Jump to content
[[Template core/front/custom/_customHeader is throwing an error. This theme may be out of date. Run the support tool in the AdminCP to restore the default theme.]]

Age old question- Better player with tough matchup or weaker player with great matchup?


Recommended Posts

First year doing fantasy and I am addicted.  Season started rough, I had zero idea what I was doing.  Guys in my league gave me tough love, and now I am must-win next 3 for a hope of the post season.  


I hit the waivers hard the past 3 weeks and have accumulated a stable of what I consider payable tier 2 & 3 WR's.  

10 team halfPPR.    2WR , 1Flex spot.  


Here's what I have:


QB- BenRoth

RB- JConner

RB- JBallage (starting him over McKissic this week)

TE- MAndrews

DST- Pitt

K-  Tucker


WR1- CalRidley


WR2-  ??

Flex-  ??


I have TeeHiggins, BCooks, JMeyers, and MWilliams for those 2 spots.  Here's what I am thinking...


Better players with Tough Matchups?

Higgins is a beast lately, but he has a much tougher matchup

BCooks, same as THig, but he draws Gilmore and I think that may not work out for him.  


Weaker team or Players with a better matchup?

JMeyers- getting stupid huge target share, which is what attracted me. BUT... NE has 3 Rb who like to run and a QB who thinks he's a RB.  On top of that Hou runD is poor, so why even pass?   Will the targets be there?


MWilliams- Boom or bust.  He's busted for me earlier this season, and it cost me.  That said, he has a QB who I respect, and... I mean... the Jets.  I am concerned that Keenan Allen will demoish the jets 2ndary, and so the long ball to Williams wont even be needed.  


In general, I have been having better success playing a lower tier guy vs a better matchup than just keeping in higher ranked players.  With Higgs and Cooks, should I even be considering MW and JM?   How much emphasis do you put on matchup?    I thought some guys (Cal ridley) were bascially matchup proof, but then week 4 he gave me a huge goose egg.  Similar with James Conner in weeks 1, 9, and 10.  


Apprecaite your advice specifically or in generality.  


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like both of my decisions were the wrong ones.  Ouch.  Costing me the game on a must win.  

Big bummer.



Williams is tearing it up and Cooks had a far better game than Higgins.  Jakobi was an afterthought to the running game.  



I suspected all, and should have gone with my gut instead of looking at rankings. 


Becoming even more of a believer that Matchups >> Ranking.    The question is, to what extent?  To what differential?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This has been my achilles heel, including today, sat Godwin for Marquise Brown.


Going back to last year my record is 6-18. I bet you 10 of those losses were sitting studs.


EDIT: Because I have nothing better to do with my time, I checked this and last years games on our ESPN league.


5 games last year were lost when I sat Henry or Woods in a "touch matchup" and 6 of my 8 this year were sitting a "stud"

Edited by TheGuildedAge
Link to comment
Share on other sites

OK.  Interesting.   This year, for me, my gut says that streaming good matchups owuld have been better than  starting my supposed studs (conner, carson, ridely, AJBrown, Andrews) in tougher matchups.  


I need to refine my criteria for a cutoff between "better" and "weaker".    As I said, its a gut feeling right now, nothing quantifiable.  


Thanks for the input. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Create New...

Important Information