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Keeper League advice


vikingsguy
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I'm in a $100 salary cap league, auction draft, 50/50 scoring, 10-teams.

 

We can keep as many players as we wish, so long as we pay $5 more this year than last year, and these numbers impact the $100 draft cap going in (hence I'm left with $43 dollars if I keep all 4 players)

 

I'll be keeping:

 

Chris Johnson for $10

Steve Slaton for $6

Roddy White for $7

 

I'm heavily debating: M J D for $34

 

I've got this "itch" that I don't like leaving myself with only $43 to spend, though I've got a nice little stable, but the only issue I'm having is that Johnson, Slaton and MJD all play in the same division. I will have 6 of 14 weeks of our regular season with these guys facing each other. AP will also be kept, along with Forte, so if I leave MJD out there, he'll probably be the priciest RB drafted.

 

Keeping Slaton/Johnson/White is a no brainer for the value, but should I keep MJD?

 

Thanks.

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It would help to know what other options you have besides MJD but if I were you I would work on my WR position and then maybe with your third pick begin to get some depth @ rb, you'd be suprised there will still be some decent rbs available that a lot of people want to look over...if you want to round out your AFC South squad look @ grabbing Addai as late as the fifth round, he'll probably still be there cause people are scared of his injuries but as a reserve he is a good choice because most of the time he'll ride your bench but he has the potential to put up some big numbers and could be a great value.

 

To be honest I'm not sold on either Johnson or Slaton. I'm usually suspect of second year backs, I think some of the success can go to their heads and also defenses have a lot more tape to watch on them and can prepare for them better. Plus you don't know how they hold up in the long run and they could just be one year flukes...so I think your taking a risk with you backfield but they are both good values and I think if you complimented them with some decent back-ups and a solid reciever core you should have a solid team and chances are they won't see that big of a sophmore slump.

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It would help to know what other options you have besides MJD but if I were you I would work on my WR position and then maybe with your third pick begin to get some depth @ rb, you'd be suprised there will still be some decent rbs available that a lot of people want to look over...if you want to round out your AFC South squad look @ grabbing Addai as late as the fifth round, he'll probably still be there cause people are scared of his injuries but as a reserve he is a good choice because most of the time he'll ride your bench but he has the potential to put up some big numbers and could be a great value.

 

To be honest I'm not sold on either Johnson or Slaton. I'm usually suspect of second year backs, I think some of the success can go to their heads and also defenses have a lot more tape to watch on them and can prepare for them better. Plus you don't know how they hold up in the long run and they could just be one year flukes...so I think your taking a risk with you backfield but they are both good values and I think if you complimented them with some decent back-ups and a solid reciever core you should have a solid team and chances are they won't see that big of a sophmore slump.

 

I don't disagree with the "2nd year RB" methodology either. Those are my only options for keeper players. I guess I'm in a situation where I can get arguably the best 3 RB stable in a 10-team league, without paying much over $50 of a $100 salary cap for them, but not sacrificing guys that I have to mix-n-match on a weekly basis. The league starts 2 RB in the starting lineup. No flex position, etc.

 

I guess my other option would be keep Johnson and Slaton, which at worst would be a 2-3, and go different 2 more #2 guys (Addai and Gore or similar) for the same $34 I'd pay for MJD.

 

Historically, people will overbid the best available running backs left after the keepers are gone. For instance, in looking at The Huddle's RB rankings and based on what I can project with what other owners will do: AP, Forte, MJD (possibly) and Turner will all being kept. I mention that because if I keep MJD, the next highest RB's (LT, Steven Jackson, and Gore) will all fetch $40+ in the auction. Sounds crazy I know, but for the owners that didn't draft well last year and come into this draft with a full $100 and no keepers, that's what will happen.

 

Hope that sheds some light, and thanks for the reply...

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I would only consider keeping if you can start all three backs.

 

Can only start 2 RB, but as you know, depth at any position with injuries isn't a bad thing. Plus, I could always trade a top 3 tier RB for an above average receiver or QB in this league.

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