Jump to content
[[Template core/front/custom/_customHeader is throwing an error. This theme may be out of date. Run the support tool in the AdminCP to restore the default theme.]]

Need some help with 1.01 pick


gijunky
 Share

Recommended Posts

I am in somewhat of a good situation, but would like some advice from fellow Huddlers.

 

I am involved in a 12 team keeper league (1 keeper at each position of qb, rb, wr, te, pk, and def). Pretty standard performance scoring. I have the 1.01, 2.12, 3.01...etc pick for the year. The keepers have been posted, and I have the choice of adding

 

Jamal Lewis

Kevin Jones

Dom Davis

 

at the 1.01 pick to go along with my keepers of Portis, Chad Johnson, Pennington, and others. Some other notable free agents available are Terrell Owens, Bulger, Hasselbeck, Rudi Johnson, B. Westbrook, C. Martin, Lamont Jordan, and others.

 

Here is my problem. All three RBs named above have a week 3 bye, just like Portis! I can grab one of them and have a very solid backfield, but I will be toast in week 3. Or, I would have to consider drafting another RB at 2.12. I really wanted to look at 2 solid WRs at the 2.12 and 3.01 spots (maybe Roy Williams and Anquan Boldin, or Burleson?)

 

The question is, should I trade down from 1.01 to 1.10 and (swapping 2.12 for 2.03, and picking up an extra 3rd rounder (3.10)), or stand pat at 1.01, draft one of the stud RBs above, take my lumps in week 3 and try to dominate the rest of the year.

 

My potential lineup if I stay at 1.01 would be something like:

 

Pennington (looking to draft Palmer in round 4)

Portis

Jamal Lewis / Kevin Jones / Dom Davis

Chad Johnson

2 from the following list - A. Boldin / Roy Williams / Burleson / Chambers

Jermaine Wiggins

Ryan Longwell

Washington Def

 

I might reach for someone like Arrington in round 3 (3.01) and take the best wr at 2.12.

 

Any help? (sorry for rambling)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree pretty much with the above post - take whichever RB you like best/fits your scoring scheme (I like DD best of the choices listed) at 1.1 and don't worry about week #3 until it's time to submit your lineup. as an aside, why in the world would you keep Pennington (unless you are req'd to keep 1 QB?) when you could likely get him back in the draft anyway?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

as an aside, why in the world would you keep Pennington (unless you are req'd to keep 1 QB?) when you could likely get him back in the draft anyway?

 

914078[/snapback]

 

 

 

You are required to keep one qb. Other options were Ramsey and Garcia...yeah, I know, they both suck.

 

I will hopefully be able to resolve this during the draft. If Bulger or Hasselbeck are still there at 2.12 or 3.01, I may take one of them, as my next pick will not be until 4.12. I may try and wait and get Delhomme or Carr at that time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree pretty much with the above post - take whichever RB you like best/fits your scoring scheme (I like DD best of the choices listed) at 1.1 and don't worry about week #3 until it's time to submit your lineup. as an aside, why in the world would you keep Pennington (unless you are req'd to keep 1 QB?) when you could likely get him back in the draft anyway?

 

914078[/snapback]

 

 

 

If you had to rank these guys (Lewis, Davis, KJ), how do you look at them?

 

To me, after spending 8 months in the pen, Lewis should come out like a man possessesed (sp), and I expect big things from Baltimore. I don't like the fact that Lewis is not a great receiver out of the backfield, therefore he may not see the field much on third down.

 

Davis I like, but I am worried about durability and other RBs in the Houston fold. If Capers and the other coaches like Davis soooo much, why do they keep drafting other RBs?

 

My only concern with KJ is more of a concern with the Lions offense as a whole. Everyone has been touting him big-time so far this year...

 

My rank would be:

 

1 - Davis

2 - KJ (but really a toss-up)

3 - Lewis

 

What do you think?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sorry about your luck with Pennington, but done well considering your choices. Don't worry about the bye week. Hopefully you get some depth to fill in that week, and you'll enjoy the stacked backfield every other.

1. DD

2. Jamal

3. KJ

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you had to rank these guys (Lewis, Davis, KJ), how do you look at them?

 

 

914132[/snapback]

 

 

 

 

 

Well...I might be a bit biased, having "owned" DD on one team or another each of the last 2 seasons ... but the guy just somehow cranks out the FF points on a consistent basis, week to week ... I mean, it seems that on the weeks he does not rush for >75 yards, he gets 50+ recv yards, and/or scores ... the weeks he does not score (pretty rare), he manages good yardage totals ... I also like the fact that he is such a big part of the HOU scheme ... something like 48% of the touches in games started (vs 39% for KJ, 33% for Lewis) last year. Of course, in my leagues, we get points per catch, which helps DDs stock a bit.

 

DD, 2004:

73% of Games with a TD

60% of Games 100+ Yards

27% of Games 50-99 Yards

13% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,776 Total Yards

14 Total Touchdowns

 

JL, 2004:

50% of Games with a TD

33% of Games 100+ Yards

42% of Games 50-99 Yards

25% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,122 Total Yards

7 Total Touchdowns

 

KJ, 2004:

40% of Games with a TD

47% of Games 100+ Yards

27% of Games 50-99 Yards

27% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,313 Total Yards

6 Total Touchdowns

 

Anyway, in "my" scoring schemes, I'd rank them:

 

1. DD

2. JL

2a. KJ

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well...I might be a bit biased, having "owned" DD on one team or another each of the last 2 seasons ... but the guy just somehow cranks out the FF points on a consistent basis, week to week ... I mean, it seems that on the weeks he does not rush for >75 yards, he gets 50+ recv yards, and/or scores ... the weeks he does not score (pretty rare), he manages good yardage totals ... I also like the fact that he is such a big part of the HOU scheme ... something like 48% of the touches in games started (vs 39% for KJ, 33% for Lewis) last year. Of course, in my leagues, we get points per catch, which helps DDs stock a bit.

 

DD, 2004:

73% of Games with a TD

60% of Games 100+ Yards

27% of Games 50-99 Yards

13% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,776 Total Yards

14 Total Touchdowns

 

JL, 2004:

50% of Games with a TD

33% of Games 100+ Yards

42% of Games 50-99 Yards

25% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,122 Total Yards

7 Total Touchdowns

 

KJ, 2004:

40% of Games with a TD

47% of Games 100+ Yards

27% of Games 50-99 Yards

27% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,313 Total Yards

6 Total Touchdowns

 

Anyway, in "my" scoring schemes, I'd rank them:

 

1. DD

2. JL

2a. KJ

 

914151[/snapback]

 

 

 

Great stuff! Thanks for the help.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well...I might be a bit biased, having "owned" DD on one team or another each of the last 2 seasons ... but the guy just somehow cranks out the FF points on a consistent basis, week to week ... I mean, it seems that on the weeks he does not rush for >75 yards, he gets 50+ recv yards, and/or scores ... the weeks he does not score (pretty rare), he manages good yardage totals ... I also like the fact that he is such a big part of the HOU scheme ... something like 48% of the touches in games started (vs 39% for KJ, 33% for Lewis) last year. Of course, in my leagues, we get points per catch, which helps DDs stock a bit.

 

DD, 2004:

73% of Games with a TD

60% of Games 100+ Yards

27% of Games 50-99 Yards

13% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,776 Total Yards

14 Total Touchdowns

 

JL, 2004:

50% of Games with a TD

33% of Games 100+ Yards

42% of Games 50-99 Yards

25% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,122 Total Yards

7 Total Touchdowns

 

KJ, 2004:

40% of Games with a TD

47% of Games 100+ Yards

27% of Games 50-99 Yards

27% of Games 0-49 Yards

1,313 Total Yards

6 Total Touchdowns

 

Anyway, in "my" scoring schemes, I'd rank them:

 

1. DD

2. JL

2a. KJ

 

914151[/snapback]

 

 

 

 

How did you compute your percentages? I'm not sure of this, but IIRC Jamal was a lot better than the stats above indicate. I think you might be taking his scoring over a 16-game season, when he only played 12 games.

 

I don't particularly think Jamal is any less injury risk than DD, but I just think he's due for his "every other year" big year this year. That's more gut than anything, but I'd rank them Lewis, DD and KJ. I think KJ is going to be a monster if healthy, but the fact that he only really has 1/2 a season of production under his belt leaves him too risky to take there. With there being questions about Portis too, I'd take Lewis, but DD would probably be a solid pick. Like someone said though, why do they keep drafting RB there???

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How did you compute your percentages?  I'm not sure of this, but IIRC Jamal was a lot better than the stats above indicate.  I think you might be taking his scoring over a 16-game season, when he only played 12 games.

 

 

914474[/snapback]

 

 

 

 

 

Lewis:

 

12 games played, scored in 6 = 50%

12 games played, 4 with > 100 yards = 33%

12 games played, 5 with 50-99 yards = 42%

12 games played, 3 with < 50 yards = 25%

Link to comment
Share on other sites

As for your QB situation, Pennington is not ideal, but if you can draft another decent QB, and alternate them based upon matchups, you will do okay at that position. And, it will help matters to have two good RBs and one good WR to get you points every week (except week 3).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information