12 Team League. Standard performance scoring (no pts per reception)...non-standard keeper format. Start QB, 2 RBs, 2WRs, Flex, TE, K, DEF
We keep 3 players each year...one player drafted in Rnds 1-5, one from Rnds 6-10, and one drafted Rnd 11 - free agent pickup. Players can only be kept the one year after you drafted them...this way, all players are up for grabs every 2 years. Now that's out of the way....here's the dilema.
Rnd 1 - 5 Keeper options (I'm not listing all options...just the one's I'm considering):
Ahman Green, Julius Jones & Marvin Harrison
My thinking: Both of the Texas RBs are in scary situations. Green in Houston brings too many scary unknowns to warrant being a keeper. As long as Barber is in Dallas....Julius is just a weekly heartache. With Harrison, I know I'm getting a Tier 1 WR and he comes with the possibility of scoring more TDs than Jones & Green combined. Leaning heavily towards Harrison.
Rnd 6 - 10Keeper options:
Deangelo Williams or Kellen Winslow
My thinking: This is the toughest one. Williams comes with the hype of a new offensive scheme (one he is familiar with from his college days in Memphis) and he's got tremendous upside. But since my league is a TE mandatory league.....and Winslow being considered a Tier 1 TE....this could end up being a distinct advantage at a position where only 3 or 4 guys in the NFL produce consistently. Leaning towards Winslow. Insert inner turmoil here.
Rnd 11 - FA
This is just in case you guys are wondering.....I'm keeping Jerious Norwood who I picked up as a FA. He's my only viable option.
It's killing me to consider not keeping any RBs with my first 2 keepers, but there are some decent RB options becoming available: WParker, Droughns, RJohnson, Cadillac, Gore, CTaylor & RBrown. There are some other RBs I'm expecting to become available (predicting other teams keepers)including: CBenson, Maroney, Addai, Dunn, JLewis, Westbrook, FTaylor, Deuce & MBarber (as well as AGreen & JJones mentioned above). That's 18 quality (to semi-quality) RB options available in a 12 team draft. There are also a lot of WRs available (hardly any being kept)...so that increases my RB options even more for my first 2 picks since those keeping RBs (10 out of 12) will likely be spending one of their picks on a WR.
What do you guys think?
Thanks for any insights/opinion/thoughts.