muck Posted December 6, 2009 Share Posted December 6, 2009 (edited) Here's what happend this weekend. #1 FL got beat pretty badly by #2 AL #2 AL beat #1 pretty handily #3 TX won a VERY sloppy game over #22 NE #4 TCU sat on their butt watching TV #5 CIN beat #15 PIT on a last second play after being behind most of the game #6 BSU beat NM State to finish the regular season undefeated (again) #7 Oregon beat OState in a tight game While the margin of victory won't be factored into the computer rankings, the voters may consider it... so....where do teams end up? Well, heading into the weekend, the following teams had #1 votes in the following polls: AP Poll: FL (46 votes), TX (7 votes), AL (7 votes) Harris: FL (53 votes), TX (3 votes), AL (3 votes) Computers: FL (3 1st places in the computers), AL (3 first places in the computers) What do we know? * 46 FL votes in the AP poll will go to AL, TX, TCU, CIN and/or BSU; possibly a few of the seven TX votes will migrate to other schools with their performance today; most of the 46 FL votes will go to AL and it will leapfrog over TX to #1 * 53 FL votes in the ESPN poll will go to AL, TX, TCU, CIN and/or BSU; possibly a few of the three TX votes will migrate to other schools, too; most of the 53 votes from FL will go to AL, who will leapfrog over TX to #1. => The breakdown of these subjective individual votes will have a big impact on how this shakes out? Will voters penalize TX for not playing very well? Will CIN drop below TCU or BSU in any of the polls they were ahead in because of their narrow victory? How far will FL drop -- they may not drop past TCU / CIN / BSU --- possibly not dropping past #3. * AL will go to #1 in all six computer polls. FL will drop, but not sure how far. After FL and AL, heading into the weekend, CIN was barely ahead of TX who was only a little more ahead of TCU who was a ways ahead of BSU (0.900 / 0.890 / 0.860 / 0.800). ......................... My speculation: AL will have most of the 1st place votes in both the AP and ESPN polls; TCU and TX will have about the same number, CIN will have a few votes and BSU may have one (but probably not). The computers will have AL first, followed by CIN, TX, TCU, FL and BSU (in that order), all pretty tightly bunched. AL will play TX for the NC game. CIN and TCU will be nearly tied for 3rd / 4th FL will be 5th, barely ahead of BSU at 6th Edited December 6, 2009 by muck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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