Home/away predictions

Recommended Posts

In his predictions, it seems DMD comments a lot on players past stats in home vs away games. ("Woods has all his TDs in away games")


Do you think this as a repeatable trend? And why would a good player only have good games at home or away? 

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

There are many players where venue just doesn't matter but others who are consistent enough that it merits consideration. One of my favorites this year was Juju Smith-Schuster. Here are his splits:




Opp Cat CYds CTD
2 KC 13 121 1
4 BAL 4 60 0
5 ATL 4 34 1
8 CLE 4 33 0
10 CAR 3 90 1
13 LAC 6 49 0
15 NE 4 40 0
17 CIN 5 37 1
  Avg 5.4 58.0






Opp Cat CYds CTD
1 @CLE 5 119 0
3 @TB 9 116 0
6 @CIN 7 111 0
9 @BAL 7 78 0
11 @JAC 8 104 0
12 @DEN 13 189 1
14 @OAK 8 130 2
16 @NO 11 115 0
  Avg 8.5 120.3




If you ignore Week 2, JSS never had a 100-yard game at home and yet had all but one 100-yard game in away venues.


When I played daily this year, I'd almost always use JSS when he was on the road.


It isn't the only consideration of course, but for some it is relevant.


I've tried to reason out why some are that way but it's hard to say. Defenses play better at home? Most players do better at home. Maybe home defenses are better against Antonio Brown and it let's JSS have a bigger game. Tight ends almost always do better at home.

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Makes easy splitting for the Chargers that play 16 road games a year. Right?

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.