FinishTheDrill Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 First year doing fantasy and I am addicted. Season started rough, I had zero idea what I was doing. Guys in my league gave me tough love, and now I am must-win next 3 for a hope of the post season. I hit the waivers hard the past 3 weeks and have accumulated a stable of what I consider payable tier 2 & 3 WR's. 10 team halfPPR. 2WR , 1Flex spot. Here's what I have: QB- BenRoth RB- JConner RB- JBallage (starting him over McKissic this week) TE- MAndrews DST- Pitt K- Tucker WR1- CalRidley WR2- ?? Flex- ?? I have TeeHiggins, BCooks, JMeyers, and MWilliams for those 2 spots. Here's what I am thinking... Better players with Tough Matchups? Higgins is a beast lately, but he has a much tougher matchup BCooks, same as THig, but he draws Gilmore and I think that may not work out for him. Weaker team or Players with a better matchup? JMeyers- getting stupid huge target share, which is what attracted me. BUT... NE has 3 Rb who like to run and a QB who thinks he's a RB. On top of that Hou runD is poor, so why even pass? Will the targets be there? MWilliams- Boom or bust. He's busted for me earlier this season, and it cost me. That said, he has a QB who I respect, and... I mean... the Jets. I am concerned that Keenan Allen will demoish the jets 2ndary, and so the long ball to Williams wont even be needed. In general, I have been having better success playing a lower tier guy vs a better matchup than just keeping in higher ranked players. With Higgs and Cooks, should I even be considering MW and JM? How much emphasis do you put on matchup? I thought some guys (Cal ridley) were bascially matchup proof, but then week 4 he gave me a huge goose egg. Similar with James Conner in weeks 1, 9, and 10. Apprecaite your advice specifically or in generality. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Montana is da Man Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 Statt Higgins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FinishTheDrill Posted November 22, 2020 Author Share Posted November 22, 2020 Decided to go with Ridley & Higgins w/ Meyers in the flex and leaving MWilliams, BCooks on the bench. Pains me to sit Williams vs Jets. This talk of a dejavu week 4 Ridley Decoy for 11 is pissing me off as well! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FinishTheDrill Posted November 22, 2020 Author Share Posted November 22, 2020 Looks like both of my decisions were the wrong ones. Ouch. Costing me the game on a must win. Big bummer. Williams is tearing it up and Cooks had a far better game than Higgins. Jakobi was an afterthought to the running game. I suspected all, and should have gone with my gut instead of looking at rankings. Becoming even more of a believer that Matchups >> Ranking. The question is, to what extent? To what differential? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FinishTheDrill Posted November 22, 2020 Author Share Posted November 22, 2020 19 hours ago, Montana is da Man said: Statt Higgins A pox on you, your entire offense, and in your 2021 draft picks! ! (jk of course... mostly) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGuildedAge Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 (edited) This has been my achilles heel, including today, sat Godwin for Marquise Brown. Going back to last year my record is 6-18. I bet you 10 of those losses were sitting studs. EDIT: Because I have nothing better to do with my time, I checked this and last years games on our ESPN league. 5 games last year were lost when I sat Henry or Woods in a "touch matchup" and 6 of my 8 this year were sitting a "stud" Edited November 22, 2020 by TheGuildedAge Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FinishTheDrill Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 OK. Interesting. This year, for me, my gut says that streaming good matchups owuld have been better than starting my supposed studs (conner, carson, ridely, AJBrown, Andrews) in tougher matchups. I need to refine my criteria for a cutoff between "better" and "weaker". As I said, its a gut feeling right now, nothing quantifiable. Thanks for the input. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Montana is da Man Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 hour ago, FinishTheDrill said: A pox on you, your entire offense, and in your 2021 draft picks! ! (jk of course... mostly) I started him too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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