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trade advice please!


Giant killer
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here is my team:

Kirk cousins

Lev bel

Joe Mixon

Michael Thomas

Larry Fitzgareld

Trey Burton

Rex burkhead

Demarious Thomas

 

Dion Lewis

latavous Murray

Marquise Goodwin

Cooper Cup

Sammy Watkins

 

I got offered Todd Gurly and Chris Carson for my lev bell and joe mixon. I also got offered James Conner and Chris Hogan for my Joe Mixon. should I accept one of these trades? 

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I'm not making trades with Bell.  Here's why I wouldn't do these if I were you.  Take the two extremes:

 

Let's say Bell is back next week.  In that case, in trade 1 you give up Bell for Gurley--a pretty even bet--but give up Mixon for a marginal player I wouldn't want to have as my RB2 or Flex.  In trade two, you give up Mixon for Chris Hogan, which is terrible.

 

On the other hand, Bell could out until November.  In that case, you win the trade for ten weeks, lose it for six, and the other player can try to make the playoffs with Bell and Mixon on the team.  In the second case, you get a pretty even trade at RB plus you can add Hogan.

 

The downside of the deals in the event Bell is back next week outweighs some fairly marginal upside to your team. 

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