allen at $30 which is probably a fair price. I'm not opposed to wrapping up half of your cap on three top players, but it does limit your flexibility a bit. I think right now I lean slightly to the higher upside of Allen here, but I have flip flopped on that in my head so many times that I could easily be talked into (or talk myself into) thinking that Diggs is the play. Part of the decision is your knowledge of the league - is it possible that you could keep Diggs for $8 (I doubt he goes that low in the auction) and still get a quality WR in the auction in the 25-35 range? If you think you can do that, thus locking up two of the top RBs and two strong WRs for a little over 55% of your budget, you would be golden. If it's more likely that other owners will have the cap room and any decent WR available would go for $40+, then I think you lock in Allen at the $30 price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Country Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, Montana is da Man said: Bell, Elliott and Henry. I wouldn't spend that much on Allen in a non PPR league Interesting approach - Henry is definitely a value buy for $2, but is limited to flex and bye coverage. OP would be locked into a WR focus in the auction, which is not necessarily a bad thing. OP - you know better than us - what WRs (other than the ones you have) are likely to be available and generally what do they go for in the auction? Would you be able to get a Julio back for less than 40ish or Allen for less than 30ish? I'll still assume Diggs goes for more than 8, but if you only used $75 on your top 3 backs, could you restock the WR shelves for say about $60-65 then fill in the rest of your lineup and bench with value adds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Montana is da Man Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 37 minutes ago, Big Country said: Interesting approach - Henry is definitely a value buy for $2, but is limited to flex and bye coverage. OP would be locked into a WR focus in the auction, which is not necessarily a bad thing. OP - you know better than us - what WRs (other than the ones you have) are likely to be available and generally what do they go for in the auction? Would you be able to get a Julio back for less than 40ish or Allen for less than 30ish? I'll still assume Diggs goes for more than 8, but if you only used $75 on your top 3 backs, could you restock the WR shelves for say about $60-65 then fill in the rest of your lineup and bench with value adds? I totally missed Diggs for $8. I still like Henry's value better at $2, but if he is against keeping 3 RBs, I'd keep Bell, Zeke and Diggs and still have a decent budget left over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 Thanks for the comments. I think I’d prefer to stay away from keeping 3RBs, but not a bad idea. As for your questions on who will/won’t be available: I can almost guarantee these WRs will be kept by others: Antonio Brown DeAndre Hopkins Michael Thomas Mike Evans Davante Adams Tyreek Hill Adam Thielen These WRs have a good chance of being kept: OBJ Fitzgerald TY Hilton So there are not a ton of high end WRs other than Julio who I’ll let go and maybe Aj Green and OBJ since they would be an expensive keeper. Here was market value for a the higher end (non kept) WR last auction. You can tell people way overpay... OBJ: $59 AJ Green: $52 Brandon Cooks:$40 Amari Cooper: $39 Demaryus Thomas: $33 terrele Pryor: $28 Jordy Nelson: $42 Golden Tate: $20 Alshon Jeffrey: $34 So really I got Allen for a steal. I gotta imagine he’ll go for $40+ If he’s redrafted. Sure Diggs will be higher than $8, but he has a lower ceiling than Allen, who was top 5 last year. thanks again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 As I keep thinking though; I see why Diggs is attractive at that price. I guess I’m just not as high on him as I should be with Theilen there too. Maybe I’m underselling? do you see him as a WR 2 or 3? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Montana is da Man Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 I see Diggs as a WR2 with Cousins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 So value him at $8 over Allen at $30 with the pool of players I’ll have to bid on? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Montana is da Man Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Irvin088 said: So value him at $8 over Allen at $30 with the pool of players I’ll have to bid on? In my opinion, yes. I agree it'd be nice to have Bell, Zeke and Allen, but then more than half of your budget is blown Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irvin088 Posted August 17, 2018 Author Share Posted August 17, 2018 17 hours ago, Montana is da Man said: In my opinion, yes. I agree it'd be nice to have Bell, Zeke and Allen, but then more than half of your budget is blown You’ve convinced me...I’m going Bell/Zeke/Diggs! Diggs could be a killer long term keeper if he blows up with Cousins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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