Shaft 1,410 Posted August 18, 2021 What do people think? This is based on William Hill Sportsbook. 2021 NFL win totals TEAM WIN TOTAL OVER/UNDER ODDS Chiefs 12 -130/+110 Buccaneers 11.5 +100/-120 Packers 11 +105/-125 Ravens 11 -105/-115 Rams 10.5 +105/-125 Bills 10.5 -130/+110 Seahawks 10 +105/-125 49ers 10 -140/+120 Colts 10 -110/-110 Browns 10 -115/-105 Titans 9.5 +110/-130 Saints 9.5 +120/-140 Cowboys 9.5 +110/-130 Steelers 9 +105/-125 Patriots 9 -125/+105 Dolphins 9 -135/+115 Chargers 9 +105/-125 Vikings 8.5 -115/-105 Washington 8 -105/-115 Raiders 8 +115/-135 Cardinals 8 -140/+120 Broncos 7.5 +105/-125 Bears 7.5 +105/-125 Panthers 7.5 +110/-130 Eagles 7 +105/-125 Giants 7 -110/-110 Falcons 7 -115/-105 Bengals 6.5 -105/-115 Jets 6 -130/+110 Jaguars 6 -120/+110 Texans 5 +110/-130 Lions 5 -130/+110 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stevegrab 1,430 Posted August 18, 2021 Decent numbers, but seem a bit on the high end with few teams predicted to be really bad (just 2 teams with 5 wins), and yes I'm accounting for this being out of 17 games played. Also the best team is still losing 5 games, when we usually have a few 1-3 loss teams. AFC top 5=53.5(avg 10.7) next 5=45.5 (avg 9.1) last 6=39 (avg 6.5) NFC top 5=53(avg 10.6) next 5=43.5 (avg 8.7) last 6=41 (avg 6.8) Total wins (275.5) are only a bit off potential wins during the expanded NFL season with 272 games. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 18, 2021 I like the Browns over, Ravens under and Titans over. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shaft 1,410 Posted August 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, stevegrab said: Decent numbers, but seem a bit on the high end with few teams predicted to be really bad (just 2 teams with 5 wins), and yes I'm accounting for this being out of 17 games played. Also the best team is still losing 5 games, when we usually have a few 1-3 loss teams. AFC top 5=53.5(avg 10.7) next 5=45.5 (avg 9.1) last 6=39 (avg 6.5) NFC top 5=53(avg 10.6) next 5=43.5 (avg 8.7) last 6=41 (avg 6.8) Total wins (275.5) are only a bit off potential wins during the expanded NFL season with 272 games. Yeah, I was surprised to by the 12-5 prediction for KC, especially since they're predicted to win the most. Good math, I didn't even double check that with the total wins. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 18, 2021 For the most part I think those projections are pretty solid. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shaft 1,410 Posted August 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, purplemonster said: I'll take the under on the Texans That's easy money. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
purplemonster 520 Posted August 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, Shaft said: That's easy money. I was editing my comment because I forgot it was a 17-game season now. But nevertheless I'd still take the under. I wouldn't bet all my money because they have two games against the Jags and one against the Jets. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 18, 2021 22 minutes ago, Shaft said: That's easy money. I don't know. There's a lot to decipher there. I'd probably stay away from that one. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
irish 1,823 Posted August 18, 2021 I'll take the Cowboys at 9.5 winning the division. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, irish said: I'll take the Cowboys at 9.5 winning the division. No doubt. They can easily win 10+ if Dak can stay on the field. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MustOfBeenDrunk 145 Posted August 18, 2021 Bengals over 6.5 looks like a good bet Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shaft 1,410 Posted August 18, 2021 (edited) 1 hour ago, MustOfBeenDrunk said: Bengals over 6.5 looks like a good bet I agree, but it depends on Burrow. Edited August 18, 2021 by Shaft Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 9 Posted August 18, 2021 I care more about players than teams, but 9 wins seems like a stiff order for the Dolphins. Pats and Bills twice (four losses) and at Tampa Bay, at Tennessee, and hosting the Ravens and Colts all seem like probable losses as well. That means the Dolphins have to win all 9 of their remaining "toss-up" games. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stevegrab 1,430 Posted August 18, 2021 10 minutes ago, AxeElf said: I care more about players than teams, but 9 wins seems like a stiff order for the Dolphins. Pats and Bills twice (four losses) and at Tampa Bay, at Tennessee, and hosting the Ravens and Colts all seem like probable losses as well. That means the Dolphins have to win all 9 of their remaining "toss-up" games. I wouldn't consider the Pats games automatic losses for the Dolphins, not after splitting with them last year and winning 3 more games. Is Cam Newtowon going turn into Tom Brady? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 9 Posted August 18, 2021 26 minutes ago, stevegrab said: I wouldn't consider the Pats games automatic losses for the Dolphins, not after splitting with them last year and winning 3 more games. Is Cam Newtowon going turn into Tom Brady? No, but the Pats get back the other half of their defense that opted out last year. And then there's Damien Harris' breakout season to contend with... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
heehawks 450 Posted August 18, 2021 Colts seem too high to me with Wentz out. Would go over under of 8 personally. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 9 Posted August 18, 2021 11 minutes ago, heehawks said: Colts seem too high to me with Wentz out. I don't think they count preseason games. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PocketPool 11 Posted August 19, 2021 Patriots and Panthers under. Bears over. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 19, 2021 29 minutes ago, PocketPool said: Patriots and Panthers under. Bears over. Yeah, that Bears number does seem slightly low. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Docniner 24 Posted August 19, 2021 Ravens, Seahawks and Colts all under 10 wins. Titans over 9.5 wins. Washington over 8 wins. Arizona over 8 wins. Bears over 7.5 wins. Bengals over 6.5 wins. Texans and Detroit under 5 wins. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chief Dick 682 Posted August 24, 2021 Take the under on the Chiefs. Something is off with this team and I'm not sure what. Just a weird feeling I have about them this year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 24, 2021 18 minutes ago, Chief Dick said: Take the under on the Chiefs. Something is off with this team and I'm not sure what. Uhhh ohh. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bobby Brown 950 Posted August 24, 2021 On 8/19/2021 at 8:07 AM, Docniner said: Ravens, Seahawks and Colts all under 10 wins. Seahawks are a better defensive team than last year. And they were a 12 win team. Wilson's worst season was a 9 win season. Now they have added a game. I'm a homer, but I'd go over on that one. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
League_Champion 2,815 Posted August 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bobby Brown said: Seahawks are a better defensive team than last year. And they were a 12 win team. Wilson's worst season was a 9 win season. Now they have added a game. I'm a homer, but I'd go over on that one. Is that what the science says? 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
darin3 1,688 Posted August 24, 2021 I think the Niners are going to struggle. Tough division and Jimmy G is going to get off to a slow start and they'll switch to Lance, who will have them as a .500 team or worse. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
