muck Posted October 10, 2007 Share Posted October 10, 2007 (edited) The (very) early projections are in. Based on a teams' win/loss % and the win/loss % of their future opponents, I've projected final win and loss totals for each team. Note that, going forward, as more games are played, the analysis that follows will change quite a bit. Teams get on streaks ... hard (or easy) games are played leaving easy (or hard) games to come ... etc ... Consider this fodder for conversation. Or, fodder for the burn pile. Either way... So, as it sits right now, the top ten picks in the draft next year will be: 1. Miami (2.7 wins) -- currently 0-5 2. St. Louis (2.8 wins) -- currently 0-5 3. New Orleans (3.4 wins) -- currently 0-4 4. New York Jets (4.7 wins) -- currently 1-4 5. Atlanta (5.1 wins) -- currently 1-4 6t. Bufalo (5.2 wins) -- currently 1-4 6t. Minnesota (5.2 wins) -- currently 1-3 8. Philadelphia (5.4 wins) -- currently 1-3 9. Cincinnati (6.0 wins) -- currently 1-3 10. San Diego (6.5 wins) -- currently 2-3 And the top twelve teams (twelve teams because twelve teams make the playoffs, not paying attention to conference affiliations) would be: 1. New England (13.3 wins -- easier SoS looking forward than Dallas or Indy) -- currently 5-0 2. Dallas (12.9 wins) -- currently 5-0 3. Indianapolis (12.8 wins) -- currently 5-0 4. Pittsburgh (11.7 wins) -- currently 4-1 5. Green Bay (11.2 wins) -- currently 4-1 6. Tennessee (10.3 wins) -- currently 3-1 7t. Seattle (10.0 wins -- easiest SoS looking forward...by a mile) -- currently 3-2 7t. Washington (10.0 wins) -- currently 3-1 9. Jacksonville (9.9 wins) -- currently 3-1 10. Arizona (9.6 wins) -- currently 3-2 11. New York Giants (9.3 wins) -- currently 3-2 12. Baltimore (9.1 wins) -- currently 3-2 Edited October 10, 2007 by muck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpholmes Posted October 10, 2007 Share Posted October 10, 2007 Ya know what? I'm 100% happy if Oakland falls in the middle pack somewhere... For once maybe we can do better than "earning" a top 10 pick... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
detlef Posted October 10, 2007 Share Posted October 10, 2007 Interesting. Pretty hard to argue with any of that. I mean, you could split hairs but it's all speculation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugh 0ne Posted October 10, 2007 Share Posted October 10, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted October 11, 2007 Author Share Posted October 11, 2007 Honestly, I thought that there would have been some complaining or chest thumping. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugh 0ne Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loaf Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 I would be ecstatic if the Browns fall between 6.5 and 9.1 wins...after that first game, it was all doom and gloom here... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kansas State 2000 Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 Dear Cleveland, Quit winning! Thanks, Dallas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hat Trick Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 Dear Cleveland, Quit winning! Thanks, Dallas All these DallAss fans thought a top 5 pick was a for sure thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loaf Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 All these DallAss fans thought a top 5 pick was a for sure thing. I wasn't unhappy with the trade but sure was hoping that it wouldn't be a top 5 pick. Not because I wish them ill will, but because then it meant that we've made entirely no progress with all the moves the last few seasons. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kansas State 2000 Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 I thought they would be better ... I thought a top 10 was (and may still be) certain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Irish Doggy Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 Well, that sure is possible. Depressing as a Cincy fan, but admittedly possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muck Posted October 11, 2007 Author Share Posted October 11, 2007 After a couple of more games, this will start to take a little more shape... Frankly, not enough games have been played to make this really very good, but over the next couple of weeks, I'll keep updating this. NOTE: I still expect KC to have a top 10 (maybe a top 5) pick when it's all said and done. ................... Most likely to NOT pick in the top 10 when it's all said and done: Cincy, Philly and SD Most likely to NOT finish in the top 12 when it's all said and done: Tennessee, Seattle, Arizona and Baltimore Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.J. Posted October 11, 2007 Share Posted October 11, 2007 Miami seems to always win a bunch of games in a row late in the season just to screw up their draft pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted October 12, 2007 Share Posted October 12, 2007 I'm still not ruling out a Top 5 pick that we'll be getting from the Brownies but it'll more likely be Top 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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